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Newsflash: Riverstone Holdings Limited (SGX:AP4) Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Revenue Forecasts
Newsflash: Riverstone Holdings Limited (SGX:AP4) Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Revenue Forecasts
The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Riverstone Holdings Limited (SGX:AP4), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. There was a fairly draconian cut to their revenue estimates, perhaps an implicit admission that previous forecasts were much too optimistic.
After the downgrade, the consensus from Riverstone Holdings' five analysts is for revenues of RM1.5b in 2022, which would reflect an uncomfortable 20% decline in sales compared to the last year of performance. Statutory earnings per share are supposed to plummet 42% to RM0.23 in the same period. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of RM1.6b and earnings per share (EPS) of RM0.24 in 2022. It looks like analyst sentiment has fallen somewhat in this update, with a substantial drop in revenue estimates and a minor downgrade to earnings per share numbers as well.
Check out our latest analysis for Riverstone Holdings
SGX:AP4 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 17th 2022It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 12% to S$0.76. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. There are some variant perceptions on Riverstone Holdings, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at S$0.82 and the most bearish at S$0.74 per share. With such a narrow range of valuations, analysts apparently share similar views on what they think the business is worth.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 20% by the end of 2022. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 31% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 16% per year. It's pretty clear that Riverstone Holdings' revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for Riverstone Holdings. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Riverstone Holdings' revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. The consensus price target fell measurably, with analysts seemingly not reassured by recent business developments, leading to a lower estimate of Riverstone Holdings' future valuation. Given the stark change in sentiment, we'd understand if investors became more cautious on Riverstone Holdings after today.
As you can see, the analysts clearly aren't bullish, and there might be good reason for that. We've identified some potential issues with Riverstone Holdings' financials, such as the risk of cutting its dividend. For more information, you can click here to discover this and the 1 other concern we've identified.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
最新的分析師報道可能預示着對Riverstone Holdings Limited(SGX:AP4),分析師們全面削減了他們的法定估計,這可能會讓股東們有點震驚。他們的營收預期下調得相當嚴厲,或許是含蓄地承認之前的預測過於樂觀。
評級下調後,Riverstone Holdings的五位分析師一致認為,2022年的收入將達到15億林吉特,這將反映出與去年業績相比,銷售額下降了令人不安的20%。同期法定每股收益預計將暴跌42%,至0.23林吉特。在此次更新之前,分析師一直預測2022年收入為16億林吉特,每股收益(EPS)為0.24林吉特。在這一更新中,分析師的信心似乎有所下降,營收預期大幅下降,每股收益數字也略有下調。
查看我們對Riverstone Holdings的最新分析
新交所:AP4收益和收入增長2022年8月17日得知分析師將目標股價下調12%至0.76新元,也就不足為奇了。然而,盯着一個單一的價格目標可能是不明智的,因為共識目標實際上是分析師價格目標的平均值。因此,一些投資者喜歡看看預估區間,看看對該公司的估值是否存在分歧意見。對於Riverstone Holdings有一些不同的看法,最樂觀的分析師對其估值為0.82新元,最悲觀的分析師估值為每股0.74新元。在如此狹窄的估值範圍內,分析師們顯然對他們認為的企業價值有着相似的看法。
瞭解這些預測的更多背景信息的一種方法是,看看它們與過去的表現如何比較,以及同行業的其他公司的表現如何。這些估計意味着銷售預計將放緩,預計到2022年底年化收入將下降20%。這表明,與過去五年31%的年增長率相比,這一數字大幅下降。與我們的數據相比,我們的數據顯示,同行業的其他公司預計收入將以每年16%的速度增長。很明顯,Riverstone Holdings的營收預計將遠遠遜於整個行業。
底線
新的預估中最大的問題是,分析師下調了每股收益預估,這表明Riverstone Holdings未來將面臨業務逆風。不幸的是,分析師也下調了他們的收入預期,行業數據顯示,Riverstone Holdings的收入增長預計將低於更廣泛的市場。一致的目標價大幅下降,分析師似乎對最近的業務發展並不放心,導致對Riverstone Holdings未來估值的估計較低。考慮到投資者情緒的急劇變化,如果投資者在今天之後對Riverstone Holdings變得更加謹慎,我們會理解的。
正如你所看到的,分析師們顯然並不看好股市,這或許是有充分理由的。我們已經發現了Riverstone Holdings的一些潛在財務問題,比如削減股息的風險。有關更多信息,您可以單擊此處瞭解這一點以及我們確定的1個其他問題。
當然,看到公司管理層投資大筆資金投資一隻股票,就像知道分析師是否在下調他們的預期一樣有用。所以你可能也想搜索一下這個免費內部人士正在買入的股票清單。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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