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Geely Automobile Holdings Limited (HKG:175) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?
Geely Automobile Holdings Limited (HKG:175) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?
Most readers would already be aware that Geely Automobile Holdings' (HKG:175) stock increased significantly by 52% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Specifically, we decided to study Geely Automobile Holdings' ROE in this article.
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.
Check out our latest analysis for Geely Automobile Holdings
How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?
Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Geely Automobile Holdings is:
6.2% = CN¥4.4b ÷ CN¥70b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).
The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each HK$1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made HK$0.06 in profit.
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.
Geely Automobile Holdings' Earnings Growth And 6.2% ROE
When you first look at it, Geely Automobile Holdings' ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 7.7%, we may spare it some thought. But Geely Automobile Holdings saw a five year net income decline of 11% over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.
Next, when we compared with the industry, which has shrunk its earnings at a rate of 5.3% in the same period, we still found Geely Automobile Holdings' performance to be quite bleak, because the company has been shrinking its earnings faster than the industry.
SEHK:175 Past Earnings Growth July 25th 2022Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 175? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.
Is Geely Automobile Holdings Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 30% (or a retention ratio of 70%) which is pretty normal, Geely Automobile Holdings' declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.
Moreover, Geely Automobile Holdings has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 33% of its profits over the next three years. Still, forecasts suggest that Geely Automobile Holdings' future ROE will rise to 13% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.
Summary
On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Geely Automobile Holdings can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
大多數讀者應該已經知道,吉利汽車控股(HKG:175)的股票在過去三個月裏大幅上漲了52%。但該公司的關鍵財務指標似乎在所有方面都不同,這讓我們質疑該公司目前的股價勢頭能否保持下去。具體地説,我們決定在本文中研究吉利汽車控股的淨資產收益率。
股本回報率(ROE)是對一家公司增值和管理投資者資金的效率的測試。簡而言之,淨資產收益率顯示了每一美元相對於其股東投資產生的利潤。
查看我們對吉利汽車控股的最新分析
你如何計算股本回報率?
股本回報率可使用以下公式計算:
股本回報率=(持續經營的)淨利潤?股東權益
因此,根據上述公式,吉利汽車控股的淨資產收益率為:
6.2%=44億元×700億元(以截至2021年12月的12個月為基礎)。
“收益”是過去12個月的利潤。一種將其概念化的方法是,公司每持有1港元的股東資本,就能獲得0.06港元的利潤。
為什麼淨資產收益率對收益增長很重要?
到目前為止,我們瞭解到淨資產收益率是衡量一家公司盈利能力的指標。我們現在需要評估公司將多少利潤再投資或“保留”用於未來的增長,這就讓我們對公司的增長潛力有了一個瞭解。一般來説,在其他條件相同的情況下,股本回報率和利潤留存較高的公司比不具備這些特徵的公司有更高的增長率。
吉利汽車控股盈利增長6.2%淨資產收益率
乍一看,吉利汽車控股的淨資產收益率看起來並沒有那麼誘人。然而,鑑於該公司的淨資產收益率(ROE)與7.7%的行業平均ROE相似,我們或許可以省去一些思考。但在過去五年中,吉利汽車控股的淨利潤下降了11%。請記住,該公司的淨資產收益率確實略低。因此,這在一定程度上解釋了收益縮水的原因。
接下來,當我們與同期盈利縮水5.3%的行業進行比較時,我們仍然發現吉利汽車控股的業績相當黯淡,因為該公司的盈利縮水速度一直快於行業。
聯交所:175過去盈利增長2022年7月25日盈利增長是評估一隻股票時需要考慮的一個重要指標。投資者下一步需要確定的是,預期的收益增長是否已經計入了股價。這樣做將有助於他們確定該股的未來看起來是光明的還是不祥的。市場是否已經消化了175的未來前景?你可以在我們最新的內在價值信息圖研究報告中找到答案。
吉利汽車控股是否有效地將其利潤進行了再投資?
吉利汽車控股的三年派息率中值為30%(或留存比率為70%),這是相當正常的,這一點很正常,但當一家公司保留了很大一部分利潤時,人們會預期它會出現相當大的增長,所以盈利下降的情況相當令人費解。看起來可能還有其他一些原因來解釋這方面的缺乏。例如,這項業務可能正在衰落。
此外,吉利汽車控股至少在十年或更長時間裏一直在支付股息,這表明管理層肯定已經意識到,與盈利增長相比,股東更喜歡股息。在研究了最新的分析師共識數據後,我們發現,預計該公司將在未來三年繼續支付約33%的利潤。儘管如此,預測顯示吉利汽車控股未來的淨資產收益率將升至13%,儘管該公司的派息率預計不會有太大變化。
摘要
總體來説,我們覺得吉利汽車控股表現出來的表現可以有多種解讀。雖然該公司的再投資率確實很高,但低ROE意味着所有的再投資都沒有給投資者帶來任何好處,而且對收益增長產生了負面影響。既然如此,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,分析師們預計該公司的收益增長率將大幅提高。這些分析師的預期是基於對該行業的廣泛預期,還是基於該公司的基本面?點擊此處進入我們分析師對該公司的預測頁面。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
風險及免責聲明
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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