-
市場
-
產品
-
資訊
-
Moo社區
-
課堂
-
查看更多
-
功能介紹
-
費用費用透明,無最低余額限制
投資選擇、功能介紹、費用相關信息由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供
- English
- 中文繁體
- 中文简体
- 深色
- 淺色
News Flash: 18 Analysts Think Country Garden Holdings Company Limited (HKG:2007) Earnings Are Under Threat
News Flash: 18 Analysts Think Country Garden Holdings Company Limited (HKG:2007) Earnings Are Under Threat
The analysts covering Country Garden Holdings Company Limited (HKG:2007) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a substantial revision to their statutory forecasts for this year. Revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts were both revised downwards, with analysts seeing grey clouds on the horizon.
Following the latest downgrade, the current consensus, from the 18 analysts covering Country Garden Holdings, is for revenues of CN¥436b in 2022, which would reflect a noticeable 3.2% reduction in Country Garden Holdings' sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to shoot up 22% to CN¥0.63. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥503b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.06 in 2022. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a measurable cut to revenue estimates and a large cut to earnings per share numbers as well.
Check out our latest analysis for Country Garden Holdings
SEHK:2007 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 5th 2022It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 25% to CN¥3.40. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Country Garden Holdings analyst has a price target of CN¥7.89 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at CN¥2.00. As you can see the range of estimates is wide, with the lowest valuation coming in at less than half the most bullish estimate, suggesting there are some strongly diverging views on how think this business will perform. As a result it might not be possible to derive much meaning from the consensus price target, which is after all just an average of this wide range of estimates.
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 6.4% by the end of 2022. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 16% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 8.4% per year. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Country Garden Holdings is expected to lag the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for Country Garden Holdings. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Country Garden Holdings' revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. After such a stark change in sentiment from analysts, we'd understand if readers now felt a bit wary of Country Garden Holdings.
After a downgrade like this, it's pretty clear that previous forecasts were too optimistic. What's more, we've spotted several possible issues with Country Garden Holdings' business, like dilutive stock issuance over the past year. For more information, you can click here to discover this and the 3 other concerns we've identified.
Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
分析師報道 碧桂園控股有限公司 (HKG: 2007)今天對股東今年的法定預測進行了實質性修訂,這給股東帶來了一定程度的負面情緒。收入和每股收益(EPS)的預測均向下修正,分析師看到灰雲即將到來。
繼最近的降級之後,報道碧桂園控股的18位分析師目前的共識是,2022年的收入爲436億人民幣,這將反映出碧桂園控股在過去12個月中的銷售額明顯下降了3.2%。據推測,每股法定收益將飆升22%,至0.63元人民幣。此前,分析師一直在模擬2022年的收入爲5.03億元人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲1.06元人民幣。看來分析師的情緒已大幅下降,收入預期大幅下調,每股收益數字也大幅下調。
查看我們對碧桂園控股的最新分析
聯交所:2007 年收益和收入增長 2022 年 9 月 5 日因此,得知分析師已將目標股價下調25%至3.40人民幣也就不足爲奇了。共識目標股價只是個別分析師目標的平均值,因此——看看基礎估計值的範圍有多大可能很方便。最樂觀的碧桂園控股分析師的目標股價爲每股7.89元人民幣,而最悲觀的分析師則將其估值爲2.00元人民幣。如你所見,估計範圍很廣,最低估值不到最看漲估計值的一半,這表明人們對這項業務的看法將如何表現,存在一些強烈的分歧。因此,可能無法從共識目標價格中得出多大意義,而共識目標價格畢竟只是如此廣泛估計值的平均值。
我們可以從大局的角度來看待這些估計,例如預測與過去的表現相比如何,以及與業內其他公司相比,預測是否或多或少看漲。這些估計意味着銷售額預計將放緩,預計到2022年底,年化收入將下降6.4%。這表明與過去五年16%的年增長率相比大幅下降。將此與我們的數據進行比較,該數據表明,同一行業的其他公司的收入總體上預計將每年增長8.4%。因此,儘管預計其收入將萎縮,但這種雲並不帶來一線希望——預計碧桂園控股將落後於整個行業。
底線
新估計中最大的問題是,分析師下調了每股收益預期,這表明碧桂園控股面臨業務不利因素。不幸的是,分析師也下調了收入預期,行業數據表明,Country Garden Holdings的收入增長速度預計將低於整個市場。在分析師的情緒發生瞭如此明顯的變化之後,如果讀者現在對碧桂園控股感到有些警惕,我們就會明白。
在這樣的降級之後,很明顯,先前的預測過於樂觀。更重要的是,我們發現碧桂園控股的業務可能存在幾個問題,例如過去一年的稀釋性股票發行。欲了解更多信息,您可以單擊此處了解這個問題以及我們發現的其他 3 個問題。
另一種搜索有趣公司的方法可能是 到達轉折點 就是追蹤管理層是買入還是賣出,我們的 免費的 內部人士正在收購的成長型公司名單。
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 取得聯繫 直接和我們在一起。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。 我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。 它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街在上述任何股票中都沒有頭寸。
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
風險及免責聲明
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
- 分享到weixin
- 分享到qq
- 分享到facebook
- 分享到twitter
- 分享到微博
- 粘贴板
使用瀏覽器的分享功能,分享給你的好友吧