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Market is not liking Radiance Holdings (Group)'s (HKG:9993) earnings decline as stock retreats 4.7% this week
Market is not liking Radiance Holdings (Group)'s (HKG:9993) earnings decline as stock retreats 4.7% this week
It's easy to feel disappointed if you buy a stock that goes down. But in the short term the market is a voting machine, and the share price movements may not reflect the underlying business performance. So while the Radiance Holdings (Group) Company Limited (HKG:9993) share price is down 13% in the last year, the total return to shareholders (which includes dividends) was -9.1%. And that total return actually beats the market decline of 19%. Because Radiance Holdings (Group) hasn't been listed for many years, the market is still learning about how the business performs. Unfortunately the share price momentum is still quite negative, with prices down 12% in thirty days. But this could be related to poor market conditions -- stocks are down 6.9% in the same time.
After losing 4.7% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
See our latest analysis for Radiance Holdings (Group)
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
Unhappily, Radiance Holdings (Group) had to report a 9.2% decline in EPS over the last year. The share price decline of 13% is actually more than the EPS drop. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, a year ago. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 4.07.
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
SEHK:9993 Earnings Per Share Growth August 9th 2022It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Radiance Holdings (Group)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Radiance Holdings (Group) the TSR over the last 1 year was -9.1%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
Given that the broader market dropped 19% over the year, the fact that Radiance Holdings (Group) shareholders were down 9.1% isn't so bad. Unfortunately for shareholders, the share price momentum hasn't improved much with the stock down 8.8% in around 90 days. This doesn't look great to us, but it is possible that the market is over-reacting to prior disappointment. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Radiance Holdings (Group) has 2 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
如果你買了一隻下跌的股票,很容易感到失望。但在短期內,市場是一臺投票機,股價走勢可能不能反映潛在的業務表現。因此,雖然光輝控股(集團)有限公司(HKG:9993)去年股價下跌13%,股東總回報(包括股息)為-9.1%。這一總回報率實際上超過了市場19%的跌幅。由於Radiance Holdings(Group)多年來沒有上市,市場仍在瞭解該業務的表現。不幸的是,股價勢頭仍然相當負面,股價在30天內下跌了12%。但這可能與糟糕的市場狀況有關--股市同期下跌6.9%。
在過去一週下跌4.7%後,有必要調查一下該公司的基本面,看看我們可以從過去的表現中推斷出什麼。
查看我們對Radiance Holdings(Group)的最新分析
雖然有效市場假説繼續被一些人傳授,但事實證明,市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。評估圍繞一家公司的情緒變化的一個有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
不幸的是,Radiance Holdings(Group)不得不報告去年每股收益下降了9.2%。13%的股價跌幅實際上超過了EPS的跌幅。因此,一年前,市場似乎對這項業務過於自信。這種不那麼有利的情緒反映在其目前4.07的市盈率上。
您可以在下面看到EPS是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的(通過單擊圖像來了解確切的值)。
聯交所:9993每股盈利增長2022年8月9日也許很值得一看我們的免費Radiance Holdings(Group)的收益、收入和現金流報告。
那股息呢?
除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。雖然股價回報只反映股價的變動,但TSR包括股息的價值(假設股息再投資),以及任何折價集資或分拆所帶來的利益。可以説,TSR更全面地描繪了一隻股票產生的回報。我們注意到Radiance Holdings(Group)過去1年的TSR為-9.1%,好於上述股價回報。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!
不同的視角
考慮到大盤去年下跌了19%,Radiance Holdings(Group)股東下跌9.1%的事實並不是那麼糟糕。對股東來説,不幸的是,股價勢頭並沒有太大改善,股價在大約90天的時間裏下跌了8.8%。這在我們看來並不是很好,但市場可能對之前的失望反應過度了。雖然值得考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。以風險為例-Radiance Holdings(Group)擁有2個警告標誌(還有一個不容忽視)我們認為你應該知道這一點。
當然了,如果你把目光投向別處,你可能會發現這是一筆很棒的投資。所以讓我們來看看這個免費我們預計收益將會增長的公司名單。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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