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COSCO SHIPPING Ports (HKG:1199) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 21% If They Invested Five Years Ago
COSCO SHIPPING Ports (HKG:1199) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 21% If They Invested Five Years Ago
In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (HKG:1199), since the last five years saw the share price fall 40%. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 13% in the last three months. However, one could argue that the price has been influenced by the general market, which is down 9.1% in the same timeframe.
Now let's have a look at the company's fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.
Check out our latest analysis for COSCO SHIPPING Ports
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
Looking back five years, both COSCO SHIPPING Ports' share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 7.2% per year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 10% per year, over the period. This implies that the market was previously too optimistic about the stock. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 6.19.
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
SEHK:1199 Earnings Per Share Growth September 14th 2022Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, COSCO SHIPPING Ports' TSR for the last 5 years was -21%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
Although it hurts that COSCO SHIPPING Ports returned a loss of 11% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 22%. Given the total loss of 4% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. Whilst Baron Rothschild does tell the investor "buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own", buyers would need to examine the data carefully to be comfortable that the business itself is sound. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that COSCO SHIPPING Ports is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
為了證明挑選個股的努力是合理的,值得努力超越市場指數基金的回報。但主要的遊戲是找到足夠多的贏家來抵消輸家在這一點上一些股東可能會質疑他們對中遠航運港口有限公司(HKG:1199),自過去五年股價下跌40%以來。股價最近加速下跌,在過去三個月裏下跌了13%。然而,有人可能會説,價格受到了大盤的影響,大盤在同一時間段內下跌了9.1%。
現在讓我們來看看該公司的基本面,看看長期股東回報是否與基礎業務的表現相匹配。
查看我們對中遠航運港口的最新分析
用巴菲特的話説,“船隻將在世界各地航行,但平坦的地球協會將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大的差異……”考察市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是觀察一家公司的股價和每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。
回顧過去的五年,中遠航運港口的股價和每股收益都出現了下跌,後者以每年7.2%的速度下跌。讀者應該注意到,在此期間,該公司股價以每年10%的速度下跌,速度比每股收益更快。這暗示市場此前對該股過於樂觀。這種不那麼有利的情緒反映在其目前6.19的市盈率上。
下圖描述了EPS是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的(通過單擊圖像來揭示確切的值)。
聯交所:1199每股盈利增長2022年9月14日在買賣股票之前,我們總是建議仔細研究一下歷史增長趨勢,可以在這裏找到。
那股息呢?
除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。雖然股價回報只反映股價的變動,但TSR包括股息的價值(假設股息再投資),以及任何折價集資或分拆所帶來的利益。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來説,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。碰巧的是,中遠航運港口過去5年的TSR為-21%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!
不同的視角
儘管中遠航運港口在過去12個月裏虧損了11%,但大盤實際上更糟糕,虧損了22%。考慮到過去五年每年4%的總虧損,過去12個月的回報率似乎有所下降。雖然羅斯柴爾德男爵確實會告訴投資者“在街上有血的時候買入,即使血是你自己的”,但買家需要仔細檢查數據,才能確信業務本身是穩健的。雖然值得考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。即便如此,請注意,中遠航運港口正在顯示我們的投資分析中的2個警告信號,你應該知道關於……
如果你喜歡和管理層一起買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這本書免費公司名單。(提示:內部人士一直在買入這些股票)。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
風險及免責聲明
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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