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7 Investments to FIRE Up a Fat Stash and Retire Early

7 Investments to FIRE Up a Fat Stash and Retire Early

7投資以增加脂肪儲備並提早退休
InvestorPlace ·  2022/09/23 14:27

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Two years ago, I wrote about buying on the dip as an investment strategy for those in the FIRE movement. FIRE stands for Financial Independence, Retire Early, and involves a commitment to both cutting your daily expenses and an accelerated investment strategy. Today, FatFIRE is the "in" retirement concept. 

兩年前,我寫過關於逢低買入的文章作為對那些參與火災運動的人的投資策略。FIRE代表財務獨立,提前退休,承諾削減日常開支和加快投資戰略。如今,FatFIRE是一種“流行”的退休概念。

FatFIRE takes things a step further. Devotees to this new movement want to be able to "retire with a fat stash" that allows them to live on around $100,000 a year. According to Fortune, FatFIRE split off from FIRE in 2016 when a Reddit user decided cutting his expenses to the bone wasn't his idea of a good time. 

FatFire讓事情更上一層樓。這項新運動的擁護者們希望能夠“帶着一大筆錢退休”,這樣他們每年的生活費就能達到10萬美元左右。根據《財富》雜誌2016年,當一位Reddit用户認為削減開支不是他的好時機時,FatFire從Fire中分離出來。

And so the subreddit r/fatFIRE was born. Today, it has more than 330,000 members. The downside of FatFIRE is that it's incredibly unrealistic. Very few people have the skillset to pull it off. Financial planner Dana Menard puts it at around a tenth of the population. 

因此,子編輯r/fate Fire誕生了。今天,它有超過33萬名成員。FatFIRE的缺點是它非常不現實。很少有人有能力做到這一點。財務規劃師達娜·梅納德認為,這一比例約佔總人口的十分之一。

If you believe you're in this cohort, though, here are seven investments to help you with your FatFIRE dreams.

不過,如果你認為自己屬於這個羣體,這裏有七項投資可以幫助你實現你的FatFire夢想。

FDIS
FDI
Fidelity MSCI Consumer Discretionary Index ETF
富達MSCI消費者可自由支配指數ETF
$61.96
$61.96
VHT
VHT
Vanguard Health Care ETF 
先鋒醫療ETF
$225.60
$225.60
XNTK
XNTK
SPDR NYSE Technology ETF
SPDR NYSE科技ETF
$96.48
$96.48
JXI
JXI
i
i
Shares Global Utilities ETF
共享全球公用事業ETF
$59.49
$59.49
LVMUY
LVMUY
LVMH
路威酩軒集團
$117.17
$117.17
BRK-B
BRK-B
Berkshire Hathaway
伯克希爾哈撒韋
$266.45
$266.45
DE
Deere & Co.
迪爾股份有限公司。
$331.67
$331.67

Fidelity MSCI Consumer Discretionary Index ETF (FDIS)

富達MSCI消費者可自由支配指數ETF(FDIS)

Source: Shutterstock
消息來源:Shutterstock

The Novel Investor has a 15-year chart that shows the annual performance of all 11 sectors in the S&P 500. The first thing I noticed is that the index's consumer discretionary stocks were in the top three sectors based on annual returns on eight occasions. That's the best showing of all 11 sectors.

這個新投資者有一張15年的圖表這顯示了所有11個行業的年度表現標準普爾500指數。我注意到的第一件事是,根據年度回報,該指數的非必需消費品類股有8次躋身前三名。這是所有11個板塊中表現最好的。

So, if you don't want to lose your shirt betting on consumer trends — Peloton Interactive (NASDAQ:PTON) and Wayfair (NYSE:W) come to mind — take the safer route and bet on the entire sector.

所以,如果你不想在消費趨勢上輸得精光-Peloton互動(納斯達克:PTON)和維福爾(紐約證券交易所股票代碼:W)-選擇更安全的路線,押注於整個行業。

I selected Fidelity MSCI Consumer Discretionary Index ETF (NYSEARCA:FDIS) because it has a low expense ratio of 0.08%, 2 basis points less than Vanguard and State Street's versions. 

我選擇了富達MSCI消費者可自由支配指數ETF(NYSEArca:FDI)因為它的費用率很低,只有0.08%,比先鋒銀行和道富銀行的版本低2個基點。

FDIS tracks the performance of the MSCI USA IMI Consumer Discretionary Index, a collection of companies that reflects the consumer discretionary sector in the U.S. The cap-weighted ETF has 330 holdings. The top 10 account for 63% of the $1.1 billion in total assets.

