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Bearish: Analysts Just Cut Their Central China Management Company Limited (HKG:9982) Revenue and EPS Estimates
Bearish: Analysts Just Cut Their Central China Management Company Limited (HKG:9982) Revenue and EPS Estimates
One thing we could say about the analysts on Central China Management Company Limited (HKG:9982) - they aren't optimistic, having just made a major negative revision to their near-term (statutory) forecasts for the organization. Revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts were both revised downwards, with the analysts seeing grey clouds on the horizon. The stock price has risen 6.8% to HK$0.78 over the past week. We'd be curious to see if the downgrade is enough to reverse investor sentiment on the business.
Following the latest downgrade, Central China Management's two analysts currently expect revenues in 2022 to be CN¥1.0b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are anticipated to shrink 3.4% to CN¥0.18 in the same period. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥1.2b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.23 in 2022. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about Central China Management's prospects, administering a substantial drop in revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.
View our latest analysis for Central China Management
SEHK:9982 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 1st 2022The consensus price target fell 13% to CN¥2.00, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading analyst valuation estimates. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Central China Management at CN¥2.95 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥1.61. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. One thing that stands out from these estimates is that shrinking revenues are expected to moderate over the period ending 2022 compared to the historical decline of 19% per annum over the past year. Compare this against analyst estimates for companies in the broader industry, which suggest that revenues (in aggregate) are expected to grow 8.5% annually. So while a broad number of companies are forecast to grow, unfortunately Central China Management is expected to see its sales affected worse than other companies in the industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for Central China Management. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Central China Management's revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. With a serious cut to this year's expectations and a falling price target, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were becoming wary of Central China Management.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have analyst estimates for Central China Management going out as far as 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
關於分析師們,我們可以説一件事華中管理股份有限公司(HKG:9982)-他們並不樂觀,他們剛剛對該組織的近期(法定)預測做出了重大負面修訂。營收和每股收益(EPS)預期都被下調,分析師們看到了地平線上的烏雲。過去一週,該股股價累計上漲6.8%,至0.78港元。我們很想知道,評級下調是否足以扭轉投資者對該業務的情緒。
在最近一次下調評級後,華中管理的兩位分析師目前預計2022年的收入將為人民幣10億元,與過去12個月大致持平。預計同期法定每股收益將縮水3.4%,至0.18加元。在此次更新之前,分析師一直預測2022年收入為12億加元,每股收益為0.23元。事實上,我們可以看到,分析師們對華中基金的前景更為悲觀,他們大幅下調了收入預期,並大幅下調了每股收益預期。
查看我們對華中地區管理的最新分析
聯交所:9982盈利及收入增長2022年9月1日共識目標股價下跌13%,至人民幣2.00元,較弱的盈利前景顯然領先於分析師的估值預期。然而,盯着一個單一的價格目標可能是不明智的,因為共識目標實際上是分析師價格目標的平均值。因此,一些投資者喜歡看看預估區間,看看對該公司的估值是否存在分歧意見。目前,最樂觀的分析師對華中管理的估值為每股2.95元人民幣,而最悲觀的分析師估值為1.61元人民幣。注意到分析師目標價之間的巨大差距嗎?這對我們來説意味着基礎業務有相當廣泛的可能場景。
從現在的大局來看,我們能夠理解這些預測的方法之一,是看看它們如何與過去的業績和行業增長預期相比較。從這些估計中脱穎而出的一件事是,與過去一年中每年19%的歷史降幅相比,預計在截至2022年的一段時間內,收入萎縮的勢頭將有所緩解。相比之下,分析師對更廣泛行業的公司的預期顯示,(總體)收入預計將以每年8.5%的速度增長。因此,儘管預計將有大量公司增長,但不幸的是,華中管理的銷售額受到的影響預計將比業內其他公司更嚴重。
底線
新的預估中最大的問題是,分析師下調了每股收益預估,這表明華中基金未來將面臨業務逆風。不幸的是,分析師也下調了他們的營收預期,行業數據顯示,華中基金的營收增速預計將低於大盤。隨着今年預期的大幅下調和目標股價的下降,如果投資者開始對華中基金持謹慎態度,我們也不會感到意外。
話雖如此,該公司盈利的長期軌跡比明年重要得多。我們有分析師對2024年華中地區管理層的預測,你可以在我們的平臺上免費看到。
當然,看到公司管理層投資大筆資金投資一隻股票,就像知道分析師是否在下調他們的預期一樣有用。所以你可能也想搜索一下這個免費內部人士正在買入的股票清單。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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