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Why SOFI Stock Will Be a Winner of Biden’s Student Loan Forgiveness Plans

Why SOFI Stock Will Be a Winner of Biden’s Student Loan Forgiveness Plans

為什麼索菲·斯托克將成為拜登學生貸款減免計劃的贏家
InvestorPlace ·  2022/09/27 13:30

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SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ:SOFI) stock has made plenty of investors nervous lately. The fintech startup caught Wall Street's eye after demonstrating impressive growth in early 2022. But as student loan repayment pauses have continued, companies in the loan-refinancing space have faced considerable turbulence. For SOFI stock, this has meant a complicated year spent mostly in the red.

索菲科技納斯達克(Sequoia Capital:SO菲)股票最近讓很多投資者感到緊張。金融科技創業公司在2022年初表現出令人印象深刻的增長後,吸引了華爾街的注意。但隨着學生貸款償還暫停的持續,貸款再融資領域的公司面臨着相當大的動盪。對於索菲的股票來説,這意味着複雜的一年,大部分時間都是虧損的。

On Aug. 24, the White House announced a one-time student loan forgiveness plan, targeting lower-income and middle-income borrowers. The policy meant $20,000 in student debt relief for Pell Grant recipients and $10,000 for other borrowers. It does not apply to borrowers with annual incomes over $125,000. Additionally, President Joe Biden's administration extended the current moratorium on student loan payments through January 2023. For companies like SoFi, this is hardly welcome news. But according to one expert, what seemed like a bad turn may be about to give rise to a valuable new market opportunity.

8月24日,白宮宣佈了一項針對低收入和中等收入借款人的一次性學生貸款減免計劃。這項政策意味着佩爾助學金獲得者將獲得2萬美元的學生債務減免,其他借款人將獲得1萬美元的債務減免。它不適用於年收入超過12.5萬美元的借款人。此外,總裁Joe拜登政府將目前暫停償還助學貸款的期限延長至2023年1月。對於像SoFi這樣的公司來説,這並不是什麼好消息。但根據一位專家的説法,看似糟糕的轉折可能即將帶來一個寶貴的新市場機會。

A New Market for SOFI Stock

SOFI股票的新市場

Mark Kantrowitz is a nationally recognized student loan expert and the president of PrivateStudentLoans.guru, noted for his insights on lending and personal finance. As he sees it, companies like SoFi will have a unique growth opportunity in the coming months as borrowers get ready to resume payments. As he notes:

馬克·坎特羅維茨是全國公認的助學貸款專家,也是私人助學貸款網站的總裁,以其在貸款和個人理財方面的洞察力而聞名。在他看來,隨着借款人準備恢復還款,像SoFi這樣的公司在未來幾個月將有一個獨特的增長機會。正如他所指出的:

"Lenders of private student loans are likely to see a rush of applications for private refinance soon after the forgiveness application becomes available, and these borrowers will involve a better quality mix. Borrowers know that the Federal Reserve Board has been raising interest rates, and they want to lock in a low fixed interest rate before interest rates rise too much."

“私人助學貸款的貸款人可能會在獲得豁免申請後不久看到私人再融資申請蜂擁而至,這些借款人將涉及更高質量的組合.借款人知道美國聯邦儲備委員會(美聯儲/FED)一直在加息,他們希望在利率上升太多之前鎖定較低的固定利率.”

Why will there be a rush of activity for companies in the private refinancing space? As Kantrowitz sees it, it makes sense to apply for loan forgiveness sooner than the Dec. 31, 2023 deadline. "If a borrower wants to receive forgiveness by the restart of repayment, they need to apply for forgiveness by November 15, 2022," he tells InvestorPlace. The application becomes available in October 2022, and Kantrowitz thinks borrowers should apply as soon as it does. If borrowers follow this advice, it will certainly generate the type of rush that could sent SOFI stock shooting up.

為什麼私人再融資領域的公司會出現一波活動熱潮?在Kantrowitz看來,在2023年12月31日的最後期限之前申請貸款減免是有意義的。他説:“如果借款人想通過重新開始還款來獲得寬恕,他們需要在2022年11月15日之前申請寬恕。”投資商位置。該申請將於2022年10月推出,Kantrowitz認為借款人應該儘快申請。如果借款人聽從這一建議,肯定會產生可能導致索菲股價飆升的那種熱潮。

Examining the market landscape through a macro lens, Kantrowitz laid out what it will look like after the plan takes effect. He noted that there will be two groups of borrowers left: those with large student loan balances and those who did not qualify for forgiveness due to their high incomes. The first group is likely comprised of people with graduate degrees, such as doctors and lawyers. Kantrowitz concluded that "both represent good prospects for private refi." By that logic, SoFi will have to district groups looking to take advantage of its private-loan-refinancing services.

Kantrowitz通過宏觀鏡頭審視市場格局,闡述了該計劃生效後的情況。他指出,將剩下兩組借款人:那些有大量學生貸款餘額的人,以及那些由於收入高而沒有資格獲得豁免的人。第一類人很可能是擁有研究生學位的人,比如醫生和律師。坎特羅維茨總結道:“這兩家公司都代表着私人再融資的良好前景。”按照這種邏輯,SoFi將不得不對希望利用其私人貸款再融資服務的地區集團進行定位。

What Comes Next

接下來會發生什麼?

Of course, there may be obstacles. As of now, a lawsuit is currently circulating in an attempt to stop President Biden's policy from going through. But Kantrowitz recently made the argument that these legal challenges could easily backfire, describing the plan as a "'heads I win, tails you lose' scenario for Democrats." It is likely to be a lengthy process, and there is no guarantee the anti-forgiveness arguments will hold up.

當然,可能會有障礙。截至目前,一起試圖阻止總裁·拜登政策通過的訴訟正在流傳。但坎特羅維茨最近提出的論點是,這些法律挑戰很容易適得其反,他將該計劃描述為對民主黨人來説是“正面我贏,反面你輸”的情景。這很可能是一個漫長的過程,也不能保證反對寬恕的論點會站得住腳。

InvestorPlace recently laid out how student loan forgiveness can benefit the economy. But according to Kantrowitz's argument, it will even help the companies who were originally seen as the losers of the policy. SOFI stock has the rare opportunity to grow within the coming months ahead as consumer focus shifts to loan refinancing.

投資商位置最近闡述了免除學生貸款如何使經濟受益。但根據Kantrowitz的説法,這甚至會幫助那些原本被視為該政策輸家的公司。隨着消費者的注意力轉向貸款再融資,索菲的股價在未來幾個月內迎來了難得的增長機會。

On the date of publication, Samuel O'Brient did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

截至發稿之日,塞繆爾·奧布賴特並未(直接或間接)持有本文所述證券的任何頭寸。本文中表達的觀點是作者的觀點,受InvestorPlace.com出版指南.

Samuel O'Brient has been covering financial markets and analyzing economic policy for three-plus years. His areas of expertise involve electric vehicle (EV) stocks, green energy and NFTs. O'Brient loves helping everyone understand the complexities of economics. He is ranked in the top 15% of stock pickers on TipRanks.

三年多來,塞繆爾·奧布賴特一直在報道金融市場和分析經濟政策。他的專業領域涉及電動汽車(EV)股票、綠色能源和NFTs。奧布賴特喜歡幫助每個人理解經濟學的複雜性。他在TipRanks上排名前15%的選股人。

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