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Earnings growth of 17% over 1 year hasn't been enough to translate into positive returns for 360 DigiTech (NASDAQ:QFIN) shareholders
Earnings growth of 17% over 1 year hasn't been enough to translate into positive returns for 360 DigiTech (NASDAQ:QFIN) shareholders
While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the 360 DigiTech, Inc. (NASDAQ:QFIN) share price up 14% in a single quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last year have been less than pleasing. After all, the share price is down 52% in the last year, significantly under-performing the market.
After losing 6.9% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
See our latest analysis for 360 DigiTech
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
Even though the 360 DigiTech share price is down over the year, its EPS actually improved. Of course, the situation might betray previous over-optimism about growth.
The divergence between the EPS and the share price is quite notable, during the year. So it's well worth checking out some other metrics, too.
We don't see any weakness in the 360 DigiTech's dividend so the steady payout can't really explain the share price drop. From what we can see, revenue is pretty flat, so that doesn't really explain the share price drop. Unless, of course, the market was expecting a revenue uptick.
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
NasdaqGS:QFIN Earnings and Revenue Growth July 7th 2022We know that 360 DigiTech has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of 360 DigiTech, it has a TSR of -50% for the last 1 year. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
360 DigiTech shareholders are down 50% for the year (even including dividends), falling short of the market return. Meanwhile, the broader market slid about 17%, likely weighing on the stock. Investors are up over three years, booking 14% per year, much better than the more recent returns. Sometimes when a good quality long term winner has a weak period, it's turns out to be an opportunity, but you really need to be sure that the quality is there. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with 360 DigiTech .
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
雖然這對一些股東來説可能還不夠,但我們認為看到360數科公司(納斯達克:QFIN)股價單季上漲14%.但這並沒有改變一個事實,即過去一年的回報一直不那麼令人滿意。畢竟,該公司股價在過去一年下跌了52%,表現明顯遜於大盤。
在過去一週下跌6.9%後,有必要調查一下該公司的基本面,看看我們可以從過去的表現中推斷出什麼。
查看我們對360數科的最新分析
本傑明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的原話是:短期內,市場是一臺投票機,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。一種不完美但簡單的方法來考慮市場對一家公司的看法是如何改變的,那就是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。
儘管新浪360數科的股價去年有所下跌,但其每股收益實際上有所改善。當然,這種情況可能會暴露出之前對增長的過度樂觀。
在這一年中,每股收益和股價之間的背離相當明顯。因此,也有必要檢查一下其他一些指標。
我們沒有看到360數科的股息有任何疲軟,因此穩定的股息並不能真正解釋股價下跌的原因。從我們看到的情況來看,營收相當持平,所以這並不能真正解釋股價下跌的原因。當然,除非市場預期收入會上升。
該公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看具體數字)。
NasdaqGS:QFIN收益和收入增長2022年7月7日我們知道360數科在過去三年裏提高了利潤,但未來會是什麼樣子呢?也許很值得一看我們的免費報告其財務狀況如何隨着時間的推移而發生變化。
那股息呢?
在考察投資回報時,重要的是要考慮到股東總回報(TSR)和股價回報。TSR包括任何剝離或貼現融資的價值,以及任何股息,基於股息再投資的假設。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來説,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。以360數科為例,它在過去1年的總資產收益率為-50%。這超過了我們之前提到的它的股價回報。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!
不同的視角
360數科的股東全年下跌了50%(即使包括股息),沒有達到市場回報。與此同時,大盤下跌約17%,可能令該股承壓。投資者在過去三年裏上漲了14%,比最近的回報率要好得多。有時候,當一個高質量的長期贏家有一個疲軟的時期,它被證明是一個機會,但你真的需要確保質量在那裏。雖然值得考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。為此,您應該意識到1個警告標誌我們發現了360數科。
如果你更願意看看另一家公司--一家財務狀況可能更好的公司--那麼不要錯過這一點免費已證明自己能夠實現盈利增長的公司名單。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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