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The total return for Greentown China Holdings (HKG:3900) investors has risen faster than earnings growth over the last three years
The total return for Greentown China Holdings (HKG:3900) investors has risen faster than earnings growth over the last three years
The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. For instance the Greentown China Holdings Limited (HKG:3900) share price is 138% higher than it was three years ago. How nice for those who held the stock! On the other hand, we note it's down 8.3% in about a month. We note that the broader market is down 2.6% in the last month, and this may have impacted Greentown China Holdings' share price.
Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 5.4%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.
See our latest analysis for Greentown China Holdings
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
During three years of share price growth, Greentown China Holdings achieved compound earnings per share growth of 93% per year. The average annual share price increase of 33% is actually lower than the EPS growth. So one could reasonably conclude that the market has cooled on the stock. We'd venture the lowish P/E ratio of 9.51 also reflects the negative sentiment around the stock.
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
SEHK:3900 Earnings Per Share Growth August 15th 2022We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Greentown China Holdings, it has a TSR of 168% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
It's good to see that Greentown China Holdings has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 45% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 13% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Greentown China Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.
Greentown China Holdings is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
最糟糕的結果是,在購買了一家公司的股票後(假設沒有槓桿),你投入的所有資金都會虧損。但當你選擇一家真正蓬勃發展的公司時,你可以製作超過100%。例如,綠城中國控股有限公司(HKG:3900)股價較三年前高出138%。對於那些持有股票的人來説,這是多麼好的一件事!另一方面,我們注意到它在大約一個月的時間裏下跌了8.3%。我們注意到,上個月大盤下跌了2.6%,這可能影響了綠城中國控股的股價。
由於長期表現良好,但最近出現了5.4%的回調,讓我們看看基本面是否與股價匹配。
查看我們對綠城中國控股的最新分析
在他的文章中格雷厄姆和多德斯維爾的超級投資者沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價並不總是理性地反映一家企業的價值。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間的變化,我們可以感受到投資者對一家公司的態度隨着時間的推移發生了怎樣的變化。
在三年的股價增長中,綠城中國控股實現了每股收益每年93%的複合增長。平均每年33%的股價漲幅實際上低於每股收益的增長。因此,人們可以合理地得出結論,市場對該股的態度已經降温。我們敢説,9.51的低市盈率也反映了圍繞該股的負面情緒。
您可以在下面看到EPS是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的(通過單擊圖像來了解確切的值)。
聯交所:每股盈利增長3900 2022年8月15日我們認為,內部人士在過去一年進行了大量收購,這是積極的。即便如此,未來的收益對現有股東是否賺錢將重要得多。在買賣股票之前,我們總是建議仔細檢查一下歷史增長趨勢,可在此處找到。
那股息呢?
重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的總股東回報以及股價回報。雖然股價回報只反映股價的變動,但TSR包括股息的價值(假設股息再投資),以及任何折價集資或分拆所帶來的利益。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來説,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。就綠城中國控股而言,它在過去3年的總資產收益率為168%。這超過了我們之前提到的它的股價回報。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!
不同的視角
很高興看到綠城中國控股在過去12個月裏回報了股東45%的總回報。這確實包括了股息。由於一年期的TSR好於五年期的TSR(後者的年收益率為13%),看起來該股的表現最近有所改善。持樂觀觀點的人可能會認為,最近TSR的改善表明,業務本身正在隨着時間的推移而變得更好。雖然值得考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。例如,承擔風險-綠城中國控股有限公司3個警示標誌(1)我們認為你應該知道這一點。
綠城中國控股並不是業內人士買入的唯一股票。所以讓我們來看看這個免費內幕收購的成長型公司名單。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
風險及免責聲明
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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