FDI跟蹤摩根士丹利資本國際美國非必需消費品指數,反映美國非必需消費品行業的公司集合。這隻市值加權的ETF持有330只股票。排名前10位的人佔63%在總資產11億美元中。

I'd own all 10. However, note that Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) account for almost 40% of the ETF's assets. I like both companies, but if you don't, you may want to pass on putting this ETF in your FatFIRE portfolio.

我會擁有所有的10個。但是,請注意亞馬遜(納斯達克:AMZN)和特斯拉(納斯達克:特斯拉)佔該ETF資產的近40%。我喜歡這兩家公司,但如果你不喜歡,你可能會想把這隻ETF放在你的FatFIRE投資組合中。

Vanguard Health Care ETF (VHT)

先鋒醫療ETF(VHT)

Source: Supavadee butradee / Shutterstock.com
來源:Supavadee Butradee/Shutterstock.com

After consumer discretionary, healthcare was the sector with the most years out of the past 15 as a top performer, according to Novel Investor. With the U.S. population getting older and life expectancy increasing, demand for healthcare will continue to rise. The need for healthcare is never going away. It's that simple.

根據Novity Investor的數據,在過去15年中,醫療保健是表現最好的行業,僅次於非必需消費品行業。隨着美國人口老齡化和預期壽命的增加,對醫療保健的需求將繼續上升。對醫療保健的需求永遠不會消失。就這麼簡單。

Vanguard Health Care ETF (NYSEARCA:VHT) tracks the performance of the MSCI U.S. Investable Market Health Care 25/50 Index, a collection of large and small healthcare stocks. The 25/50 means that a single stock can't account for more than 25% of the index, and those companies with a weighting exceeding 5%, added together, can't account for more than a 50% weighting.

先鋒醫療ETF(NYSEArca:VHT)跟蹤MSCI美國可投資市場醫療保健25/50指數的表現,大大小小的醫療保健類股的集合。這個25/50意味着一隻股票在指數中的權重不能超過25%,權重超過5%的公司加在一起,權重不能超過50%。

The ETF has 405 stocks and $15.8 billion in total assets. It leans heavily on pharmaceuticals, which account for 26.6% of the portfolio, biotechnology (17.6%) and health care equipment (17.5%). The top 10 holding account for 47% of the ETF.  

該ETF擁有405只股票和158億美元在總資產中。它嚴重依賴佔投資組合26.6%的藥品、生物技術(17.6%)和醫療保健設備(17.5%)。這個前十大持有量佔該ETF的47%。

As for the top three holdings, you've got UnitedHealth Group (NYSE:UNH) at 8.9%, Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ) at 7.8%, and Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) at 4.6%. Is it a coincidence that two of those names developed Covid-19 vaccines? I don't think so. 

至於前三大持有量,你已經得到了聯合健康集團(紐約證券交易所:UNH)為8.9%,強生(紐約證券交易所代碼:JNJ)為7.8%,以及輝瑞公司(紐約證券交易所:PFE),為4.6%。其中兩個名字研發出新冠肺炎疫苗,這是巧合嗎?我不這樣認為。

Over the past 10 years, VHT has had an average annualized total return of 14.3%.

過去10年,VHT的平均年化總回報率為14.3%。

SPDR NYSE Technology ETF (XNTK)

SPDR NYSE科技ETF(XNTK)

Source: Shutterstock
消息來源:Shutterstock

The SPDR NYSE Technology ETF (NYSEARCA:XNTK) from State Street tracks the performance of the NYSE Technology Index, an equal-weighted index composed of 35 of the leading U.S.-listed technology-related companies. 

這個SPDR NYSE科技ETF(NYSEArca:XNTK)從道富銀行跟蹤紐約證交所科技指數的表現,該指數由35家領先的在美國上市的科技相關公司組成。

I'm a big fan of equal-weighted ETFs because they don't rely too much on one or two stocks like FDIS above does. A few bad years by both Tesla and Amazon and your hard-earned capital is dead money.

我是等權重ETF的鐵桿粉絲,因為它們不像上面提到的FDIS那樣太依賴一兩隻股票。特斯拉和亞馬遜都度過了糟糕的幾年,你辛苦賺來的資本就是死錢。

The weighted average market cap of the companies held by the ETF is $392 billion, so it's very large-cap in nature. The top three industries are semiconductors (24%), internet and direct marketing retail (9.8%) and systems software (9.5%). 

