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3 Inverse Real Estate ETFs to Buy to Be Like Michael Burry

3 Inverse Real Estate ETFs to Buy to Be Like Michael Burry

3 反向房地產 ETF 購買要像邁克爾·巴里
InvestorPlace ·  2022/07/22 13:26

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Source: shutterstock.com/eamesBot
來源:Shuterstock.com/eamesBot

Housing experts are bracing for impact as whispers of a housing market crash continue to make the rounds on Wall Street. Now, interest in inverse real estate exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is skyrocketing as investors consider the profit potential of a housing market downturn.

隨着房地產市場崩盤的傳言繼續在華爾街流傳,房地產專家們正準備迎接衝擊。現在,隨着投資者考慮房地產市場低迷的盈利潛力,投資者對反向房地產交易所交易基金(ETF)的興趣正在飆升。

Once considered taboo, shorting housing is now an acknowledged strategy. This is in no small part due to Michael Burry; the now-infamous short investor earned billions during the 2008 housing market crash. Burry was one of the first investors to realize and invest in the instability of the industry.

做空住房一度被認為是禁忌,現在卻成了公認的策略。這在很大程度上要歸功於邁克爾·伯裏;這位現在臭名昭著的做空投資者在2008年房地產市場崩盤期間賺了數十億美元。Burry是第一批意識到該行業不穩定並對其進行投資的投資者之一。

Home prices have climbed even as rising mortgage rates and rampant inflation aggressively eat into the buying power of would-be homeowners. The median sale price of homes in the first quarter of 2022 was $428,700, the highest level ever.

儘管不斷上升的抵押貸款利率和猖獗的通脹正在積極侵蝕潛在房主的購買力,但房價仍在攀升。2022年第一季度的房屋銷售價格中值為42.87萬美元,為歷史最高水平。

Home prices are clearly ripe for a mild — or not-so-mild — correction. However, inverse real estate ETFs offer investors the chance to hedge against the housing market. These short funds will grow in value if home prices take the dive many analysts predict.

房價出現温和--或不那麼温和--調整的時機顯然已經成熟。然而,反向房地產ETF為投資者提供了對衝房地產市場的機會。許多分析師預測,如果房價暴跌,這些做空基金的價值將會上升。

Here are three major inverse real estate ETFs set to explode, should housing make the long-awaited downturn.

以下是三隻主要的房地產反向ETF,如果房地產市場出現期待已久的低迷,它們將出現爆炸式增長。

Ticker
代碼機
ETF
etf
Price
價格
DRV
鑽頭
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares
Direxion Daily房地產熊市3X股
$45.20
$45.20
SRS
SRS
ProShares UltraShort Real Estate
ProShares UltraShort房地產
$15.84
$15.84
REK
REK
ProShares Short Real Estate
ProShares Short Real Estate
$18.58
$18.58

Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares

Direxion Daily房地產熊市3X股

Source: 89stocker / Shutterstock
來源:89stocker/Shutterstock

The Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares ETF (NYSEARCA:DRV) is easily the most leveraged — and therefore riskiest — fund on this list. DRV tracks three times the inverse of The Real Estate Select Sector Index, or IXRE, which in turn tracks real estate-related companies in the S&P 500. This index is re-balanced every quarter.

這個Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares ETF(NYSEArca:DRV)無疑是這份名單上槓杆率最高的基金,因此也是風險最高的基金。Drv跟蹤的軌跡是房地產精選行業指數,或IXRE,反過來跟蹤與房地產相關的公司在標準普爾500指數。這一指數每季度都會重新平衡。

Offering a -3X daily leverage means there tends to be a wide gap between the performance of the underlying index (or in this case, inverse underlying index) and the fund itself. Because the fund's target multiple is reset daily, it requires frequent monitoring and is subject to substantial volatility long-term. DRV is not a product meant for a buy-and-hold portfolio.

提供-3倍的每日槓桿率意味着標的指數(或在這種情況下,反向標的指數)的表現與基金本身之間往往存在巨大差距。由於該基金的目標倍數每天都會重置,因此需要頻繁監控,並長期受到大幅波動的影響。DRV不是一種針對買入並持有的投資組合的產品。

The daily reset function of many short funds is somewhat confusing. On a given day, the fund will do as stated. If the index — in this case the IXRE — goes up 1%, DRV will go down 3% per the -3X leverage multiple. However, over several trading sessions, the volatility of the daily reset becomes more clear. If the index goes up 1% one day and down 1% the next, it will have a close to 0% net change. The fund, however, will still be down due to the daily reset. After all, if the fund increases 3% from being down 3%, it will enjoy less profit than if it started at 0% rather than -3%.

