Suzhou HYC Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688001) shareholders will doubtless be very grateful to see the share price up 76% in the last quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been less than pleasing. In fact, the share price is down 30% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return.
While the stock has risen 11% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.
Check out our latest analysis for Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 3.1% per year. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.
After considering the numbers, we'd posit that the the market had higher expectations of EPS growth, three years back. Looking to other metrics might better explain the share price change.
The modest 0.5% dividend yield is unlikely to be guiding the market view of the stock. We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 23% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
SHSE:688001 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 18th 2022
We know that Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).
A Different Perspective
We're pleased to report that Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 1.2% over the last year. And yes, that does include the dividend. This recent result is much better than the 9% drop suffered by shareholders each year (on average) over the last three. We're generally cautious about putting too much weigh on shorter term data, but the recent improvement is definitely a positive. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd (at least 2 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CN exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
蘇州HYC科技有限公司。(上海證券交易所:688001)股東們無疑會非常感激看到該公司股價在上個季度上漲了76%。但這並不能改變過去三年回報不那麼令人滿意的事實。事實上,該公司股價在過去三年裏下跌了30%,遠遠低於市場回報。
儘管該股在過去一週上漲了11%,但長期股東仍處於虧損狀態,讓我們看看基本面能告訴我們什麼。
查看我們對蘇州HYC科技有限公司的最新分析
在他的文章中格雷厄姆和多德斯維爾的超級投資者沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價並不總是理性地反映一家企業的價值。一種不完美但簡單的方法來考慮市場對一家公司的看法是如何改變的,那就是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。
在不幸的股價下跌的三年中,蘇州HYC科技有限公司的每股收益(EPS)實際上以每年3.1%的速度增長。這是一個相當令人費解的問題,表明可能有什麼因素暫時提振了股價。或者,該公司過去被過度炒作,因此其增長令人失望。
在考慮了這些數字後,我們假設市場對三年前的每股收益增長有更高的預期。看看其他指標可能更好地解釋了股價的變化。
0.5%的適度股息收益率不太可能指導市場對該股的看法。我們注意到,在三年的時間裏,收入實際上以23%的年率增長,因此這似乎不是出售股票的理由。這種分析只是敷衍了事,但它可能值得更仔細地研究蘇州HYC科技有限公司,因為有時股票下跌不公平。這可能會帶來一個機會。
你可以在下面看到收入和收入是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的(點擊圖片可以發現確切的價值)。
上海證交所:688001收益和收入增長2022年8月18日
我們知道蘇州HYC科技有限公司最近提高了利潤,但未來會是什麼樣子呢?因此,看看分析師對蘇州HYC科技有限公司未來收入的預期(免費利潤預測)是很有意義的。
不同的視角
我們很高興地報告,去年蘇州HYC科技有限公司為股東提供了1.2%的總股東回報。是的,這確實包括股息。最近的業績比過去三年股東平均每年遭受的9%的跌幅要好得多。我們通常對過於看重短期數據持謹慎態度,但最近的改善絕對是一個積極的因素。我發現,把股價作為衡量企業業績的長期指標是非常有趣的。但為了真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,考慮一下無處不在的投資風險幽靈。我們已經確定了三個警告信號與蘇州HYC科技有限公司合作(至少有兩個不容忽視),瞭解他們應該是你投資過程的一部分。
如果你喜歡和管理層一起買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這本書免費公司名單。(提示:內部人士一直在買入這些股票)。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在CN交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。