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Investors Can Find Comfort In Cheerwin Group's (HKG:6601) Earnings Quality
Investors Can Find Comfort In Cheerwin Group's (HKG:6601) Earnings Quality
A lackluster earnings announcement from Cheerwin Group Limited (HKG:6601) last week didn't sink the stock price. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.
Check out our latest analysis for Cheerwin Group
SEHK:6601 Earnings and Revenue History September 29th 2022Zooming In On Cheerwin Group's Earnings
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
For the year to June 2022, Cheerwin Group had an accrual ratio of 0.48. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥76m despite its profit of CN¥61.6m, mentioned above. We saw that FCF was CN¥112m a year ago though, so Cheerwin Group has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
Unfortunately (in the short term) Cheerwin Group saw its profit reduced by unusual items worth CN¥13m. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. In the twelve months to June 2022, Cheerwin Group had a big unusual items expense. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items made its statutory profit significantly weaker than it would otherwise be.
Our Take On Cheerwin Group's Profit Performance
Cheerwin Group saw unusual items weigh on its profit, which should have made it easier to show high cash conversion, which it did not do, according to its accrual ratio. Given the contrasting considerations, we don't have a strong view as to whether Cheerwin Group's profits are an apt reflection of its underlying potential for profit. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Our analysis shows 2 warning signs for Cheerwin Group (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) and we strongly recommend you look at them before investing.
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
一份平淡無奇的財報契爾文集團有限公司(HKG:6601)上週股價沒有下跌。然而,我們認為投資者應該意識到一些可能令人擔憂的潛在因素。
查看我們對Cheerwin Group的最新分析
聯交所:6601盈利及收入歷史2022年9月29日放大Cheerwin Group的收益
正如金融書呆子們已經知道的那樣,現金流應計比率是評估一家公司的自由現金流(FCF)與利潤匹配程度的關鍵指標。應計制比率從給定期間的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間段內公司的平均運營資產。這一比率向我們展示了一家公司的利潤超過其固定現金流的程度。
因此,當一家公司的應計比率為負時,它實際上被認為是一件好事,但如果它的應計比率為正,那就是一件壞事。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認為,當一家公司的應計比率相對較高時,這一點值得注意。這是因為一些學術研究表明,高應計制比率往往會導致較低的利潤或較低的利潤增長。
在截至2022年6月的一年中,啦啦隊的應計比率為0.48。一般來説,這對未來的盈利能力來説是個不好的預兆。事實上,在此期間,該公司沒有產生任何自由現金流。在過去的12個月裏,它實際上有負面自由現金流,儘管其利潤為6160萬加元,但仍流出7600萬加元。我們看到一年前的FCF是1.12億元人民幣,所以Cheerwin Group至少在過去能夠產生正的FCF。然而,這並不是需要考慮的全部問題。應計比率反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響,至少在一定程度上是這樣。
這可能會讓你想知道,分析師對未來盈利能力的預測是什麼。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於他們估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。
異常項目對利潤的影響
不幸的是(在短期內),啦啦隊的利潤減少了價值1300萬元人民幣的不尋常項目。如果這是一項非現金費用,如果現金流保持強勁,它會使應計比率更好,所以與一個沒有激勵作用的應計比率結合在一起並不是很好。雖然最初由於不尋常的項目而扣除的金額令人失望,但也有一線希望。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大的不尋常項目往往不會重複。考慮到這些項目被認為是不尋常的,這並不令人驚訝。在截至2022年6月的12個月裏,啦啦隊有一大筆不同尋常的物品支出。因此,我們可以推測,這些不尋常的項目使其法定利潤明顯低於正常情況下的水平。
我們對啦啦隊盈利表現的看法
Cheerwin Group看到了不尋常的項目拖累了其利潤,根據其應計比率,這本應更容易顯示出高現金轉換率,但它並沒有這樣做。考慮到這兩種截然不同的考慮,我們對啦啦隊的利潤是否恰如其分地反映了其潛在的盈利潛力並沒有強烈的看法。因此,如果你想更深入地研究這隻股票,考慮它面臨的任何風險是至關重要的。我們的分析顯示啦啦隊的2個警示標誌(%1與我們的關係不太好!)我們強烈建議你在投資之前先看看它們。
在這篇文章中,我們研究了一些因素,這些因素可能會削弱利潤數字作為企業指南的效用。但還有很多其他方式可以讓你瞭解一家公司的看法。例如,許多人認為高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟指標,而另一些人則喜歡“跟着錢走”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。所以你可能想看看這個免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或內部人士正在購買的這份股票清單。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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