該ETF持有的公司的加權平均市值為3920億美元,因此本質上是非常大的市值。排名前三的行業是半導體(24%)、互聯網和直銷零售(9.8%)和系統軟件(9.5%)。

In business since September 2000, XNTK has total net assets of $365.4 million, so it's not a massive fund. IBM (NYSE:IBM) is the top holding at 4.9%, followed by Tesla and Apple (NASDSQ:AAPL). But remember, the ETF is equal-weighted, so every three months, all 35 holdings are rebalanced to about 2.85%.

自2000年9月開始運營以來,XNTK的總淨資產為3.654億美元,因此它並不是一隻規模龐大的基金。IBM(紐約證券交易所:IBM)是持股最高的,為4.9%,其次是特斯拉和蘋果(納斯達克:AAPL)。但請記住,ETF是等權重的,因此每三個月,所有35只ETF的持有量都會重新平衡至2.85%左右。

The ETF has an average annualized total return of 16.2% over the past 10 years.

該ETF過去10年的平均年化總回報率為16.2%。

iShares Global Utilities ETF (JXI)

IShares全球公用事業ETF(JXI)

Source: Shutterstock
消息來源:Shutterstock

I wanted to play a little defense for the last of my ETF picks for FatFIRE investments. The S&P 500 utilities sector was in the top three positions in five of the 15 years between 2007 and 2021. The sector's average annual return was 8.6% during that period. 

我想為我為FatFIRE投資挑選的最後幾隻ETF做一點辯護。在2007年至2021年的15年中,標準普爾500公用事業板塊有5年位居前三。在此期間,該板塊的平均年回報率為8.6%。

When I'm writing about ETFs or stocks in a gallery, I like to spread the love around. So, I've chosen the iShares Global Utilities ETF (NYSEARCA:JXI). In addition, rather than going with another U.S.-focused fund, I'm going global.

當我在畫廊裏寫關於ETF或股票的時候,我喜歡把愛傳播開來。所以,我選擇了IShares全球公用事業ETF(NYSEArca:JXI)。此外,我沒有選擇另一隻專注於美國的基金,而是走向全球。

JXI tracks the performance of the S&P Global 1200 Utilities (Sector) Capped Index. By the index's name, you're probably thinking it follows 1,200 utility companies. Nope. It's constructed from the utilities stocks in the S&P Global 1200. The ETF has 65 total holdings, with almost 61% of its $173 million in assets under management made up of electric utilities. 

JXI跟蹤性能標普全球1200公用事業(板塊)封頂指數。根據該指數的名稱,你可能會認為它跟蹤了1200家公用事業公司。不是的。它是用公用事業股建造的標普全球1200指數。該ETF共持有65只股票,該公司管理的1.73億美元資產中,有近61%是電力公用事業公司。

The top holding is NextEra Energy (NYSE:NEE) at 9.7%. NEE is by far my favorite utility stock. I recently recommended it as a stock to buy for safety in this volatile market.

最高的持有量是NextEra Energy(紐約證券交易所:不需要),為9.7%。到目前為止,NEE是我最喜歡的公用事業類股。我最近推薦在這個動盪的市場中,為了安全起見,它被認為是一隻股票。

One key tenet of investing is to always protect your capital. Never lose money if you can help it. Utilities tend to lose less when all hell breaks loose.  They can't all be moonshot, even for FatFIRE folks.

投資的一個關鍵原則是始終保護你的資本。如果你能控制自己,千萬不要賠錢。當所有的地獄都打破時,公用事業公司的損失往往會更小。它們不可能都是登月的,即使是對FatFire的人來説也是如此。

LVMH (LVMUY)

路威酩軒集團(LVMUY)

Source: Postmodern Studio / Shutterstock.com
資料來源:後現代工作室/Shutterstock.com

Indian billionaire Gautam Adani recently passed Bernard Arnault, LVMH (OTCMKTS:LVMUY) co-founder and CEO, as the world's third-richest person. Arnault has dropped to fourth sport, worth an estimated $133 billion. The 22% drop in LVMH stock over the past year certainly contributed to his fall in the ranking. 

