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Some Confidence Is Lacking In Founder Holdings Limited (HKG:418) As Shares Slide 25%
Some Confidence Is Lacking In Founder Holdings Limited (HKG:418) As Shares Slide 25%
The Founder Holdings Limited (HKG:418) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 25%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 27% in that time.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, Founder Holdings may still be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.1x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 8x and even P/E's lower than 4x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Founder Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Founder Holdings
SEHK:418 Price Based on Past Earnings August 3rd 2022 Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Founder Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Enough Growth For Founder Holdings?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Founder Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 19%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 50% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 15% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's alarming that Founder Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Founder Holdings' P/E
Founder Holdings' P/E hasn't come down all the way after its stock plunged. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Founder Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Founder Holdings has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Founder Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
這個方正控股有限公司(HKG:418)過去一個月,股價表現非常糟糕,大幅下跌了25%。過去30天的下跌為股東們艱難的一年畫上了句號,股價在此期間下跌了27%。
儘管股價大幅下跌,方正控股目前可能仍在發出看跌信號,其市盈率為12.1倍,因為香港近一半的公司的市盈率低於8倍,即使市盈率低於4倍也並不少見。然而,市盈率高可能是有原因的,需要進一步調查才能確定它是否合理。
舉例來説,方正控股的收益在過去一年裏一直在惡化,這根本不是理想的情況。許多人可能預計,該公司在未來一段時間內的表現仍將好於大多數其他公司,這使得市盈率沒有崩潰。如果不是,那麼現有股東可能會對股價的生存能力感到相當緊張。
查看我們對方正控股的最新分析
聯交所:418基於過去收益的價格2022年8月3日想要了解公司的收益、收入和現金流的全貌嗎?那麼我們的免費方正控股的報道將幫助你瞭解其歷史業績。方正控股是否有足夠的增長?
看到方正控股這樣高的市盈率,只有當該公司的增長有望超越市場時,你才會真正感到放心。
首先回顧一下,該公司去年的每股收益增長並不是什麼令人興奮的事情,因為它公佈了令人失望的下降19%。這意味着它的長期收益也出現了下滑,因為每股收益在過去三年裏總共下降了50%。因此,公平地説,最近的收益增長對公司來説是不可取的。
將這一中期收益軌跡與大盤一年增長15%的預期進行比較,可以看出這是一個令人不快的前景。
有鑑於此,方正控股的市盈率高於其他大多數公司,這令人擔憂。顯然,該公司的許多投資者比最近的情況所顯示的要樂觀得多,不願以任何價格拋售他們的股票。只有最大膽的人才會認為這些價格是可持續的,因為最近盈利趨勢的延續最終可能會對股價造成沉重壓力。
方正控股市盈率底線
方正控股的市盈率在其股價暴跌後並沒有一路下降。雖然市盈率不應該是你是否買入一隻股票的決定性因素,但它是一個很好的盈利預期晴雨表。
我們已經確定,方正控股目前的市盈率遠高於預期,因為它最近的收益在中期內一直在下降。當我們看到盈利出現倒退,表現遜於市場預期時,我們懷疑股價有下跌的風險,導致高市盈率走低。除非最近的中期狀況明顯改善,否則要接受這些價格是合理的是非常具有挑戰性的。
你需要注意風險,例如-方正控股有兩個警告信號(還有一條是關於的)我們認為你應該知道。
如果這些風險讓你重新考慮對方正控股的看法,探索我們的高質量股票互動列表,以瞭解還有什麼。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
風險及免責聲明
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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