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Is Jiumaojiu International Holdings Limited's (HKG:9922) Recent Stock Performance Tethered To Its Strong Fundamentals?

Is Jiumaojiu International Holdings Limited's (HKG:9922) Recent Stock Performance Tethered To Its Strong Fundamentals?

九茂酒國際控股有限公司(HKG:9922)近期的股票表現是否與其強勁的基本面因素有關?
Simply Wall St ·  2022/07/05 00:25

Jiumaojiu International Holdings (HKG:9922) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 17% over the last three months. Since the market usually pay for a company's long-term fundamentals, we decided to study the company's key performance indicators to see if they could be influencing the market. In this article, we decided to focus on Jiumaojiu International Holdings' ROE.

九茂酒國際控股有限公司(HKG:9922)的股票在過去三個月中大幅上漲了17%。由於市場通常為公司的長期基本面買單,我們決定研究公司的關鍵業績指標,看看它們是否會影響市場。在本文中,我們決定將重點放在九茂九國際控股的淨資產收益率上。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回報率(ROE)是對一家公司增值和管理投資者資金的效率的測試。換句話説,它揭示了該公司成功地將股東投資轉化為利潤。

See our latest analysis for Jiumaojiu International Holdings

查看我們對九茂九國際控股的最新分析

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率是如何計算的?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回報率可使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率=(持續經營的)淨利潤?股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jiumaojiu International Holdings is:

因此,根據上述公式,九毛九國際控股的淨資產收益率為:

12% = CN¥372m ÷ CN¥3.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).

12%=3.72億元×31億元(以截至2021年12月的12個月為基礎)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each HK$1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made HK$0.12 in profit.

“報税表”是過去12個月的税後收入。一種將其概念化的方法是,公司每持有1港元的股東資本,就能獲得0.12港元的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

為什麼淨資產收益率對收益增長很重要?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前為止,我們已經瞭解到淨資產收益率衡量的是一家公司創造利潤的效率。我們現在需要評估公司將多少利潤再投資或“保留”用於未來的增長,這就讓我們對公司的增長潛力有了一個瞭解。假設其他條件不變,淨資產收益率和利潤保留率越高,與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,公司的增長率就越高。

Jiumaojiu International Holdings' Earnings Growth And 12% ROE

九茂久國際控股的盈利增長和12%的淨資產收益率

To begin with, Jiumaojiu International Holdings seems to have a respectable ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 4.3%. This certainly adds some context to Jiumaojiu International Holdings' exceptional 39% net income growth seen over the past five years. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

首先,九茂九國際控股似乎擁有令人尊敬的淨資產收益率。此外,該公司的淨資產收益率(ROE)與4.3%的行業平均水平相比相當有利。這無疑為九茂酒國際控股過去五年39%的超常淨利潤增長增添了一些背景。我們認為,可能還有其他因素在起作用。例如,公司管理層可能做出了一些良好的戰略決策,或者公司的派息率較低。

When you consider the fact that the industry earnings have shrunk at a rate of 13% in the same period, the company's net income growth is pretty remarkable.

當你考慮到同期行業收益以13%的速度縮水時,該公司的淨收入增長相當可觀。

SEHK:9922 Past Earnings Growth July 5th 2022
聯交所:9922過去盈利增長2022年7月5日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Jiumaojiu International Holdings is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

盈利增長是評估一隻股票時需要考慮的一個重要指標。投資者應該嘗試確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已計入價格,無論是哪種情況。這有助於他們確定這隻股票是為光明還是黯淡的未來做準備。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據一隻股票的盈利前景決定市場願意為其支付的價格。因此,你可能想看看久茂久國際控股的市盈率相對於其行業是高市盈率還是低市盈率。

Is Jiumaojiu International Holdings Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

九毛九國際控股是否有效地利用了其留存收益?

Jiumaojiu International Holdings' ' three-year median payout ratio is on the lower side at 9.2% implying that it is retaining a higher percentage (91%) of its profits. So it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business and this reflects in its earnings growth number.

九茂酒國際控股的三年中值派息率偏低,為9.2%,這意味着它將保留較高的利潤百分比(91%)。因此,管理層似乎正在對利潤進行大量再投資,以增長業務,這反映在其收益增長數字上。

Along with seeing a growth in earnings, Jiumaojiu International Holdings only recently started paying dividends. Its quite possible that the company was looking to impress its shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 23% over the next three years. Still, forecasts suggest that Jiumaojiu International Holdings' future ROE will rise to 22% even though the the company's payout ratio is expected to rise. We presume that there could some other characteristics of the business that could be driving the anticipated growth in the company's ROE.

在盈利增長的同時,九毛九國際控股最近才開始派發股息。該公司很可能希望給股東留下深刻印象。在研究了最新的分析師共識數據後,我們發現,該公司未來三年的派息率預計將上升至23%。不過,預測顯示,九毛九國際控股未來的淨資產收益率將升至22%,儘管該公司的派息率預計會上升。我們推測,可能還有一些其他業務特徵可能推動了公司淨資產收益率的預期增長。

Conclusion

結論

In total, we are pretty happy with Jiumaojiu International Holdings' performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. The latest industry analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to maintain its current growth rate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

總體而言,我們對九茂九國際控股的表現相當滿意。特別是,我們喜歡該公司對其業務進行大量再投資,並以高回報率進行投資。不出所料,這導致了令人印象深刻的收益增長。最新的行業分析師預測顯示,該公司有望保持目前的增長速度。要了解更多有關該公司未來收益增長預測的信息,請查看以下內容免費報告分析師對該公司的預測,以瞭解更多信息。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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