印度億萬富翁Gautam Adani最近通過伯納德·阿爾諾,路威酩軒集團(OTCMKTS:LVMUY)聯合創始人兼首席執行官,世界第三大富豪。阿爾諾已跌至第四名,身價估計為1330億美元。路威酩軒集團股價在過去一年裏下跌了22%,這無疑是他排名下降的原因之一。

But Arnault won't be down for long and neither will LVMH shares. LVMH is one of the world's finest businesses with stable luxury brands that can't be equaled. 

但阿爾諾的股價不會下跌太久,路威酩軒的股價也不會下跌太久。LVMH是世界上最好的企業之一,擁有無與倫比的穩定的奢侈品牌。

If you think running a business full of luxury brands is easy, think again. Qiu Yafu, the chairman of China's Shandong Ruyi Group, spent more than $3 billion over the past six years buying up European fashion brands and other assets. He was the talk of the country for a while. But now, the former factory worker is struggling to hang on to his assets, only four years removed from stating publicly that he wanted to turn Shandong into China's LVMH. He's learned the hard way that there's only one LVMH. 

如果你認為經營一家充斥着奢侈品牌的企業很容易,那就錯了。中國山東如意集團董事長邱亞夫花費了超過30億美元在過去六年裏,收購了歐洲時尚品牌和其他資產。有一段時間,他是全國的熱門話題。但現在,這位前工廠工人正努力保住自己的資產,四年後,他公開表示想把山東變成中國的路威酩軒集團。他痛苦地認識到,世界上只有一個路威酩軒集團。

In 2021, the company's 75 brands generated 64.2 billion euros ($62.2 billion) in revenue and 12 billion euros ($11.6 billion) in net profits from more than 5,500 stores worldwide. 

2021年,該公司的75個品牌創造了642億歐元的收入來自全球5500多家門店的收入(622億美元)和120億歐元(116億美元)的淨利潤。

Articles continue to be written that macro forces such as inflation, recession, Covid-19, the war in Ukraine, etc., will slow purveyors of luxury goods. That reality is evident, the critics say, by the correction in LVMH's stock over the past year. But I say this is a stock you'll want to own heading into the next bull market.

不斷有文章寫到宏觀力量如通脹、經濟衰退、新冠肺炎、烏克蘭戰爭等,都會令奢侈品供應商放緩。批評者説,從LVMH過去一年的股價回調中可以明顯看出這一點。但我説的是他的股票是你在進入下一個牛市時想要持有的股票。

Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B)

伯克希爾哈撒韋公司(BRK-B)

Source: Jonathan Weiss / Shutterstock.com
來源:喬納森·韋斯/Shutterstock.com

Like the utility ETF, Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK-B) is a bit of a defensive play. Its diversification provides investors with some downside protection. You'll notice I said "some." Its shares are down almost 11% in 2022. 

就像公用事業ETF一樣,伯克希爾哈撒韋(紐約證券交易所:BRK-B)是一種有點防守的戰術。它的多元化為投資者提供了一些下行保護。你會注意到我説的是“一些”其股價在2022年下跌了近11%。

Berkshire Hathaway has become best known for its large stake in Apple. The company owns 5.6% of the stock. When Apple has a bad day — it lost $154 billion in market value on Sept. 20 — BRK.B stock feels the pain because AAPL accounts for approximately 40% of its equities portfolio. 

伯克希爾哈撒韋公司因其在蘋果公司的大量股份而聞名。該公司擁有5.6%的股份。當蘋果經歷了糟糕的一天時-它在9月9日損失了1540億美元的市值。20-BRK.B股票感受到了痛苦,因為AAPL約佔其股票投資組合的40%。

Of course, Berkshire is much more than just the third-largest shareholder of Apple stock. It's a mutual fund without fees. It generated significant revenue and pre-tax profits in 2021 — $276.1 billion and $110.7 billion, respectively — while continuing to find lucrative places to invest its excess cash. 

當然,伯克希爾不僅僅是第三大股東蘋果公司的股票。這是一個免費的共同基金。它在2021年創造了可觀的收入和税前利潤-2,761億美元和1,107億美元-同時繼續尋找有利可圖的地方來投資其多餘的現金。

For instance, Warren Buffett continues to accumulate Occidental Petroleum (NYSE:OXY) stock. Berkshire now owns 20.2% of the oil and gas company run by CEO Vicki Hollub, making OXY Berkshire's sixth-largest holding. Recently, Berkshire got approval from the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission to buy up to 50% of OXY's stock.

