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Optimism around CIMC Vehicles (Group) (HKG:1839) delivering new earnings growth may be shrinking as stock declines 6.1% this past week
Optimism around CIMC Vehicles (Group) (HKG:1839) delivering new earnings growth may be shrinking as stock declines 6.1% this past week
It's easy to feel disappointed if you buy a stock that goes down. But sometimes broader market conditions have more of an impact on prices than the actual business performance. The CIMC Vehicles (Group) Co., Ltd. (HKG:1839) is down 25% over a year, but the total shareholder return is -17% once you include the dividend. And that total return actually beats the market decline of 20%. However, the longer term returns haven't been so bad, with the stock down 16% in the last three years.
With the stock having lost 6.1% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.
Check out our latest analysis for CIMC Vehicles (Group)
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
Unfortunately CIMC Vehicles (Group) reported an EPS drop of 37% for the last year. This fall in the EPS is significantly worse than the 25% the share price fall. So despite the weak per-share profits, some investors are probably relieved the situation wasn't more difficult.
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
SEHK:1839 Earnings Per Share Growth July 13th 2022This free interactive report on CIMC Vehicles (Group)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, CIMC Vehicles (Group)'s TSR for the last 1 year was -17%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
A Different Perspective
CIMC Vehicles (Group) shareholders may not have made money over the last year, but their total loss of 17% ( including dividends) isn't as bad as the market loss of around 17%. Shareholders who have held for three years might be relatively sanguine about the recent weakness, given they have made 0.6% per year for three years. Given the three year returns are better than the return over the last year, it might be that the broader market has weighed on the stock recently. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with CIMC Vehicles (Group) (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
如果你買了一隻下跌的股票,很容易感到失望。但有時,更廣泛的市場狀況對價格的影響比實際業務表現更大。這個中集車輛(集團)有限公司(HKG:1839)一年來下跌了25%,但如果計入股息,總股東回報率為-17%。這一總回報率實際上超過了20%的市場跌幅。然而,長期回報並沒有那麼糟糕,該股在過去三年裏下跌了16%。
鑑於該公司股價在過去一週下跌了6.1%,我們有必要看看公司的業績,看看是否有任何危險信號。
查看我們對中集車輛(集團)的最新分析
在他的文章中格雷厄姆和多德斯維爾的超級投資者沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價並不總是理性地反映一家企業的價值。考察市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是觀察一家公司的股價和每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。
不幸的是,中集車輛(集團)去年的每股收益下降了37%。每股收益的這次下跌比股價下跌25%的情況要糟糕得多。因此,儘管每股利潤疲軟,但一些投資者可能會鬆一口氣,因為情況並沒有變得更困難。
下圖描述了EPS是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的(通過單擊圖像來揭示確切的值)。
聯交所:1839 2022年7月13日每股收益增長這免費如果你想進一步調查中集集團的股票,那麼關於中集車輛(集團)的收益、收入和現金流的互動報告是一個很好的起點。
那股息呢?
在考察投資回報時,重要的是要考慮到股東總回報(TSR)和股價回報。雖然股價回報只反映股價的變動,但TSR包括股息的價值(假設股息再投資),以及任何折價集資或分拆所帶來的利益。可以説,TSR更全面地描繪了一隻股票產生的回報。碰巧,中集車輛(集團)最近一年的TSR為-17%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。公司支付的股息因此提振了總計股東回報。
不同的視角
中集車輛(集團)的股東在過去一年裏可能沒有賺到錢,但他們17%的總虧損(包括股息)沒有市場虧損17%左右那麼糟糕。持股三年的股東可能對最近的疲軟相對樂觀,因為他們連續三年的年回報率為0.6%。鑑於三年的回報好於過去一年的回報,可能是大盤最近令該股承壓。我發現,把股價作為衡量企業業績的長期指標是非常有趣的。但為了真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,考慮一下無處不在的投資風險幽靈。我們已經確定了兩個警告信號與中集車輛(集團)合作(至少1個,這有點令人不快),瞭解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。
對於那些想要找到贏得投資這免費最近有內幕收購的不斷增長的公司名單可能就是合適的選擇。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
風險及免責聲明
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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