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Earnings Are Growing at Gemdale Properties and Investment (HKG:535) but Shareholders Still Don't Like Its Prospects
Earnings Are Growing at Gemdale Properties and Investment (HKG:535) but Shareholders Still Don't Like Its Prospects
As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. We regret to report that long term Gemdale Properties and Investment Corporation Limited (HKG:535) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 29% in three years, versus a market decline of about 3.5%. On top of that, the share price is down 7.2% in the last week. Importantly, this could be a market reaction to the recently released financial results. You can check out the latest numbers in our company report.
After losing 7.2% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
View our latest analysis for Gemdale Properties and Investment
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Gemdale Properties and Investment actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 11% per year. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.
It's worth taking a look at other metrics, because the EPS growth doesn't seem to match with the falling share price.
Given the healthiness of the dividend payments, we doubt that they've concerned the market. It's good to see that Gemdale Properties and Investment has increased its revenue over the last three years. But it's not clear to us why the share price is down. It might be worth diving deeper into the fundamentals, lest an opportunity goes begging.
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
SEHK:535 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 19th 2022We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Gemdale Properties and Investment's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Gemdale Properties and Investment's TSR for the last 3 years was -8.7%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
While it's certainly disappointing to see that Gemdale Properties and Investment shares lost 12% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 21%. Of course, the long term returns are far more important and the good news is that over five years, the stock has returned 0.9% for each year. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Gemdale Properties and Investment (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .
Gemdale Properties and Investment is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
作為一名投資者,努力確保你的整體投資組合超過市場平均水平是值得的。但選股的風險是,你可能會買入表現不佳的公司。我們很遺憾地報告這一長期的金地地產投資有限公司(HKG:535)股東有過這樣的經歷,股價在三年內下跌了29%,而市場跌幅約為3.5%。最重要的是,該公司股價在上週下跌了7.2%。重要的是,這可能是市場對最近發佈的財報的反應。你可以查看我們公司報告中的最新數字。
在過去一週下跌7.2%後,有必要調查一下該公司的基本面,看看我們可以從過去的表現中推斷出什麼。
查看我們對金地地產和投資的最新分析
雖然有效市場假説繼續被一些人傳授,但事實證明,市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。評估圍繞一家公司的情緒變化的一個有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
在不幸的股價下跌的三年中,金地地產投資公司實際上看到其每股收益(EPS)每年增長11%。這是一個相當令人費解的問題,表明可能有什麼因素暫時提振了股價。或者,該公司過去被過度炒作,因此其增長令人失望。
值得看看其他指標,因為每股收益的增長似乎與下跌的股價不匹配。
考慮到股息支付的健康程度,我們懷疑它們是否引起了市場的擔憂。很高興看到Gemdale Properties and Investment在過去三年裏收入有所增加。但我們不清楚為什麼股價會下跌。或許有必要更深入地探究基本面,以免出現乞求的機會。
該公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看具體數字)。
聯交所:535盈利及收入增長2022年9月19日我們認為,內部人士在過去一年進行了大量收購,這是積極的。話雖如此,大多數人認為盈利和收入增長趨勢是更有意義的業務指南。通過查看金地地產和投資公司的收益、收入和現金流的互動圖表,更深入地瞭解收益。
那股息呢?
重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的總股東回報以及股價回報。TSR包括任何剝離或貼現融資的價值,以及任何股息,基於股息再投資的假設。可以説,TSR更全面地描繪了一隻股票產生的回報。碰巧的是,金地地產投資最近三年的總回報率為-8.7%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!
不同的視角
雖然看到金地地產投資公司的股票全年下跌了12%,這當然令人失望,但這並不像市場下跌21%那麼糟糕。當然,長期回報要重要得多,好消息是,在過去五年中,該股每年的回報率為0.9%。可能該業務只是面臨一些短期問題,但股東應密切關注基本面。雖然值得考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。為此,您應該瞭解3個警示標誌我們已經發現了金地地產投資公司(Gemdale Properties And Investment)(包括1,這有點令人擔憂)。
金地地產投資並不是業內人士買入的唯一股票。所以讓我們來看看這個免費內幕收購的成長型公司名單。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
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Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
風險及免責聲明
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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