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Results: Arrow Financial Corporation Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Results: Arrow Financial Corporation Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
A week ago, Arrow Financial Corporation (NASDAQ:AROW) came out with a strong set of second-quarter numbers that could potentially lead to a re-rate of the stock. Results were good overall, with revenues beating analyst predictions by 3.9% to hit US$37m. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in at US$0.75, some 5.6% above whatthe analyst had expected. Following the result, the analyst has updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analyst latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.
View our latest analysis for Arrow Financial
NasdaqGS:AROW Earnings and Revenue Growth July 29th 2022Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Arrow Financial from sole analyst is for revenues of US$147.5m in 2022 which, if met, would be a satisfactory 4.2% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory per share are forecast to be US$2.98, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analyst had been anticipated revenues of US$145.5m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$2.93 in 2022. So it's pretty clear that, although the analyst has updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.
There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of US$34.00, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result.
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The period to the end of 2022 brings more of the same, according to the analyst, with revenue forecast to display 8.5% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 7.7% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 7.6% annually. So although Arrow Financial is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's only growing at about the rate of the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analyst holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Happily, there were no real changes to sales forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2023, which can be seen for free on our platform here.
Another thing to consider is whether management and directors have been buying or selling stock recently. We provide an overview of all open market stock trades for the last twelve months on our platform, here.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
一週前,Arrow金融公司納斯達克(Sequoia Capital:AROW)公佈了一組強勁的第二季度數據,可能會導致該股重新上漲。總體業績良好,收入超過分析師預測3.9%,達到3700萬美元。法定每股收益(EPS)為0.75美元,比分析師預期高出約5.6%。結果公佈後,這位分析師更新了他們的收益模型,如果他們認為公司的前景發生了巨大變化,還是一切照舊,那將是一件好事。我們認為,讀者會發現,分析師對明年最新的(法定)盈利預測會很有趣。
查看我們對Arrow Financial的最新分析
納斯達克:AROW收益和收入增長2022年7月29日考慮到最新的業績,唯一分析師對Arrow Financial的最新共識是,2022年收入將達到1.475億美元,如果實現這一目標,將比過去12個月的銷售額增長4.2%,令人滿意。預計每股法定收益為2.98美元,與過去12個月基本一致。然而,在最新財報公佈之前,分析師曾預計2022年營收為1.455億美元,每股收益(EPS)為2.93美元。因此,很明顯,儘管分析師更新了他們的估計,但在最新業績公佈後,對該業務的預期並沒有發生重大變化。
收入或收益預期沒有變化,目標價也沒有變化,表明該公司在最近的業績中達到了預期。
當然,看待這些預測的另一種方式是將它們放在與行業本身相反的背景下。這位分析師表示,截至2022年底的一段時間內,收入將出現更多相同的情況,預計收入將按年率計算增長8.5%。這與中國過去五年7.7%的年增長率一致。相比之下,分析師估計整個行業的收入將以每年7.6%的速度增長。因此,儘管Arrow Financial預計將保持其收入增長速度,但它的增長速度僅與整個行業大致相同。
底線
最明顯的結論是,近期該公司的業務前景沒有發生重大變化,分析師的收益預測保持不變,與之前的估計一致。幸運的是,銷售預測沒有真正的變化,業務仍有望與整個行業同步增長。共識目標價沒有實際變化,這表明根據最新估計,該業務的內在價值沒有發生任何重大變化。
考慮到這一點,我們仍然認為,投資者需要考慮的更長期的業務軌跡要重要得多。至少有一位分析師提供了對2023年的預測,這可以在我們的平臺上免費看到。
另一件需要考慮的事情是,管理層和董事最近是否一直在買入或賣出股票。我們在我們的平臺上提供了過去12個月所有公開市場股票交易的概述,此處。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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