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Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Chi Ho Development Holdings (HKG:8423)

Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Chi Ho Development Holdings (HKG:8423)

疲弱的法定收益可能不能説明致和發展控股(HKG:8423)的全部故事
Simply Wall St ·  2022/07/01 19:15

The subdued market reaction suggests that Chi Ho Development Holdings Limited's (HKG:8423) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. We think that investors are worried about some weaknesses underlying the earnings.

低迷的市場反應表明致和發展控股有限公司(HKG:8423)最近的收益不包含任何意外。我們認為,投資者擔心的是盈利背後的一些弱點。

See our latest analysis for Chi Ho Development Holdings

查看我們對致和發展控股的最新分析

SEHK:8423 Earnings and Revenue History July 1st 2022
聯交所:8423盈利及收入歷史2022年7月1日

Zooming In On Chi Ho Development Holdings' Earnings

放大致和發展控股公司的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

在高端金融領域,衡量一家公司將報告利潤轉換為自由現金流(FCF)的程度的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。應計制比率從給定期間的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間段內公司的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少不是由自由現金流支持的。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,負的應計比率對公司是積極的,而正的應計比率是負的。雖然應計比率為正並不是問題,這表明非現金利潤達到了一定的水平,但高的應計比率可以説是一件壞事,因為它表明賬面利潤與現金流不匹配。引用勒維倫和雷蘇泰克2014年的一篇論文,“應計利潤較高的公司未來的利潤往往較低”。

Over the twelve months to March 2022, Chi Ho Development Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of 0.22. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Even though it reported a profit of HK$8.02m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through HK$25m in the last year. We saw that FCF was HK$8.1m a year ago though, so Chi Ho Development Holdings has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.

在截至2022年3月的12個月內,致和發展控股錄得0.22的應計比率。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流明顯低於其法定利潤,這很難説是一件好事。儘管該公司報告盈利802萬港元,但看看自由現金流就會發現,該公司去年實際上燒掉了2500萬港元。然而,我們看到一年前的FCF是810萬港元,所以志和發展控股至少在過去能夠產生正的FCF。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Chi Ho Development Holdings.

注:我們總是建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對致和發展控股的資產負債表分析。

Our Take On Chi Ho Development Holdings' Profit Performance

我們對致和發展控股公司盈利表現的看法

Chi Ho Development Holdings' accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Chi Ho Development Holdings' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, Chi Ho Development Holdings has 5 warning signs (and 2 which are potentially serious) we think you should know about.

致和發展控股過去12個月的應計比率意味着現金轉換不太理想,這對我們對其收益的看法是負面的。正因為如此,我們認為可能是致和發展控股的法定利潤好於其基礎盈利能力。遺憾的是,在過去的12個月裏,它的每股收益一直在下降。歸根結底,如果你想正確地瞭解這家公司,除了以上幾個因素之外,考慮其他因素也是至關重要的。考慮到這一點,除非我們對風險有透徹的瞭解,否則我們不會考慮投資股票。例如,致和發展控股有限公司擁有5個警告標誌(和兩個潛在的嚴重問題),我們認為您應該知道。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Chi Ho Development Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

今天,我們放大了一個數據點,以更好地瞭解致和發展控股公司的利潤性質。但如果你有能力將注意力集中在細枝末節上,總會有更多的東西需要發現。一些人認為,高股本回報率是高質量企業的良好標誌。所以你可能想看看這個免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或內部人士正在購買的這份股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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