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Some SJM Holdings Limited (HKG:880) Analysts Just Made A Major Cut To Next Year's Estimates
Some SJM Holdings Limited (HKG:880) Analysts Just Made A Major Cut To Next Year's Estimates
The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for SJM Holdings Limited (HKG:880), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) estimates were cut sharply as the analysts factored in the latest outlook for the business, concluding that they were too optimistic previously.
Following the downgrade, the most recent consensus for SJM Holdings from its 15 analysts is for revenues of HK$9.3b in 2022 which, if met, would be a reasonable 3.5% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Losses are expected to be contained, narrowing 14% from last year to HK$0.82. Yet prior to the latest estimates, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of HK$12b and losses of HK$0.71 per share in 2022. So there's been quite a change-up of views after the recent consensus updates, with the analysts making a serious cut to their revenue forecasts while also expecting losses per share to increase.
See our latest analysis for SJM Holdings
SEHK:880 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 7th 2022The consensus price target fell 12% to HK$4.25, with the analysts clearly concerned about the company following the weaker revenue and earnings outlook. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values SJM Holdings at HK$7.15 per share, while the most bearish prices it at HK$2.80. We would probably assign less value to the forecasts in this situation, because such a wide range of estimates could imply that the future of this business is difficult to value accurately. With this in mind, we wouldn't rely too heavily on the consensus price target, as it is just an average and analysts clearly have some deeply divergent views on the business.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. For example, we noticed that SJM Holdings' rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with revenues forecast to exhibit 7.1% growth to the end of 2022 on an annualised basis. That is well above its historical decline of 29% a year over the past five years. Compare this against analyst estimates for the broader industry, which suggest that (in aggregate) industry revenues are expected to grow 25% annually for the foreseeable future. Although SJM Holdings' revenues are expected to improve, it seems that the analysts are still bearish on the business, forecasting it to grow slower than the broader industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that analysts increased their loss per share estimates for this year. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and the latest forecasts imply the business will grow sales slower than the wider market. Given the scope of the downgrades, it would not be a surprise to see the market become more wary of the business.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for SJM Holdings going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
最新的分析師報道可能預示着對澳博控股有限公司(HKG:880),分析師全面削減他們的法定估計,這可能會讓股東有點震驚。營收和每股收益(EPS)預期均大幅下調,因為分析師將最新的業務前景考慮在內,得出結論認為他們之前過於樂觀。
評級下調後,澳博控股15位分析師對澳博控股的最新共識是,2022年收入將達到93億港元,如果實現這一目標,將比過去12個月的銷售額合理增長3.5%。預計虧損將得到控制,較去年收窄14%,至0.82港元。然而,在最新估計之前,分析師們一直預測2022年營收為120億港元,每股虧損0.71港元。因此,在最近的共識更新之後,人們的觀點發生了相當大的變化,分析師們大幅下調了收入預期,同時預計每股虧損將會增加。
查看我們對澳博控股的最新分析
聯交所:880盈利及收入增長2022年8月7日目標股價下跌12%,至4.25港元,分析師顯然對該公司感到擔憂,此前該公司營收和盈利前景較弱。然而,盯着一個單一的價格目標可能是不明智的,因為共識目標實際上是分析師價格目標的平均值。因此,一些投資者喜歡看看預估區間,看看對該公司的估值是否存在分歧意見。目前,最樂觀的分析師對澳博控股的估值為每股7.15港元,而最悲觀的分析師對其估值為2.80港元。在這種情況下,我們可能會對預測給予較低的價值,因為如此大的估計範圍可能意味着,這項業務的未來很難準確估值。考慮到這一點,我們不會過於依賴共識目標價,因為這只是一個平均值,分析師顯然對該業務有一些嚴重的分歧。
瞭解這些預測的更多背景信息的一種方法是,看看它們與過去的表現如何比較,以及同行業的其他公司的表現如何。例如,我們注意到澳博控股的增長率預計將大幅加快,預計截至2022年底的收入按年率計算將增長7.1%。這遠高於過去五年每年29%的歷史降幅。相比之下,分析師對更廣泛行業的預測表明,在可預見的未來,(總體)行業收入預計將以每年25%的速度增長。儘管澳博控股的營收預計將有所改善,但分析師似乎仍看空該業務,預計其增長速度將慢於整個行業。
底線
最重要的是,分析師上調了對今年每股虧損的預期。令人遺憾的是,他們還下調了收入預期,最新預測表明,該業務的銷售增長將低於更廣泛的市場。考慮到評級下調的範圍,市場對這項業務變得更加警惕並不令人意外。
話雖如此,該公司盈利的長期軌跡比明年重要得多。在Simply Wall St.,我們有一系列分析師對澳博控股到2024年的預測,你可以在我們的平臺上免費看到。
搜索有趣的公司的另一種方式可能是到達拐點是跟蹤管理層是在買入還是在賣出,我們的免費內部人士正在收購的成長型公司名單。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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