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While shareholders of China Risun Group (HKG:1907) are in the red over the last year, underlying earnings have actually grown
While shareholders of China Risun Group (HKG:1907) are in the red over the last year, underlying earnings have actually grown
Investors can approximate the average market return by buying an index fund. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. That downside risk was realized by China Risun Group Limited (HKG:1907) shareholders over the last year, as the share price declined 30%. That falls noticeably short of the market decline of around 13%. Longer term investors have fared much better, since the share price is up 22% in three years. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 12% in the last three months.
While the last year has been tough for China Risun Group shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.
Check out our latest analysis for China Risun Group
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
During the unfortunate twelve months during which the China Risun Group share price fell, it actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 51%. Of course, the situation might betray previous over-optimism about growth.
It's surprising to see the share price fall so much, despite the improved EPS. So it's well worth checking out some other metrics, too.
China Risun Group's dividend seems healthy to us, so we doubt that the yield is a concern for the market. From what we can see, revenue is pretty flat, so that doesn't really explain the share price drop. Of course, it could simply be that it simply fell short of the market consensus expectations.
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
SEHK:1907 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 27th 2022It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for China Risun Group the TSR over the last 1 year was -27%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
The last twelve months weren't great for China Risun Group shares, which performed worse than the market, costing holders 27%, including dividends. The market shed around 13%, no doubt weighing on the stock price. Investors are up over three years, booking 11% per year, much better than the more recent returns. Sometimes when a good quality long term winner has a weak period, it's turns out to be an opportunity, but you really need to be sure that the quality is there. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand China Risun Group better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for China Risun Group you should be aware of.
There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
投資者可以通過購買指數基金來接近平均市場回報。雖然個別股票可能是大贏家,但更多的股票無法產生令人滿意的回報。這種下行風險通過以下方式實現中國日產集團有限公司(HKG:1907)過去一年,隨着股價下跌30%,股東人數增加。這明顯低於約13%的市場跌幅。長期投資者的表現要好得多,因為該公司股價在三年內上漲了22%。股價最近加速下跌,在過去三個月裏下跌了12%。
儘管過去一年對中國日盛集團的股東來説是艱難的一年,但過去一週顯示出了希望的跡象。因此,讓我們看看較長期的基本面,看看它們是否是負回報的驅動因素。
查看我們對中國日盛集團的最新分析
在他的文章中格雷厄姆和多德斯維爾的超級投資者沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價並不總是理性地反映一家企業的價值。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間的變化,我們可以感受到投資者對一家公司的態度隨着時間的推移發生了怎樣的變化。
在不幸的12個月裏,中國日盛集團的股價下跌,實際上它的每股收益(EPS)提高了51%。當然,這種情況可能會暴露出之前對增長的過度樂觀。
令人驚訝的是,儘管每股收益有所改善,但股價卻下跌了這麼多。因此,也有必要檢查一下其他一些指標。
中國日盛集團的股息對我們來説似乎是健康的,因此我們懷疑收益率是市場關注的問題。從我們看到的情況來看,營收相當持平,所以這並不能真正解釋股價下跌的原因。當然,這可能只是因為它根本沒有達到市場的普遍預期。
該公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看具體數字)。
聯交所:1907年7月27日盈利及收入增長可能值得注意的是,我們在上個季度看到了大量的內幕收購,我們認為這是一個積極的因素。儘管如此,我們認為收益和收入增長趨勢是更重要的考慮因素。在買賣股票之前,我們總是建議仔細檢查一下歷史增長趨勢,可在此處找到。
那股息呢?
在考察投資回報時,重要的是要考慮到股東總回報(TSR)和股價回報。雖然股價回報只反映股價的變動,但TSR包括股息的價值(假設股息再投資),以及任何折價集資或分拆所帶來的利益。可以説,TSR更全面地描繪了一隻股票產生的回報。我們注意到,中國日信集團過去一年的TSR為-27%,好於上面提到的股價回報。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!
不同的視角
過去12個月對中國日盛集團的股票來説並不好,該股的表現遜於大盤,持股者損失了27%,其中包括股息。股市下跌了約13%,無疑拖累了股價。投資者在三年多的時間裏上漲了11%,比最近的回報率好得多。有時候,當一個高質量的長期贏家有一個疲軟的時期,它被證明是一個機會,但你真的需要確保質量在那裏。跟蹤股價的長期表現總是很有趣的。但要更好地瞭解中國日產集團,我們還需要考慮許多其他因素。一個恰當的例子:我們發現了中國日產集團的2個警示信號你應該意識到。
還有很多其他公司讓內部人士買進股票。你很可能會這麼做不想懷念這一切嗎?免費內部人士正在收購的成長型公司名單。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
風險及免責聲明
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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