Buying a low-cost index fund will get you the average market return. But in any diversified portfolio of stocks, you'll see some that fall short of the average. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the Hisense Home Appliances Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000921) share price is up 23% in the last three years, that falls short of the market return. At least the stock price is up over the last year, albeit only by 4.9%.
In light of the stock dropping 3.7% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive three-year return.
See our latest analysis for Hisense Home Appliances Group
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
During the three years of share price growth, Hisense Home Appliances Group actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 12% per year.
So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company's value. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
Languishing at just 1.5%, we doubt the dividend is doing much to prop up the share price. It may well be that Hisense Home Appliances Group revenue growth rate of 28% over three years has convinced shareholders to believe in a brighter future. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth, and maybe shareholder's faith in better days ahead will be rewarded.
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
SZSE:000921 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 27th 2022
You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Hisense Home Appliances Group the TSR over the last 3 years was 32%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
It's nice to see that Hisense Home Appliances Group shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 6.5% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 5% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Hisense Home Appliances Group you should know about.
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CN exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
購買低成本指數基金將為你帶來平均市場回報。但在任何多元化的股票投資組合中,你都會看到一些低於平均水平的股票。對股東來説不幸的是,雖然海信家電集團有限公司。(SZSE:000921)股價在過去三年中上漲了23%,低於市場回報。至少,該公司股價在過去一年裏有所上漲,儘管漲幅僅為4.9%。
鑑於該公司股價在過去一週下跌了3.7%,我們希望調查更長期的情況,看看基本面因素是否是該公司三年來正回報的驅動因素。
查看我們對海信家電集團的最新分析
不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是反映潛在的商業表現。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間的變化,我們可以感受到投資者對一家公司的態度隨着時間的推移發生了怎樣的變化。
在股價增長的三年中,海信家電集團的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年下降12%。
因此,我們懷疑市場是否在指望每股收益作為其對公司價值的主要判斷。由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化沒有相關性,因此值得看看其他指標。
股息僅為1.5%,我們懷疑股息對支撐股價起到了多大作用。海信家電集團三年來28%的營收增長率很可能讓股東們相信了更光明的未來。在這種情況下,該公司可能會犧牲當前的每股收益來推動增長,或許股東對未來更好日子的信心將得到回報。
您可以在下圖中看到收益和收入隨時間的變化(單擊圖表查看確切的值)。
深交所:2022年8月27日收益和收入增長000921
你可以看到它的資產負債表是如何隨着時間的推移而加強(或削弱)的免費交互式圖形。
那股息呢?
除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。TSR包括任何剝離或貼現融資的價值,以及任何股息,基於股息再投資的假設。可以説,TSR更全面地描繪了一隻股票產生的回報。我們注意到,海信家電集團過去3年的TSR為32%,好於上面提到的股價回報。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!
不同的視角
很高興看到海信家電集團股東在過去一年中獲得了6.5%的總股東回報。當然,這包括股息。由於一年期的TSR好於五年期的TSR(後者的年收益率為5%),看起來該股的表現在最近有所改善。在最好的情況下,這可能暗示着一些真正的商業勢頭,意味着現在可能是深入研究的好時機。雖然值得考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。例如,考慮一下風險。每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現海信家電集團的2個警告標誌你應該知道。
如果你更願意看看另一家公司--一家財務狀況可能更好的公司--那麼不要錯過這一點免費已證明自己能夠實現盈利增長的公司名單。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在CN交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。