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Shareholders in Guangshen Railway (HKG:525) have lost 64%, as stock drops 4.4% this past week
Shareholders in Guangshen Railway (HKG:525) have lost 64%, as stock drops 4.4% this past week
Statistically speaking, long term investing is a profitable endeavour. But no-one is immune from buying too high. For example, after five long years the Guangshen Railway Company Limited (HKG:525) share price is a whole 67% lower. We certainly feel for shareholders who bought near the top.
Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.
View our latest analysis for Guangshen Railway
Guangshen Railway wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one does expect good top-line growth.
In the last half decade, Guangshen Railway saw its revenue increase by 0.9% per year. That's far from impressive given all the money it is losing. It's likely this weak growth has contributed to an annualised return of 11% for the last five years. We want to see an acceleration of revenue growth (or profits) before showing much interest in this one. However, it's possible too many in the market will ignore it, and there may be an opportunity if it starts to recover down the track.
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
SEHK:525 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 25th 2022It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. If you are thinking of buying or selling Guangshen Railway stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
Investors should note that there's a difference between Guangshen Railway's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Guangshen Railway's TSR, which was a 64% drop over the last 5 years, was not as bad as the share price return.
A Different Perspective
While it's certainly disappointing to see that Guangshen Railway shares lost 4.4% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 19%. What is more upsetting is the 10% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. This sort of share price action isn't particularly encouraging, but at least the losses are slowing. You might want to assess this data-rich visualization of its earnings, revenue and cash flow.
But note: Guangshen Railway may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
從統計學上講,長期投資是一項有利可圖的事業。但沒有人能倖免於過高買入。例如,在漫長的五年之後,廣深鐵路有限責任公司(HKG:525)股價整體下跌67%。我們當然同情那些在接近頂端時買入的股東。
鑑於過去一週對股東的態度一直很嚴峻,讓我們調查一下基本面,看看我們能學到什麼。
查看我們對廣深鐵路的最新分析
廣深鐵路在過去的12個月裏沒有盈利,我們不太可能看到它的股價和每股收益(EPS)之間有很強的相關性。可以説,收入是我們的下一個最佳選擇。一般來説,沒有利潤的公司預計每年都會有收入增長,而且增長速度很快。一些公司願意推遲盈利以更快地增長收入,但在這種情況下,人們確實預計營收會有良好的增長。
在過去的五年裏,廣深鐵路的收入以每年0.9%的速度增長。考慮到它正在虧損的所有資金,這遠遠談不上令人印象深刻。這種疲弱的增長很可能是過去五年年化回報率達到11%的原因之一。在對此表現出濃厚興趣之前,我們希望看到收入增長(或利潤)的加速。然而,市場中有太多人可能會忽視它,如果它開始沿着軌道回升,可能會有機會。
該公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看具體數字)。
聯交所:525盈利及收入增長2022年7月25日可能值得注意的是,首席執行官的薪酬低於類似規模公司的中位數。關注首席執行官的薪酬總是值得的,但更重要的問題是,該公司是否會在未來幾年實現盈利增長。如果你正在考慮買賣廣深鐵路的股票,你應該看看這個免費顯示分析師利潤預測的報告。
那麼總股東回報(TSR)呢?
投資者應該注意到,廣深鐵路的總股東回報(TSR)與其股價變化之間存在差異,我們在上面已經談到了這一點。TSR是一種回報計算,計入了現金股息的價值(假設收到的任何股息都進行了再投資),以及任何貼現融資和剝離的計算價值。其派息的歷史意味着廣深鐵路的TSR為64%丟棄在過去的5年裏,沒有股價回報那麼糟糕。
不同的視角
儘管看到廣深鐵路股價全年下跌4.4%肯定令人失望,但這並沒有股市下跌19%那麼糟糕。更令人沮喪的是,投資者在過去五年裏遭受了每年10%的損失。這種股價走勢並不特別鼓舞人心,但至少損失正在放緩。你可能想要評估一下它的收益、收入和現金流的這種數據豐富的可視化。
但請注意:廣深鐵路可能不是最值得買入的股票。所以讓我們來看看這個免費過去有盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司名單。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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風險及免責聲明
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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