不少做空基金的日常重置功能有些混亂。在給定的一天,該基金將按照規定行事。如果指數-在這種情況下是IXRE-上漲1%,那麼DRV將以-3倍的槓桿倍數下降3%。然而,在幾個交易日中,每日重置的波動性變得更加明顯。如果指數一天上漲1%,第二天下跌1%,它將有接近0%的淨變化。然而,由於每天的重置,該基金仍將下跌。畢竟,如果該基金從下跌3%轉為上漲3%,它的利潤將低於從0%開始的水平,而不是-3%。

This ETF's leveraged nature also means that, should the IXRE drop more than 33% in a given day, DRV will effectively lose its entire worth. It's a dangerous game, meant for only the savviest investors. Still, if you believe you can time the fall of the housing market, DRV could yield the strongest returns of any fund on this list.

這隻ETF的槓桿性質還意味着,如果IXRE指數在一天內下跌超過33%,DRV實際上將失去其全部價值。這是一個危險的遊戲,只適合最精明的投資者。儘管如此,如果你相信你可以計算房地產市場的下跌時間,DRV可能會在這份名單上的任何基金中產生最強勁的回報。

ProShares UltraShort Real Estate

ProShares UltraShort房地產

Source: tokar / Shutterstock
資料來源:Tokar/Shutterstock

The ProShares UltraShort Real Estate ETF (NYSEARCA:SRS) offers a -2x daily leverage of the Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Index.

這個ProShares UltraShort房地產ETF(NYSEArca:SRS)提供-2倍的每日槓桿道瓊斯美國房地產指數.

As with many highly leveraged short funds, timing is key. Like the DRV, the SRS' leverage is reset daily. That means each day the fund will, on a compounding basis, track the daily movement of the Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Index. Because of that, the ETF is not a long-hold investment. Rather, investors can rapidly earn 2-to-1 returns on the demise of the housing market, as tracked by the index.

與許多槓桿率很高的做空基金一樣,時機是關鍵。與DRV一樣,SRS的槓桿率每天都會重置。這意味着該基金每天都將在複利基礎上跟蹤道瓊斯美國房地產指數的每日走勢。正因為如此,ETF不是一種長期持有的投資。相反,正如該指數跟蹤的那樣,投資者可以在房地產市場崩潰時迅速獲得2比1的回報。

The Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Index is a float-adjusted market cap-weighted index that tracks the performance of real estate investment trusts (REITs) and other property agencies. It's three largest holdings include American Tower (NYSE:AMT), ProLogis (NYSE:PLD) and Crown Castle (NYSE:CCI).

道瓊斯美國房地產指數是一個浮動調整的市值加權指數,跟蹤房地產投資信託基金(REITs)和其他房地產機構的表現。它最大的三個持有量包括美國塔(紐約證券交易所代碼:AMT),序曲(紐約證券交易所:可編程邏輯器件)和皇冠城堡(紐約證券交易所代碼:CCI)。

With -200% leverage, the ProShares UltraShort fund offers a middle ground between the relatively conservative ProShares Short Real Estate ETF and the ultra-aggressive Direxion 3X Shares. With that said, 2X daily leverage is still risky. That bars the fund from any sort of long-hold strategies.

憑藉-200%的槓桿率,ProShares UltraShort基金在相對保守的ProShares Short Real Estate ETF和極端激進的Direxion 3X股票之間提供了一箇中間地帶。話雖如此,2倍的日槓桿率仍有風險。這阻止了該基金採取任何形式的長期持有策略。

ProShares Short Real Estate

ProShares Short Real Estate

Source: Stock-Asso / Shutterstock
資料來源:STOCK-ASSO/Shutterstock

Last up on this list of inverse real estate ETFs, the ProShares Short Real Estate ETF (NYSEARCA:REK) gives owners a -1x daily leverage of the Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Index.

在這份反向房地產ETF名單上,最後一位是ProShares做空房地產ETF(NYSEArca:REK)為所有者提供了-1倍的道瓊斯美國房地產指數的每日槓桿。

This product is functionally similar to ProShares UltraShort ETF, albeit with a more conservative leveraging model.

該產品在功能上類似於ProShares UltraShort ETF,儘管槓桿模式更為保守。

Unlike some more leveraged funds, the -1X ratio of REK means the ETF will track the inverse of the underlying index a bit more closely. On a year-to-date (YTD) basis, the ETF is down about 17%. With that said, the fund is still meant to be closely monitored on a daily basis.

與一些槓桿率較高的基金不同,REK的-1倍比率意味着ETF將更密切地跟蹤標的指數的反向。以年初至今(YTD)計算,該ETF下跌了約17%。話雖如此,該基金仍將受到每天的密切監控。

On the date of publication, Shrey Dua did not hold (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

在本文發表之日,Shrey Dua並未(直接或間接)持有本文所述證券的任何頭寸。本文中表達的觀點是作者的觀點,受InvestorPlace.com發佈指南的約束。

The post 3 Inverse Real Estate ETFs to Buy to Be Like Michael Burry appeared first on InvestorPlace.

後3只反向房地產ETF to Buy to be Like Michael Burry最先出現在InvestorPlace上。

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