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Is Wanda Film Holding (SZSE:002739) A Risky Investment?

Is Wanda Film Holding (SZSE:002739) A Risky Investment?

萬達電影控股(SZSE:002739)是一項高風險的投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2022/07/02 21:30

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Wanda Film Holding Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002739) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

傳奇基金經理理想汽車·盧曾説,最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。當你考察一家公司的風險有多大時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因為當一家企業倒閉時,債務往往會涉及到它。我們注意到萬達電影控股有限公司。(SZSE:002739)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否讓該公司面臨風險。

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候債務是個問題?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般來説,只有當一家公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成為一個真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資金還是用自己的現金流。在最糟糕的情況下,如果一家公司無法償還債權人的債務,它可能會破產。然而,更常見(但代價仍然高昂)的情況是,一家公司必須以極低的價格發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東的股份,只是為了支撐其資產負債表。然而,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本投資於高回報率增長的企業來説,債務可以成為一個非常好的工具。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先同時考慮現金和債務水平。

Check out our latest analysis for Wanda Film Holding

查看我們對萬達電影控股的最新分析

What Is Wanda Film Holding's Net Debt?

萬達電影控股的淨債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2022 Wanda Film Holding had debt of CN¥7.40b, up from CN¥6.99b in one year. However, it also had CN¥4.47b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥2.92b.

下面的圖片,你可以點擊查看更多細節,顯示了截至2022年3月,萬達電影控股公司的債務為74億加元,而一年的債務為69.9億加元。然而,它也有44.7億元現金,因此其淨債務為29.2億元。

SZSE:002739 Debt to Equity History July 3rd 2022
深交所:002739債轉股歷史2022年7月3日

A Look At Wanda Film Holding's Liabilities

看萬達電影控股的負債情況

According to the last reported balance sheet, Wanda Film Holding had liabilities of CN¥10.1b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥10.6b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥4.47b as well as receivables valued at CN¥2.06b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥14.2b.

根據最近一次報告的資產負債表,萬達電影控股公司有101億元人民幣的負債在12個月內到期,106億元人民幣的負債在12個月後到期。作為對這些債務的抵消,該公司有44.7億加元的現金以及20.6億加元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債超過了現金和(近期)應收賬款的總和142億元。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Wanda Film Holding has a market capitalization of CN¥29.7b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

雖然這看起來可能很多,但並不是很糟糕,因為萬達電影控股的市值為297億元人民幣,因此如果需要的話,它可能會通過籌集資本來加強其資產負債表。然而,仍值得密切關注其償債能力。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

為了評估一家公司的債務相對於它的收益,我們計算它的淨債務除以它的利息、税項、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)和它的利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以它的利息支出(它的利息覆蓋)。這樣,我們既考慮了債務的絕對量,也考慮了為其支付的利率。

Wanda Film Holding shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.2), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.32 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. One redeeming factor for Wanda Film Holding is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of CN¥243m, over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Wanda Film Holding can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

萬達電影控股的股東面臨着高淨債務與EBITDA比率(5.2)和相當弱的利息覆蓋的雙重打擊,因為EBIT僅為利息支出的0.32倍。這裏的債務負擔是巨大的。萬達電影控股的一個可取之處是,它在過去12個月裏將去年的息税前虧損變成了2.43億加元的收益。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中瞭解到的債務最多。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定萬達電影控股能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. During the last year, Wanda Film Holding generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 99% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

最後,儘管税務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。因此,重要的是要檢查其息税前收益(EBIT)中有多少轉換為實際的自由現金流。去年,萬達電影控股產生的自由現金流佔其息税前利潤的99%,非常強勁,超出了我們的預期。這使其在償還債務方面處於非常有利的地位。

Our View

我們的觀點

Neither Wanda Film Holding's ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT nor its net debt to EBITDA gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to convert EBIT to free cash flow with ease. We think that Wanda Film Holding's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. Even though Wanda Film Holding lost money on the bottom line, its positive EBIT suggests the business itself has potential. So you might want to check out how earnings have been trending over the last few years.

無論是萬達電影控股用息税前利潤來支付利息支出的能力,還是其對EBITDA的淨債務,都讓我們對其承擔更多債務的能力失去了信心。但好消息是,它似乎能夠輕鬆地將息税前利潤轉換為自由現金流。綜合考慮上述數據點,我們認為萬達電影控股的債務確實使其具有一定的風險。這不一定是一件壞事,因為槓桿可以提高股本回報率,但這是需要注意的。儘管萬達電影控股的利潤是虧損的,但其正的息税前利潤表明該業務本身具有潛力。因此,你可能想了解一下過去幾年的收入趨勢。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果你對一家增長迅速、資產負債表堅如磐石的公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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