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Is Ronglian Group (SZSE:002642) A Risky Investment?

Is Ronglian Group (SZSE:002642) A Risky Investment?

榮聯集團(SZSE:002642)是一項高風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2022/07/04 18:45

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Ronglian Group Ltd. (SZSE:002642) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

大衞·伊本説得很好,波動性不是我們關心的風險,我們關心的是避免資本的永久性損失。因此,當你考慮到任何一隻股票的風險有多大時,你需要考慮債務可能是顯而易見的,因為太多的債務可能會讓一家公司倒閉。我們注意到榮聯集團有限公司(SZSE:002642)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否讓該公司面臨風險。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業發展的一種工具,但如果一家企業無法償還貸款人的債務,那麼它就只能聽從貸款人的擺佈。最終,如果公司不能履行其償還債務的法定義務,股東可能會一無所有地離開。然而,更常見(但代價仍然高昂)的情況是,一家公司必須以極低的價格發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東的股份,只是為了支撐其資產負債表。當然,債務的好處是,它往往代表着廉價資本,特別是當它用能夠以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。當考慮一家企業使用了多少債務時,首先要做的是把現金和債務放在一起看。

See our latest analysis for Ronglian Group

查看我們對榮聯集團的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Ronglian Group Carry?

榮聯集團揹負着多少債務?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2022, Ronglian Group had CN¥292.2m of debt, up from CN¥155.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥400.6m in cash, so it actually has CN¥108.4m net cash.

如下所示,截至2022年3月底,榮聯集團的債務為2.922億元人民幣,而一年前為1.55億元人民幣。單擊圖像瞭解更多詳細信息。然而,其資產負債表顯示,它持有4.06億新元現金,因此它實際上擁有1.084億新元淨現金。

SZSE:002642 Debt to Equity History July 4th 2022
深交所:002642債轉股歷史2022年7月4日

How Strong Is Ronglian Group's Balance Sheet?

榮聯集團的資產負債表有多強?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Ronglian Group had liabilities of CN¥1.45b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥26.4m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥400.6m and CN¥1.01b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥65.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根據最近一次報告的資產負債表,榮聯集團有14.5億加元的負債在12個月內到期,2640萬加元的負債在12個月後到期。另一方面,它還有4.06億元現金和10.1億元的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,其負債總額為6530萬加元,比現金和短期應收賬款的總和還要多。

Having regard to Ronglian Group's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥4.03b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Ronglian Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

考慮到榮聯集團的規模,其流動資產與總負債似乎達到了很好的平衡。因此,儘管很難想象這家40.3億元人民幣的公司正在為現金而苦苦掙扎,但我們仍然認為值得監控其資產負債表。雖然熔聯集團確實有值得注意的負債,但它的現金也多於債務,因此我們非常有信心它能夠安全地管理債務。

It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, Ronglian Group turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of CN¥53m. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Ronglian Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

同樣令人高興的是,儘管去年息税前利潤線出現虧損,但榮聯集團在過去12個月裏扭虧為盈,交付息税前利潤5300萬元。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是你關注的領域。但影響未來資產負債表表現的將是熔聯集團的盈利。因此,當考慮債務時,絕對值得關注收益趨勢。點擊此處查看互動快照。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Ronglian Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last year, Ronglian Group reported free cash flow worth 12% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

最後,儘管税務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。雖然熔聯集團的資產負債表上有淨現金,但它將息税前利潤(EBIT)轉換為自由現金流的能力仍然值得一看,以幫助我們瞭解它正在以多快的速度建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額。去年,榮聯集團報告的自由現金流相當於其息税前利潤的12%,這確實是相當低的。對我們來説,低現金轉換引發了一點偏執,那就是償還債務的能力。

Summing up

總結

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Ronglian Group has CN¥108.4m in net cash. So we don't have any problem with Ronglian Group's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Ronglian Group .

儘管查看一家公司的總負債總是明智的,但讓人非常放心的是,榮聯集團擁有1.084億元人民幣的淨現金。因此,我們對榮聯集團的債務使用沒有任何問題。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中瞭解到的債務最多。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中--遠非如此。為此,您應該意識到1個警告標誌我們發現了榮聯集團。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

總而言之,有時候專注於甚至不需要債務的公司會更容易。讀者可以訪問淨債務為零的成長型股票列表100%免費,現在。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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