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Why It Might Not Make Sense To Buy Hang Lung Properties Limited (HKG:101) For Its Upcoming Dividend
Why It Might Not Make Sense To Buy Hang Lung Properties Limited (HKG:101) For Its Upcoming Dividend
Hang Lung Properties Limited (HKG:101) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next three days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade takes at least two business day to settle. Accordingly, Hang Lung Properties investors that purchase the stock on or after the 9th of September will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 29th of September.
The company's next dividend payment will be HK$0.18 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of HK$0.78 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Hang Lung Properties stock has a trailing yield of around 5.9% on the current share price of HK$13.22. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. As a result, readers should always check whether Hang Lung Properties has been able to grow its dividends, or if the dividend might be cut.
Check out our latest analysis for Hang Lung Properties
If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Hang Lung Properties paid out 98% of its earnings, which is more than we're comfortable with, unless there are mitigating circumstances. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. Over the past year it paid out 127% of its free cash flow as dividends, which is uncomfortably high. It's hard to consistently pay out more cash than you generate without either borrowing or using company cash, so we'd wonder how the company justifies this payout level.
Cash is slightly more important than profit from a dividend perspective, but given Hang Lung Properties's payouts were not well covered by either earnings or cash flow, we would be concerned about the sustainability of this dividend.
Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.
SEHK:101 Historic Dividend September 5th 2022Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?
Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. Hang Lung Properties's earnings per share have fallen at approximately 10% a year over the previous five years. Such a sharp decline casts doubt on the future sustainability of the dividend.
Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Hang Lung Properties has seen its dividend decline 5.8% per annum on average over the past 10 years, which is not great to see. While it's not great that earnings and dividends per share have fallen in recent years, we're encouraged by the fact that management has trimmed the dividend rather than risk over-committing the company in a risky attempt to maintain yields to shareholders.
To Sum It Up
Is Hang Lung Properties an attractive dividend stock, or better left on the shelf? Not only are earnings per share declining, but Hang Lung Properties is paying out an uncomfortably high percentage of both its earnings and cashflow to shareholders as dividends. This is a clearly suboptimal combination that usually suggests the dividend is at risk of being cut. If not now, then perhaps in the future. It's not that we think Hang Lung Properties is a bad company, but these characteristics don't generally lead to outstanding dividend performance.
Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with Hang Lung Properties. Our analysis shows 1 warning sign for Hang Lung Properties and you should be aware of this before buying any shares.
If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
恆隆地產有限公司(HKG:101)即將在未來三天內進行除股息交易。除股息日期是記錄日期之前的一個工作日,這是股東在公司賬面上有資格獲得股息支付的截止日期。除息日期是重要的,因為每當買賣一隻股票時,交易至少需要兩個工作日才能結算。據此,在9月9日或之後購買該股票的恆隆地產投資者將不會收到股息,股息將於9月29日支付。
該公司的下一次派息將為每股0.18港元,而去年公司向股東支付的股息總額為0.78港元。根據上一年的支付金額,恆隆地產股票的往績收益率約為5.9%,目前股價為13.22港元。股息是長期持有者投資回報的主要貢獻者,但前提是繼續支付股息。因此,讀者應該經常查看恆隆地產是否能夠增加其紅利,或者紅利是否可能被削減。
看看我們對恆隆地產的最新分析
如果一家公司支付的股息超過了它賺取的股息,那麼股息可能會變得不可持續--這幾乎不是一個理想的情況。恆隆地產支付了其盈利的98%,這超出了我們的預期,除非有減輕情節的情況。這就是説,即使是高利潤的公司有時也可能無法產生足夠的現金來支付股息,這就是為什麼我們應該總是檢查股息是否由現金流覆蓋。在過去的一年裏,它支付了其自由現金流的127%作為股息,這一數字高得令人不安。在不借入或不使用公司現金的情況下,很難持續支付比你產生的現金更多的現金,所以我們想知道公司如何證明這種支付水平是合理的。
從股息的角度來看,現金略高於利潤,但考慮到恆隆地產的支出無論是收益還是現金流都沒有很好地覆蓋,我們會擔心這種股息的可持續性。
點擊此處查看該公司的派息率,以及分析師對其未來股息的估計。
聯交所:101歷史性紅利2022年9月5日盈利和股息一直在增長嗎?
從分紅的角度來看,收益縮水的企業很棘手。如果收益下降,該公司被迫削減股息,投資者可能會眼睜睜地看着他們的投資價值化為烏有。在過去的五年裏,恆隆地產的每股收益以每年約10%的速度下降。如此大幅的下跌讓人對紅利未來的可持續性產生了懷疑。
衡量一家公司股息前景的另一個關鍵方法是衡量其歷史股息增長率。過去10年,恆隆地產的股息平均每年下降5.8%,這並不是很好的情況。雖然近年來每股收益和股息下降並不是什麼好事,但令我們感到鼓舞的是,管理層削減了股息,而不是冒着過度承諾公司的風險,試圖保持對股東的收益。
總結一下
恆隆地產是一隻有吸引力的分紅股,還是更好地被擱置?不僅每股收益在下降,恆隆地產還向股東支付了令人不安的高收益和現金流股息。這顯然是一個次優的組合,通常意味着股息有被削減的風險。如果不是現在,那麼也許是在未來。這並不是説我們認為恆隆地產是一家糟糕的公司,但這些特點通常不會導致出色的股息表現。
話雖如此,如果你看這隻股票時並不太關心股息,你應該仍然熟悉恆隆地產所涉及的風險。我們的分析顯示恆隆地產的1個警示標誌在購買任何股票之前,你應該意識到這一點。
如果您正在尋找強大的股息支付者,我們建議查看我們精選的頂級股利股票。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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