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Housing Collapse? Exclusive Benzinga Earnings Data Suggests Otherwise

Housing Collapse? Exclusive Benzinga Earnings Data Suggests Otherwise

樓市崩盤?獨家Benzinga收益數據顯示並非如此
Benzinga Real-time News ·  2022/08/07 15:50

The second-quarter reporting season is entering its final leg, and data suggests the earnings growth of S&P 500 companies may have tapered off to the slowest pace since the fourth quarter of 2020.

第二季度財報季即將進入最後階段,數據顯示,標準普爾500指數成份股公司的盈利增長可能已放緩至2020年第四季度以來的最低水平。

What Happened: Homebuilders have shown a surprisingly resilient earnings performance, according to analysis of data compiled by Benzinga.
Out of the companies that have reported thus far, 91.7% revealed earnings per share that beat estimates. The remaining 8.3% reported earnings misses. Among the notable homebuilders reporting positive earnings surprises were:

發生的事情:根據Benzinga彙編的數據分析,房屋建築商的盈利表現出人意料地具有彈性。
在迄今公佈財報的公司中,91.7%的公司披露的每股收益超出預期。其餘8.3%的公司報告業績不佳。在公佈了積極收益驚喜的著名住宅建築商中,有:

  • Atlanta, Georgia-based residential homebuilder Beazer Homes USA, Inc. (NYSE:BZH) reported earnings per share of $1.76, ahead of the consensus estimate of $1.42. The earnings, however, came from cost control as revenue declined year-over-year. Commissions paid also fell. Among other key metrics, new home orders were down 22.9% at 925 in the second quarter.
  • Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE:MTH), a Scottsdale, Arizona-based homebuilder, reported 11% revenue growth and EPS of $6.77, ahead of the $5.87 consensus estimate. The number of units of homes closed fell 2% but home closing revenue rose 11%, reflecting higher home prices. The company refrained from providing full-year guidance, citing the lack of visibility into the market.
  • Texas-based homebuilder LGI Homes, Inc. (NASDAQ:LGIH) announced an 8.6% decline in homebuilding revenue and EPS of $5.24, ahead of the $4.29 per share consensus estimate. Home closings fell 29%, but average sales price increased by 28.7%.
  • Reston, Virginia-based NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR), however, reported below-consensus EPS.
  • 總部位於佐治亞州亞特蘭大的住宅建築商Beazer Home USA,Inc.(紐約證券交易所代碼:BZH)公佈的每股收益為1.76美元,高於市場普遍預期的1.42美元。然而,由於收入同比下降,收益來自成本控制。支付的佣金也有所下降。在其他關鍵指標中,第二季度新屋訂單下降22.9%,至925套。
  • 梅里吉特家居公司總部位於亞利桑那州斯科茨代爾的住宅建築商(紐約證券交易所股票代碼:MTH)公佈營收增長11%,每股收益6.77美元,高於市場普遍預期的5.87美元。房屋成交數量下降2%,但房屋成交收入增長11%,反映出房價上漲。該公司沒有提供全年指導,理由是缺乏對市場的可見性。
  • 總部位於德克薩斯州的住宅建築商納斯達克(股票代碼:LGIH)宣佈房屋建設收入下降8.6%,每股收益下降5.24美元,高於市場普遍預期的每股4.29美元。房屋成交量下降了29%,但平均銷售價格上升了28.7%。
  • 總部位於弗吉尼亞州雷斯頓然而,NVR,Inc.(紐約證券交易所代碼:NVR)公佈的每股收益低於共識。

Most major homebuilders are scheduled to report in the coming days.

大多數主要房屋建築商計劃在未來幾天公佈財報。

Read Elon Musk's cautionary remarks on the U.S. housing market

閲讀埃隆·馬斯克對美國房地產市場的警示評論

State Of Housing Market: U.S. home prices have skyrocketed in recent months despite higher mortgage rates and an increase in home supply.

住房市場狀況:儘管抵押貸款利率上升,房屋供應增加,但近幾個月來,美國房價飆升。

A typical U.S. home's value has reached $354,165, up by 19.8% from a year ago, according to real estate marketplace Zillow.

根據房地產市場Zillow的數據,美國普通住宅的價值已經達到354,165美元,比一年前上漲了19.8%。

Higher mortgage rates in the wake of the Fed's monetary policy normalization and fears of a protracted recession are pressuring the sector.

美聯儲貨幣政策正常化後抵押貸款利率上升,以及對長期衰退的擔憂正在給該行業帶來壓力。

Pending home sales data released by the National Association of Realtors showed an 8.6% year-over-year drop. The metric is considered a leading indicator of home sales, as it measures the change in the number of homes under contract to be sold.

全美房地產經紀人協會(National Association Of Realtors)公佈的成屋待完成銷售數據顯示,該數據同比下降8.6%。該指標被認為是房屋銷售的領先指標,因為它衡量了合同中待售房屋數量的變化。

NAR's existing home sales data for June also showed a year-over-year decline for the month, with sales falling for a fifth straight month.

NAR公佈的6月成屋銷售數據也顯示當月同比下滑,銷售連續第五個月下滑。

Falling housing affordability was attributed as the reason for the slip in sales by NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun.

NAR首席經濟學家認為,住房可負擔性下降是銷售下滑的原因勞倫斯·雲。

Moody's chief economist Mark Zandi warned of a worsening of the situation.

穆迪首席經濟學家馬克·贊迪警告説局勢將會惡化。

"The U.S. housing market is about to enter a 'deep freeze,' as surging borrowing rates and stubbornly high prices lock out a growing number of buyers," Zandi said, according to Business Insider.

據Business Insider報道,Zandi説:“美國房地產市場即將進入‘深度凍結’,因為飆升的借貸利率和居高不下的價格將越來越多的買家拒之門外。”

The earnings beat by early reporters among the homebuilders should, therefore, be taken with a pinch of salt.

因此,早期記者在房屋建築商中取得的收益應該持保留態度。

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