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China Communications Construction (HKG:1800) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
China Communications Construction (HKG:1800) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies China Communications Construction Company Limited (HKG:1800) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for China Communications Construction
What Is China Communications Construction's Net Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that China Communications Construction had CN¥438.6b in debt in March 2022; about the same as the year before. However, it also had CN¥129.4b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥309.2b.
SEHK:1800 Debt to Equity History August 2nd 2022How Healthy Is China Communications Construction's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that China Communications Construction had liabilities of CN¥647.9b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥427.0b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥129.4b as well as receivables valued at CN¥301.7b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥643.9b.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥108.9b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, China Communications Construction would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Strangely China Communications Construction has a sky high EBITDA ratio of 6.4, implying high debt, but a strong interest coverage of 11.2. So either it has access to very cheap long term debt or that interest expense is going to grow! Notably China Communications Construction's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year. We would prefer to see some earnings growth, because that always helps diminish debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if China Communications Construction can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, China Communications Construction burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
To be frank both China Communications Construction's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think China Communications Construction has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example China Communications Construction has 2 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
巴菲特(Warren Buffett)曾説過一句名言:波動性遠非風險的代名詞。當我們考慮一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡看它對債務的使用,因為債務過重可能導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣中國交通建設股份有限公司(HKG:1800)利用債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務造成了多大的風險?
債務會帶來什麼風險?
債務是幫助企業發展的一種工具,但如果一家企業無法償還貸款人的債務,那麼它就只能聽從貸款人的擺佈。在最糟糕的情況下,如果一家公司無法償還債權人的債務,它可能會破產。然而,更常見(但代價仍然高昂)的情況是,一家公司必須以極低的價格發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東的股份,只是為了支撐其資產負債表。當然,許多公司利用債務為增長提供資金,沒有任何負面後果。在考慮一家公司的債務水平時,第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。
參見我們對中國交通建設的最新分析
中國交通建設的淨負債是多少?
下面的圖表,你可以點擊查看更多詳細信息,顯示中國交通建設在2022年3月的債務為4386億元人民幣,與前一年大致相同。然而,它也有1,294億元現金,因此其淨債務為3,092億元。
聯交所:1800債轉股歷史2022年8月2日中國交通建設的資產負債表有多健康?
從最近的資產負債表可以看出,中國交通建設有6479億元的負債在一年內到期,還有4270億元的負債在一年內到期。為了抵消這些債務,該公司有1294億加元的現金以及價值3017億加元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債超過了現金和(近期)應收賬款的總和6439億元。
這一不足給這家1089億元的CN公司本身帶來了沉重的負擔,就像一個孩子在一個裝滿書籍、運動裝備和小號的巨大揹包的重壓下掙扎一樣。因此,我們肯定認為股東需要密切關注這一事件。畢竟,如果中國交通建設今天不得不償還債權人的債務,它很可能需要進行一次大規模的資本重組。
我們通過查看公司的淨債務除以利息、税項、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA),並計算其息税前收益(EBIT)覆蓋利息支出(利息覆蓋)的容易程度,來衡量公司的債務負擔與其盈利能力的關係。這種方法的優點是,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(淨債務與EBITDA之比),也考慮了與債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。
奇怪的是,中國交通建設的EBITDA比率高達6.4,意味着債務很高,但利息覆蓋率高達11.2%。因此,要麼它可以獲得非常便宜的長期債務,要麼利息支出將會增長!值得注意的是,中國交通建設去年的息税前利潤相當持平。我們更希望看到一些收益增長,因為這總是有助於減少債務。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是你關注的領域。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定中國交通建設能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。所以,如果你關注未來,你可以看看這個免費顯示分析師利潤預測的報告。
但我們的最後考慮也很重要,因為一家公司不能用賬面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。因此,我們顯然需要看看息税前利潤是否會帶來相應的自由現金流。在過去的三年裏,中國交通建設燒掉了大量的現金。儘管投資者無疑預計這種情況會在適當的時候逆轉,但這顯然意味着它使用債務的風險更大。
我們的觀點
坦率地説,中國交通建設將息税前利潤轉換為自由現金流,以及其對總負債保持領先的記錄,都讓我們對其債務水平感到相當不安。但至少它在用息税前利潤支付利息支出方面相當不錯;這是令人鼓舞的。在考慮了討論的數據點後,我們認為中國交通建設負債太多。這種風險對一些人來説是可以接受的,但肯定不會讓我們的船漂浮起來。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中瞭解到的債務最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能包含存在於資產負債表之外的風險。比如中國交通建設就有2個警告標誌(還有一點不可忽視)我們認為你應該知道這一點。
如果你有興趣投資於可以在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的企業,那麼看看這個免費資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業名單。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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