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Things Look Grim For Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000157) After Today's Downgrade
Things Look Grim For Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000157) After Today's Downgrade
One thing we could say about the analysts on Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000157) - they aren't optimistic, having just made a major negative revision to their near-term (statutory) forecasts for the organization. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) estimates were cut sharply as the analysts factored in the latest outlook for the business, concluding that they were too optimistic previously.
Following the latest downgrade, Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology's 13 analysts currently expect revenues in 2022 to be CN¥46b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to soar 26% to CN¥0.46. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥65b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.65 in 2022. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology's prospects, administering a sizeable cut to revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.
Check out our latest analysis for Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology
SZSE:000157 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 5th 2022Despite the cuts to forecast earnings, there was no real change to the CN¥6.24 price target, showing that the analysts don't think the changes have a meaningful impact on its intrinsic value. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology at CN¥8.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥4.80. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology shareholders.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We would highlight that Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 1.6% annualised growth rate until the end of 2022 being well below the historical 25% p.a. growth over the last five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 22% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology's revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. We're also surprised to see that the price target went unchanged. Still, deteriorating business conditions (assuming accurate forecasts!) can be a leading indicator for the stock price, so we wouldn't blame investors for being more cautious on Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology after the downgrade.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology analysts - going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
關於分析師們,我們可以説一件事中聯重科股份有限公司。(SZSE:000157)-他們並不樂觀,剛剛對他們對該組織的近期(法定)預測進行了重大負面修訂。營收和每股收益(EPS)預期均大幅下調,因為分析師將最新的業務前景考慮在內,得出結論認為他們之前過於樂觀。
在最近一次下調評級後,中聯重科的13位分析師目前預計2022年的收入將為46億元人民幣,與過去12個月大致持平。預計每股收益將飆升26%,至0.46加元。此前,分析師預測2022年的收入為人民幣650億元,每股收益為人民幣0.65元。事實上,我們可以看到,分析師們對中聯重科的前景更加悲觀,大幅下調了收入預期,並大幅下調了每股收益預期。
看看我們對中聯重科的最新分析
深交所:2022年9月5日收益和收入增長000157儘管下調了預期收益,但CN人民幣6.24元的目標價並未發生真正的變化,這表明分析師們認為這些變化對其內在價值沒有重大影響。然而,盯着一個單一的價格目標可能是不明智的,因為共識目標實際上是分析師價格目標的平均值。因此,一些投資者喜歡看看預估區間,看看對該公司的估值是否存在分歧意見。目前,最樂觀的分析師對中聯重科的估值為每股8.00元人民幣,而最悲觀的分析師估值為4.8元人民幣。分析師對這項業務的看法肯定各不相同,但在我們看來,估計的差距還不夠大,不足以表明等待中聯重科股東的可能是極端的結果。
瞭解這些預測的更多背景信息的一種方法是,看看它們與過去的表現如何比較,以及同行業的其他公司的表現如何。我們要強調的是,中聯重科的收入增長預計將放緩,截至2022年底的年化增長率預測為1.6%,遠低於歷史上每年25%的增長率。過去五年的增長。相比之下,分析師覆蓋的該行業其他公司的收入預計將以每年22%的速度增長。因此,很明顯,雖然收入增長預計會放緩,但整個行業的增長速度預計也會快於中聯重科。
底線
最重要的是,分析師們下調了每股收益預期,預計商業環境將出現明顯下滑。不幸的是,分析師也下調了他們的營收預期,行業數據顯示,中聯重科的營收增速預計將低於大盤。我們還驚訝地看到,目標價格沒有變化。不過,不斷惡化的商業環境(假設預測準確!)可以成為股價的領先指標,所以我們不會責怪投資者在評級下調後對中聯重科更加謹慎。
話雖如此,該公司盈利的長期軌跡比明年重要得多。我們有多位中聯重科分析師對2024年的預測,你可以在我們的平臺上免費看到。
當然,看到公司管理層投資大筆資金投資一隻股票,就像知道分析師是否在下調他們的預期一樣有用。所以你可能也想搜索一下這個免費內部人士正在買入的股票清單。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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