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Health Check: How Prudently Does Singapore Airlines (SGX:C6L) Use Debt?

Health Check: How Prudently Does Singapore Airlines (SGX:C6L) Use Debt?

健康檢查:新加坡航空公司(SGX:C6L)使用債務的謹慎程度如何?
Simply Wall St ·  2022/09/30 02:01

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.'  When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin.  As with many other companies Singapore Airlines Limited $SIA (C6L.SG)$ makes use of debt.  But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

馬克斯説得很好,他不是擔心股價波動,而是我擔心的是永久虧損的可能性……我認識的每個實際投資者都擔心。當我們考慮一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡看它對債務的使用,因為債務過重可能導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣新加坡航空有限公司 $新加坡航空公司 (C6L.SG)$利用債務。但這筆債務對股東來説是一個擔憂嗎?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務在什麼時候是危險的?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price.  If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business.  However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet.  Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage.  When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

當一家企業無法輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他債務就會變得有風險,無論是通過自由現金流還是通過以有吸引力的價格籌集資本。如果情況真的變得很糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。然而,更常見(但代價仍然高昂)的情況是,一家公司必須以極低的價格發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東的股份,只是為了支撐其資產負債表。話雖如此,最常見的情況是一家公司對債務管理得相當好--並對自己有利。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先同時考慮現金和債務水平。

View our latest analysis for Singapore Airlines

查看我們對新加坡航空公司的最新分析

What Is Singapore Airlines's Debt?

新加坡航空公司的債務是什麼?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Singapore Airlines had S$12.2b in debt in March 2022; about the same as the year before.    But it also has S$14.2b in cash to offset that, meaning it has S$1.94b net cash.

下面的圖表顯示,2022年3月新加坡航空公司的債務為122億新元,與前一年大致相同。你可以點擊查看更多詳細信息。但它也有142億新元的現金來抵消,這意味着它有19.4億新元的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysisSGX:C6L Debt to Equity History September 30th 2022

新交所:C6L債轉股歷史2022年9月30日

How Healthy Is Singapore Airlines' Balance Sheet?

新加坡航空公司的資產負債表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Singapore Airlines had liabilities of S$7.87b falling due within a year, and liabilities of S$18.0b due beyond that.   On the other hand, it had cash of S$14.2b and S$1.75b worth of receivables due within a year.   So it has liabilities totalling S$9.93b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

從最新的資產負債表可以看出,新加坡航空有78.7億新加坡元的負債在一年內到期,還有180億新加坡元的負債在這之後到期。另一方面,該公司有142億新元的現金和17.5億新元的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和近期應收賬款加起來還要多99.3億新元。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Singapore Airlines has a   huge  market capitalization of S$33.0b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to.  However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.    While it does have liabilities worth noting, Singapore Airlines also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.     When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start.  But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Singapore Airlines can strengthen its balance sheet over time.  So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

雖然這看起來可能很多,但並不是很糟糕,因為新加坡航空的市值高達330億新元,因此如果需要的話,它可能會通過籌集資本來加強其資產負債表。然而,仍值得密切關注其償債能力。雖然新加坡航空確實有值得注意的負債,但它的現金也多於債務,所以我們非常有信心它能夠安全地管理債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個起點。但最終,這項業務未來的盈利能力將決定新加坡航空能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。所以,如果你關注未來,你可以看看這個免費顯示分析師利潤預測的報告。

In the last year Singapore Airlines wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 100%, to S$7.6b.   Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

去年,新加坡航空沒有實現息税前利潤,但收入增長了一倍,達到76億新元。股東們可能會祈禱它能以自己的方式增長並實現盈利。

So How Risky Is Singapore Airlines?

那麼,新加坡航空的風險有多大呢?

We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones.  And in the last year Singapore Airlines had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, truth be told.  Indeed, in that time it burnt through S$82m of cash and made a loss of S$962m.   Given it only has net cash of S$1.94b, the company may need to raise more capital if it doesn't reach break-even soon.    With very solid revenue growth in the last year, Singapore Airlines may be on a path to profitability.  By investing before those profits, shareholders take on more risk in the hope of bigger rewards.     For riskier companies like Singapore Airlines I always like to keep an eye on whether insiders are buying or selling. So  click here if you want to find out for yourself.

我們毫不懷疑,總的來説,虧損公司比盈利公司風險更大。説實話,去年新加坡航空公司還出現了息税前利潤(EBIT)虧損。事實上,在那段時間裏,它燒掉了8200萬新元的現金,虧損了9.62億新元。鑑於該公司僅有19.4億新元的淨現金,如果不能很快實現盈虧平衡,該公司可能需要籌集更多資金。隨着去年收入的強勁增長,新加坡航空公司可能走上了盈利的道路。通過在這些利潤之前投資,股東承擔了更大的風險,希望獲得更大的回報。對於新加坡航空這樣風險較高的公司,我總是喜歡密切關注內部人士是在買入還是在賣出。因此,如果您想自己找出答案,請點擊此處。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果你對一家增長迅速、資產負債表堅如磐石的公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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