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Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Riverine China Holdings Limited (HKG:1417) Shares Dive 27%
Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Riverine China Holdings Limited (HKG:1417) Shares Dive 27%
Riverine China Holdings Limited (HKG:1417) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 27% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 38% share price drop.
Even after such a large drop in price, given close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 8x, you may still consider Riverine China Holdings as a stock to avoid entirely with its 16.7x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
For example, consider that Riverine China Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as it's earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Riverine China Holdings
SEHK:1417 Price Based on Past Earnings September 29th 2022 We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Riverine China Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Riverine China Holdings' Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Riverine China Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 21%. Regardless, EPS has managed to lift by a handy 22% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 20% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's alarming that Riverine China Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Riverine China Holdings' very lofty P/E. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Riverine China Holdings revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Riverine China Holdings has 2 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
You might be able to find a better investment than Riverine China Holdings. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20x (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
江河中國控股有限公司(HKG:1417)股東不會高興看到股價經歷了非常艱難的一個月,下跌了27%,抹去了前一段時間的積極表現。在過去12個月裏一直持有股票的股東非但沒有獲得回報,反而坐在股價下跌38%的位置上。
即使在股價下跌如此之大之後,考慮到近一半的香港公司的市盈率(或“市盈率”)低於8倍,你仍可能認為Riverine China Holdings是一隻應該完全避免的股票,因為它的市盈率為16.7倍。然而,僅僅從表面上看待市盈率是不明智的,因為可能會有一個解釋,為什麼它如此之高。
例如,考慮到Riverine China Holdings最近的財務表現一直很差,因為它的收益一直在下降。一種可能性是,市盈率很高,因為投資者認為該公司在不久的將來仍將採取足夠的措施來跑贏大盤。如果不是,那麼現有股東可能會對股價的生存能力感到相當緊張。
查看我們對Riverine China Holdings的最新分析
聯交所:1417基於過去收益的價格2022年9月29日我們沒有分析師的預測,但您可以通過查看我們的免費Riverine China Holdings的收益、收入和現金流報告。Riverine China Holdings的增長趨勢如何?
有一種固有的假設,即一家公司的市盈率應該遠遠超過市場,才能被認為是合理的。
如果我們回顧過去一年的收益,令人沮喪的是,該公司的利潤下降了21%。無論如何,得益於早期的增長,每股收益比三年前總共提高了22%。儘管這是一段坎坷的旅程,但公平地説,最近該公司的收益增長基本上是值得尊敬的。
將最近的中期收益軌跡與大盤一年增長20%的預測進行比較,結果顯示,按年率計算,它的吸引力明顯下降。
有鑑於此,Riverine China Holdings的市盈率高於大多數其他公司,這令人擔憂。顯然,該公司的許多投資者比最近的情況所顯示的要樂觀得多,不願以任何價格拋售他們的股票。如果市盈率下降到與最近的增長率更一致的水平,現有股東很可能會讓自己未來感到失望。
關鍵的外賣
股價的大幅下跌對江河中國控股非常高的市盈率幾乎沒有起到什麼作用。有人認為,在某些行業,市盈率是衡量價值的次要指標,但它可以成為一個強大的商業信心指標。
我們對Riverine China Holdings的調查顯示,該公司三年的盈利趨勢對其高市盈率的影響並不像我們預期的那麼大,因為它們看起來比目前的市場預期更糟糕。目前,我們對高市盈率越來越感到不安,因為這種盈利表現不太可能長期支撐這種積極情緒。除非最近的中期狀況明顯改善,否則要接受這些價格是合理的是非常具有挑戰性的。
你需要注意風險,例如-Riverine China Holdings有兩個警告信號(還有一點不可忽視)我們認為你應該知道這一點。
你或許能找到比Riverine China Holdings更好的投資。如果您想要選擇可能的候選人,請查看以下內容免費令人感興趣的市盈率低於20倍的公司名單(但已證明它們可以增加收益)。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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