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Broncus Holding Corporation (HKG:2216) Analysts Are More Bearish Than They Used To Be
Broncus Holding Corporation (HKG:2216) Analysts Are More Bearish Than They Used To Be
Today is shaping up negative for Broncus Holding Corporation (HKG:2216) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a substantial negative revision to this year's forecasts. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting analysts have soured majorly on the business.
Following the downgrade, the current consensus from Broncus Holding's three analysts is for revenues of US$15m in 2022 which - if met - would reflect a major 34% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. The loss per share is anticipated to greatly reduce in the near future, narrowing 76% to US$0.097. However, before this estimates update, the consensus had been expecting revenues of US$19m and US$0.087 per share in losses. So there's been quite a change-up of views after the recent consensus updates, with the analysts making a serious cut to their revenue forecasts while also expecting losses per share to increase.
View our latest analysis for Broncus Holding
SEHK:2216 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 4th 2022The consensus price target fell 12% to US$1.00, implicitly signalling that lower earnings per share are a leading indicator for Broncus Holding's valuation. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Broncus Holding at US$13.52 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$4.00. So we wouldn't be assigning too much credibility to analyst price targets in this case, because there are clearly some widely differing views on what kind of performance this business can generate. As a result it might not be possible to derive much meaning from the consensus price target, which is after all just an average of this wide range of estimates.
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would highlight that Broncus Holding's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 34% annualised growth rate until the end of 2022 being well below the historical 113% growth over the last year. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 44% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Broncus Holding.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to note from this downgrade is that the consensus increased its forecast losses this year, suggesting all may not be well at Broncus Holding. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Broncus Holding's revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. After such a stark change in sentiment from analysts, we'd understand if readers now felt a bit wary of Broncus Holding.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Broncus Holding analysts - going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
今天對我們來説是負面的布朗庫斯控股公司(HKG:2216)股東,分析師對今年的預測作出大幅負面修訂。營收和每股收益(EPS)預期都遭到了下調,這表明分析師對這項業務的態度已經惡化到了極點。
評級下調後,Broncus Holding的三位分析師目前的共識是,2022年收入將達到1500萬美元-如果得到滿足-將反映出其過去12個月的銷售額大幅增長34%。預計每股虧損將在不久的將來大幅減少,收窄76%,至0.097美元。然而,在此次預估更新之前,市場的普遍預期是營收為1900萬美元,每股虧損0.087美元。因此,在最近的共識更新之後,人們的觀點發生了相當大的變化,分析師們大幅下調了收入預期,同時預計每股虧損將會增加。
查看我們對Broncus Holding的最新分析
聯交所:2216盈利及收入增長2022年9月4日共識目標價下跌12%,至1.00美元,暗示每股收益較低是Broncus Holding估值的領先指標。不過,還有另一種方式來考慮價格目標,那就是看看分析師提出的價格目標的範圍,因為廣泛的估計可能表明,對企業可能出現的結果有不同的看法。目前,最樂觀的分析師對Broncus Holding的估值為每股13.52美元,而最悲觀的分析師將其估值為4.00美元。因此,在這種情況下,我們不會對分析師的價格目標賦予太多可信度,因為對於這項業務能產生什麼樣的表現,顯然存在一些截然不同的觀點。因此,可能不可能從共識價格目標中獲得太大意義,畢竟這只是這一廣泛估計範圍的平均值。
當然,看待這些預測的另一種方式是將它們放在與行業本身相反的背景下。我們要強調的是,Broncus Holding的收入增長預計將放緩,截至2022年底的預測年化增長率為34%,遠低於去年113%的歷史增長率。相比之下,分析師覆蓋的該行業其他公司的收入預計將以每年44%的速度增長。因此,很明顯,雖然收入增長預計將放緩,但整個行業的增長速度預計也將快於Broncus Holding。
底線
此次評級下調最重要的一點是,市場普遍上調了今年的預期虧損,這表明Broncus Holding的情況可能並不順利。不幸的是,分析師也下調了他們的營收預期,行業數據顯示,Broncus Holding的營收增速預計將低於大盤。在分析師的情緒發生如此明顯的變化後,如果讀者現在對Broncus Holding感到有點警惕,我們就會理解了。
話雖如此,該公司盈利的長期軌跡比明年重要得多。我們從多位Broncus Holding分析師那裏獲得了對2024年的預測,你可以在我們的平臺上免費看到。
當然,看到公司管理層投資大筆資金投資一隻股票,就像知道分析師是否在下調他們的預期一樣有用。所以你可能也想搜索一下這個免費內部人士正在買入的股票清單。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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