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Are United Fire Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:UFCS) Mixed Financials Driving The Negative Sentiment?
Are United Fire Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:UFCS) Mixed Financials Driving The Negative Sentiment?
With its stock down 14% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard United Fire Group (NASDAQ:UFCS). It is possible that the markets have ignored the company's differing financials and decided to lean-in to the negative sentiment. Long-term fundamentals are usually what drive market outcomes, so it's worth paying close attention. In this article, we decided to focus on United Fire Group's ROE.
Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.
View our latest analysis for United Fire Group
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
ROE can be calculated by using the formula:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for United Fire Group is:
8.5% = US$66m ÷ US$781m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).
The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.08 in profit.
What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?
So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
United Fire Group's Earnings Growth And 8.5% ROE
At first glance, United Fire Group's ROE doesn't look very promising. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 11%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 11% seen by United Fire Group was probably the result of it having a lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For example, it is possible that the business has allocated capital poorly or that the company has a very high payout ratio.
So, as a next step, we compared United Fire Group's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 14% in the same period.
NasdaqGS:UFCS Past Earnings Growth September 27th 2022Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if United Fire Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.
Is United Fire Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?
United Fire Group's low three-year median payout ratio of 17% (or a retention ratio of 83%) over the last three years should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth but the company's earnings have actually shrunk. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For instance, the business has faced some headwinds.
Moreover, United Fire Group has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.
Summary
On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by United Fire Group can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 2 risks we have identified for United Fire Group by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
聯合消防集團(納斯達克:UFCS)股價在過去三個月裏下跌了14%,人們很容易忽視它。市場可能忽視了該公司不同的財務狀況,決定向負面情緒傾斜。長期基本面通常是推動市場結果的因素,因此值得密切關注。在本文中,我們決定將重點放在聯合消防集團的淨資產收益率上。
股本回報率(ROE)是用來評估公司管理層利用公司資本效率的關鍵指標。簡而言之,它是用來評估一家公司相對於其權益資本的盈利能力。
查看我們對聯合消防集團的最新分析
如何計算股本回報率?
可使用以下公式計算淨資產收益率:
股本回報率=(持續經營的)淨利潤?股東權益
因此,根據上述公式,聯合消防集團的淨資產收益率為:
8.5%=6600萬美元×7.81億美元(基於截至2022年6月的12個月)。
“收益”是過去12個月的利潤。另一種想法是,每價值1美元的股本,公司就能夠賺取0.08美元的利潤。
淨資產收益率與盈利增長有什麼關係?
到目前為止,我們瞭解到淨資產收益率是衡量一家公司盈利能力的指標。根據公司選擇再投資或“保留”多少利潤,我們就能夠評估一家公司未來產生利潤的能力。假設其他條件相同,與沒有相同特徵的公司相比,擁有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常會有更高的增長率。
聯合消防集團的收益增長和8.5%的淨資產收益率
乍一看,聯合消防集團的淨資產收益率看起來並不是很有希望。其次,與平均11%的行業淨資產收益率相比,該公司的淨資產收益率讓我們感到更不熱情。因此,説聯合消防集團五年淨收入下降11%可能是因為它的淨資產收益率較低,這可能是正確的。我們認為,可能還有其他因素在起作用。例如,可能是企業的資本配置不當,或者公司的派息率非常高。
因此,下一步,我們將聯合消防集團的表現與行業進行了比較,令人失望的是,儘管該公司的收益一直在縮水,但同期該行業的收益一直以14%的速度增長。
納斯達克:UFCS過去的收益增長2022年9月27日盈利增長是評估一隻股票時需要考慮的一個重要指標。對於投資者來説,重要的是知道市場是否已經消化了公司預期的收益增長(或下降)。這有助於他們確定這隻股票是為光明還是黯淡的未來做準備。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據一隻股票的盈利前景決定市場願意為其支付的價格。因此,你可能想看看聯合消防集團相對於其行業是高市盈率還是低市盈率。
聯合消防集團是否有效地利用了其留存收益?
聯合消防集團過去三年的低三年派息率中值為17%(或留存率為83%),這應該意味着該公司將保留大部分收益來推動其增長,但該公司的收益實際上已經縮水。較低的派息應該意味着該公司保留了大部分收益,因此應該會看到一些增長。因此,可能還有其他因素在起作用,可能會阻礙經濟增長。例如,該業務一直面臨一些不利因素。
此外,聯合消防集團至少十年或更長時間一直在支付股息,這表明管理層一定已經意識到,股東更喜歡股息,而不是收益增長。
摘要
總體來説,我們覺得聯合火力集團的表現可以有多種解讀。雖然該公司的再投資率確實很高,但低ROE意味着所有的再投資都沒有給投資者帶來任何好處,而且對收益增長產生了負面影響。總而言之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是查看業務的風險概況。您可以通過訪問我們的風險控制面板在我們的平臺上是免費的。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
風險及免責聲明
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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