例如,沃倫·巴菲特繼續積累西方石油公司(紐約證券交易所:含氧量)股票。伯克希爾現在擁有20.2%的股份石油和天然氣公司的由首席執行官Vicki Hollub運營,使Oxy成為伯克希爾哈撒韋的第六大持股。最近,伯克希爾哈撒韋公司獲得了美國聯邦能源管理委員會的批准,可以購買Oxy公司至多50%的股份。

Twenty-four months ago, Buffett's bet wasn't looking too good. But by playing the long game, he continues to zig when others zag. He's the best for a reason.  

24個月前,巴菲特的賭注看起來並不太好。但通過玩長期遊戲,他繼續在其他人曲折的時候曲折前進。他是最棒的是有原因的。

Deere & Co (DE)

迪爾股份有限公司(DE)

Source: Jim Lambert / Shutterstock.com
來源:Jim Lambert/Shutterstock.com

Here's a statistic about Deere & Co. (NYSE:DE) that I bet you didn't know. The company will generate 10% of its revenue from software subscriptions by 2030. That's right, the maker of the big green tractor and combine is selling farmers software to run smart tractors and combines. 

這是一份關於迪爾股份有限公司。(紐約證券交易所:)我打賭你不知道。到2030年,該公司10%的收入將來自軟件訂閲。沒錯,大型綠色拖拉機和聯合收割機的製造商正在向農民銷售運行智能拖拉機和聯合收割機的軟件。

Not everyone is happy about the company's sales and service practices. A group of concerned farmers and trade associations filed a complaint with the U.S. Federal Trade Commission in March, alleging that the company has refused to provide access to the diagnostic software so farmers can fix their machines. 

並不是每個人都對公司的銷售和服務做法感到滿意。一羣憂心忡忡的農民和貿易協會提出了申訴3月份,該公司與美國聯邦貿易委員會提起訴訟,聲稱該公司拒絕提供診斷軟件,以便農民可以修復他們的機器。

Deere contends that it provides all the guides, tools, etc. needed to get the job done. The two sides remain at a standstill. It is something investors should continue to monitor. 

迪爾聲稱,它提供了完成這項工作所需的所有指南、工具等。雙方仍處於停滯狀態。這是投資者應該繼續關注的事情。

At the end of the day, though, Deere controls more than 50% of the $68 billion U.S. agricultural equipment market. It's got a lot of existing and new customers that it can move to monthly software subscriptions. Not all farmers may like it, but it's good business.

不過,歸根結底,迪爾控制着美國680億美元農業設備市場50%以上的份額。它有很多現有的和新的客户,可以轉移到每月的軟件訂閲上。並不是所有的農民都喜歡它,但這是一筆好生意。

Seventeen of the 26 analysts who cover the stock rate it "overweight" or "buy," with eight "holds" and just one "underweight" ratings. The average target price of $406.91 is 23% higher than the current share price.

在追蹤股票評級的26位分析師中,有17位分析師的評級為“增持”或“買入”,其中8位分析師的評級為“持有”,只有一位分析師的評級為“減持”。406.91美元的平均目標價較當前股價高出23%.

In the long run, you don't want to bet against agriculture. 

從長遠來看,你不會想押注於農業的。

On the date of publication, Will Ashworth did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

在出版之日,威爾·阿什沃斯沒有(直接或間接)持有本文所述證券的任何頭寸。本文中表達的觀點是作者的觀點,受InvestorPlace.com發佈指南.

Will Ashworth has written about investments full-time since 2008. Publications where he's appeared include InvestorPlace, The Motley Fool Canada, Investopedia, Kiplinger, and several others in both the U.S. and Canada. He particularly enjoys creating model portfolios that stand the test of time. He lives in Halifax, Nova Scotia.

威爾·阿什沃斯自2008年以來一直全職撰寫有關投資的文章。他現身的出版物包括InvestorPlace、The Motley Fool Canada、Investopedia、Kiplinger以及美國和加拿大的其他幾家出版物。他尤其喜歡創建經得起時間考驗的投資組合模型。他住在新斯科舍省的哈利法克斯。

The post 7 Investments to FIRE Up a Fat Stash and Retire Early appeared first on InvestorPlace.

在InvestorPlace上最早出現的是7號投資公司(Post 7 Investments),它點燃了一筆脂肪儲備,提前退休。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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