-
市場
-
產品
-
資訊
-
Moo社區
-
課堂
-
查看更多
-
功能介紹
-
費用費用透明,無最低余額限制
投資選擇、功能介紹、費用相關信息由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供
- English
- 中文繁體
- 中文简体
- 深色
- 淺色
Earnings Are Growing at Kennametal (NYSE:KMT) but Shareholders Still Don't Like Its Prospects
Earnings Are Growing at Kennametal (NYSE:KMT) but Shareholders Still Don't Like Its Prospects
For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers So we wouldn't blame long term Kennametal Inc. (NYSE:KMT) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 43% over a half decade. And it's not just long term holders hurting, because the stock is down 35% in the last year. Even worse, it's down 16% in about a month, which isn't fun at all. We do note, however, that the broader market is down 7.2% in that period, and this may have weighed on the share price.
If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Kennametal isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.
View our latest analysis for Kennametal
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
While the share price declined over five years, Kennametal actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 24% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
Due to the lack of correlation between the EPS growth and the falling share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movement.
It could be that the revenue decline of 4.6% per year is viewed as evidence that Kennametal is shrinking. That could explain the weak share price.
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
NYSE:KMT Earnings and Revenue Growth September 20th 2022We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Kennametal
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Kennametal the TSR over the last 5 years was -36%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
While the broader market lost about 15% in the twelve months, Kennametal shareholders did even worse, losing 34% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 6% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Kennametal that you should be aware of.
There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對許多人來説,投資的主要目的是創造比整體市場更高的回報。但主要的遊戲是找到足夠多的贏家來抵消輸家,這樣我們就不會責怪長期Kennamtal Inc.(紐約證券交易所股票代碼:KMT)股東對他們持有股票的決定表示懷疑,該股在五年內下跌了43%。受害的不只是長期持有者,因為該股去年下跌了35%。更糟糕的是,它在大約一個月內下跌了16%,這一點都不好玩。然而,我們確實注意到,大盤在此期間下跌了7.2%,這可能拖累了股價。
如果以過去一週為標準,投資者對Kennamtal的情緒並不樂觀,所以讓我們看看基本面和股價之間是否存在錯配。
查看我們對Kennamtal的最新分析
用巴菲特的話説,“船隻將在世界各地航行,但平坦的地球協會將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大的差異……”一種不完美但簡單的方法來考慮市場對一家公司的看法是如何改變的,那就是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。
雖然股價在五年內下跌,但Kennamtal實際上成功地增加平均每年以24%的速度增長。考慮到股價的反應,人們可能會懷疑,每股收益不是這段時間內業務表現的良好指南(可能是因為一次性的虧損或收益)。或者,增長預期在過去可能是不合理的。
由於每股收益增長和股價下跌之間缺乏相關性,因此有必要看看其他指標,試圖瞭解股價走勢。
每年4.6%的收入下降可能被視為Kennamtal正在縮水的證據。這可能解釋了股價疲軟的原因。
您可以在下圖中看到收益和收入隨時間的變化(單擊圖表查看確切的值)。
紐約證券交易所:國民黨收益和收入增長2022年9月20日我們認為,內部人士在過去一年進行了大量收購,這是積極的。即便如此,未來的收益對現有股東是否賺錢將重要得多。這免費顯示分析師預測的報告應該有助於您形成對Kennamtal的看法
那股息呢?
在考察投資回報時,重要的是要考慮到股東總回報(TSR)和股價回報。TSR包括任何剝離或貼現融資的價值,以及任何股息,基於股息再投資的假設。可以説,TSR更全面地描繪了一隻股票產生的回報。我們注意到Kennamtal在過去5年的TSR為-36%,這比上面提到的股價回報率更好。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!
不同的視角
雖然大盤在過去12個月裏下跌了約15%,但Kennamtal的股東表現更糟,損失了34%(甚至包括股息)。然而,這可能只是因為股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。也許有必要關注基本面,以防出現良機。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示着尚未解決的挑戰,因為它比過去五年6%的年化損失更糟糕。一般來説,股價長期疲軟可能是一個壞信號,儘管反向投資者可能會希望研究這隻股票,希望它能好轉。雖然值得考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。例如,我們已經確定肯納塔爾的1個警告標誌這一點你應該知道。
還有很多其他公司讓內部人士買進股票。你很可能會這麼做不想懷念這一切嗎?免費內部人士正在收購的成長型公司名單。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
風險及免責聲明
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
- 分享到weixin
- 分享到qq
- 分享到facebook
- 分享到twitter
- 分享到微博
- 粘贴板
使用瀏覽器的分享功能,分享給你的好友吧