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The Five-year Underlying Earnings Growth at China Shengmu Organic Milk (HKG:1432) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time
The Five-year Underlying Earnings Growth at China Shengmu Organic Milk (HKG:1432) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time
Long term investing is the way to go, but that doesn't mean you should hold every stock forever. It hits us in the gut when we see fellow investors suffer a loss. Spare a thought for those who held China Shengmu Organic Milk Limited (HKG:1432) for five whole years - as the share price tanked 77%. We also note that the stock has performed poorly over the last year, with the share price down 42%. Furthermore, it's down 23% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. But this could be related to the weak market, which is down 20% in the same period.
After losing 14% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
View our latest analysis for China Shengmu Organic Milk
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
During five years of share price growth, China Shengmu Organic Milk moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.
In contrast to the share price, revenue has actually increased by 6.6% a year in the five year period. A more detailed examination of the revenue and earnings may or may not explain why the share price languishes; there could be an opportunity.
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
SEHK:1432 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 30th 2022We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on China Shengmu Organic Milk's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market lost about 26% in the twelve months, China Shengmu Organic Milk shareholders did even worse, losing 42%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 12% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for China Shengmu Organic Milk that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
長期投資是必由之路,但這並不意味着你應該永遠持有每一隻股票。當我們看到其他投資者蒙受損失時,我們會受到打擊。想一想那些持有中國聖牧有機奶業有限公司(HKG:1432)整整五年--股價暴跌77%。我們還注意到,該股在過去一年中表現不佳,股價下跌了42%。此外,它在大約四分之一的時間裏下跌了23%。對於持有者來説,這並不是什麼樂趣。但這可能與疲軟的市場有關,同期市場下跌了20%。
在過去一週下跌14%之後,有必要調查一下該公司的基本面,看看我們可以從過去的表現中推斷出什麼。
查看我們對中國聖牧有機牛奶的最新分析
不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是反映潛在的商業表現。評估圍繞一家公司的情緒變化的一個有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
在股價增長的五年中,中國聖牧有機牛奶從虧損走向盈利。這通常會被認為是積極的,所以我們驚訝地看到股價下跌。其他指標可能會讓我們更好地瞭解其價值是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。
與股價形成對比的是,在這五年期間,營收實際上以每年6.6%的速度增長。對營收和收益進行更詳細的審查,可能會解釋股價低迷的原因,也可能解釋不了;可能會有機會。
下圖描述了收益和收入隨時間的變化(通過單擊圖像來揭示確切的價值)。
聯交所:1432盈利及收入增長2022年9月30日我們很高興地報告,這位首席執行官的薪酬比類似資本公司的大多數首席執行官都要低。關注首席執行官的薪酬總是值得的,但更重要的問題是,該公司是否會在未來幾年實現盈利增長。也許很值得一看我們的免費中國聖牧有機牛奶的收益、收入和現金流報告。
不同的視角
儘管大盤在過去12個月裏下跌了約26%,但中國聖牧有機牛奶股東的表現更糟,下跌了42%。然而,這可能只是因為股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。也許有必要關注基本面,以防出現良機。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示着尚未解決的挑戰,因為它比過去五年12%的年化損失更糟糕。我們意識到,羅斯柴爾德男爵曾説過,投資者應該“在街上血淋淋的時候買入”,但我們警告投資者,首先應該確保他們購買的是一家高質量的企業。雖然值得考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。例如,我們已經確定中國聖牧有機牛奶1個警示標誌這一點你應該知道。
當然了,如果你把目光投向別處,你可能會發現這是一筆很棒的投資。所以讓我們來看看這個免費我們預計收益將會增長的公司名單。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
風險及免責聲明
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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