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Optimism around CDL Hospitality Trusts (SGX:J85) delivering new earnings growth may be shrinking as stock declines 4.5% this past week

Optimism around CDL Hospitality Trusts (SGX:J85) delivering new earnings growth may be shrinking as stock declines 4.5% this past week

隨着股價在過去一週下跌4.5%,圍繞CDL酒店信託公司(SGX:J85)實現新的收益增長的樂觀情緒可能正在減弱
Simply Wall St ·  2022/07/04 22:55

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But if you try your hand at stock picking, your risk returning less than the market. We regret to report that long term CDL Hospitality Trusts (SGX:J85) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 23% in three years, versus a market decline of about 4.5%.

作為一名投資者,努力確保你的整體投資組合超過市場平均水平是值得的。但如果你試着選股,你的風險回報就會低於市場。我們很遺憾地報告這一長期的CDL酒店信託基金新加坡證券交易所股票代碼:J85)的股東有過這樣的經歷,股價在三年內下跌了23%,而市場跌幅約為4.5%。

After losing 4.5% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

在過去一週下跌4.5%後,有必要調查一下該公司的基本面,看看我們可以從過去的表現中推斷出什麼。

View our latest analysis for CDL Hospitality Trusts

查看我們對CDL酒店信託基金的最新分析

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

用巴菲特的話説,“船隻將在世界各地航行,但平坦的地球協會將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大的差異……”評估圍繞一家公司的情緒變化的一個有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During five years of share price growth, CDL Hospitality Trusts moved from a loss to profitability. We would usually expect to see the share price rise as a result. So it's worth looking at other metrics to try to understand the share price move.

在股價增長的五年中,CDL酒店信託基金從虧損轉為盈利。我們通常會預計股價會因此上漲。因此,有必要看看其他指標,以試圖理解股價走勢。

Arguably the revenue decline of 16% per year has people thinking CDL Hospitality Trusts is shrinking. After all, if revenue keeps shrinking, it may be difficult to find earnings growth in the future.

可以説,每年16%的收入下降讓人們認為CDL酒店信託基金正在縮水。畢竟,如果收入持續萎縮,未來可能很難找到盈利增長的跡象。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

你可以在下面看到收入和收入是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的(點擊圖片可以發現確切的價值)。

SGX:J85 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 5th 2022
新交所:J85收益和收入增長2022年7月5日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

我們很高興地報告,這位首席執行官的薪酬比類似資本公司的大多數首席執行官都要低。但是,儘管CEO的薪酬總是值得檢查的,但真正重要的問題是,公司能否在未來實現收益增長。因此,我們建議您查看以下內容免費顯示共識預測的報告

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, CDL Hospitality Trusts' TSR for the last 3 years was -12%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的總股東回報以及股價回報。雖然股價回報只反映股價的變動,但TSR包括股息的價值(假設股息再投資),以及任何折價集資或分拆所帶來的利益。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來説,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。碰巧的是,CDL酒店信託公司過去3年的TSR為-12%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's nice to see that CDL Hospitality Trusts shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 4.5% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 0.4% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand CDL Hospitality Trusts better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for CDL Hospitality Trusts you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

很高興看到CDL酒店信託的股東在過去一年中獲得了4.5%的總股東回報。當然,這包括股息。由於一年期的TSR好於五年期的TSR(後者的年利率為0.4%),看起來該股的表現最近有所改善。持樂觀觀點的人可能會認為,最近TSR的改善表明,業務本身正在隨着時間的推移而變得更好。跟蹤股價的長期表現總是很有趣的。但為了更好地理解CDL酒店信託基金,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。一個恰當的例子:我們發現了CDL酒店信託基金的3個警告標誌你應該知道,其中有一個是有點令人擔憂的。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你更願意看看另一家公司--一家財務狀況可能更好的公司--那麼不要錯過這一點免費已證明自己能夠實現盈利增長的公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on SG exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在SG交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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