The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But if you buy shares in a really great company, you can more than double your money. For instance the Changgao Electric Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002452) share price is 118% higher than it was three years ago. Most would be happy with that. It's also good to see the share price up 35% over the last quarter.
In light of the stock dropping 6.2% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive three-year return.
Check out our latest analysis for Changgao Electric Group
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
Changgao Electric Group became profitable within the last three years. That kind of transition can be an inflection point that justifies a strong share price gain, just as we have seen here.
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
SZSE:002452 Earnings Per Share Growth August 29th 2022
This free interactive report on Changgao Electric Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Changgao Electric Group's TSR for the last 3 years was 126%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
It's good to see that Changgao Electric Group has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 52% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 5% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Changgao Electric Group you should know about.
We will like Changgao Electric Group better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CN exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
最糟糕的結果是,在購買了一家公司的股票後(假設沒有槓桿),你投入的所有資金都會虧損。但如果你購買一家真正偉大的公司的股票,你可以更多也不願讓你的錢翻倍。例如,昌高電氣集團有限公司。(SZSE:002452)股價較三年前高出118%。大多數人會對此感到高興。上個季度股價上漲了35%,這也是好事。
鑑於該公司股價在過去一週下跌了6.2%,我們希望調查更長期的情況,看看基本面因素是否是該公司三年來正回報的驅動因素。
查看我們對長高電氣集團的最新分析
用巴菲特的話説,“船隻將在世界各地航行,但平坦的地球協會將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大的差異……”通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間的變化,我們可以感受到投資者對一家公司的態度隨着時間的推移發生了怎樣的變化。
昌高電氣集團在過去三年內實現了盈利。這種轉變可能是一個拐點,可以證明股價強勁上漲是合理的,就像我們在這裏看到的那樣。
該公司的每股收益(在一段時間內)如下圖所示(點擊查看具體數字)。
上交所:2022年8月29日每股收益增長002452
這免費如果你想進一步調查長高電氣集團的股票,那麼關於該集團收益、收入和現金流的互動報告是一個很好的起點。
那股息呢?
重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的總股東回報以及股價回報。TSR是一種回報計算,計入了現金股息的價值(假設收到的任何股息都進行了再投資),以及任何貼現融資和剝離的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來説,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。碰巧的是,長高電氣集團最近3年的TSR為126%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!
不同的視角
很高興看到,在過去的12個月裏,長高電氣集團以52%的總股東回報回報了股東。當然,這包括股息。由於一年期的TSR好於五年期的TSR(後者的年收益率為5%),看起來該股的表現在最近有所改善。在最好的情況下,這可能暗示着一些真正的商業勢頭,意味着現在可能是深入研究的好時機。我發現,把股價作為衡量企業業績的長期指標是非常有趣的。但為了真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,考慮一下風險。每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現長高電氣集團的3個警示標誌你應該知道。
如果我們看到一些大的內部收購,我們會更喜歡長高電氣集團。在我們等待的時候,看看這個免費最近有大量內幕收購的成長型公司名單。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在CN交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。