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Is Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings (HKG:874) A Risky Investment?

Is Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings (HKG:874) A Risky Investment?

廣州白雲山醫藥控股(HKG:874)是一項高風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/27 02:49

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited (HKG:874) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

由伯克希爾哈撒韋公司的芒格支持的外部基金經理李路直言不諱地説,最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。因此,當你考慮到任何一隻股票的風險有多大時,你需要考慮債務可能是顯而易見的,因為太多的債務可能會讓一家公司倒閉。重要的是廣州白雲山醫藥控股有限公司(HKG:874)確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務造成了多大的風險?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務在什麼時候是危險的?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般來説,只有當一家公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成為一個真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資金還是用自己的現金流。最終,如果公司不能履行其償還債務的法定義務,股東可能會一無所有地離開。然而,一種更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,一家公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東的股份,才能控制債務。然而,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本投資於高回報率增長的企業來説,債務可以成為一個非常好的工具。在考慮一家公司的債務水平時,第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

See our latest analysis for Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings

查看我們對廣州白雲山醫藥控股公司的最新分析

What Is Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings's Net Debt?

廣州白雲山醫藥控股的淨負債是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2022 Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings had debt of CN¥10.7b, up from CN¥10.1b in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥23.6b in cash, so it actually has CN¥12.9b net cash.

下圖顯示,截至2022年3月,廣州白雲山醫藥控股有限公司的債務為107億加元,高於一年內的101億加元。你可以點擊查看更多細節。然而,其資產負債表顯示,它持有人民幣236億元的現金,因此它實際上擁有人民幣129億元的淨現金。

SEHK:874 Debt to Equity History June 27th 2022
聯交所:874債轉股歷史2022年6月27日

How Strong Is Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings' Balance Sheet?

廣州白雲山醫藥控股的資產負債表有多強勁?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings had liabilities of CN¥31.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥2.64b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥23.6b as well as receivables valued at CN¥19.9b due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥9.61b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根據最新上報的資產負債表,廣州白雲山醫藥控股12個月內到期負債312億元,12個月後到期負債26.4億元。與這些債務相抵的是,該公司有236億加元的現金以及價值199億加元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它的流動資產比總計負債。

This surplus suggests that Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Succinctly put, Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這一盈餘表明,廣州白雲山醫藥控股有限公司正在以一種似乎既安全又保守的方式使用債務。由於它擁有充足的資產,它不太可能與其貸款人發生麻煩。簡而言之,廣州白雲山醫藥控股擁有淨現金,可以説它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

And we also note warmly that Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings grew its EBIT by 20% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

我們也熱情地注意到,廣州白雲山醫藥控股去年息税前利潤增長了20%,使其債務負擔更容易處理。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中瞭解到的債務最多。但決定廣州白雲山醫藥控股公司未來能否保持健康資產負債表的,最重要的是未來的收益。所以,如果你關注未來,你可以看看這個免費顯示分析師利潤預測的報告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 96% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

最後,一家公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,而不是會計利潤。廣州白雲山醫藥控股的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但看看該公司將息税前利潤(EBIT)轉換為自由現金流的情況仍很有趣,因為這將影響其對債務的需求和管理債務的能力。過去三年,廣州白雲山醫藥控股錄得相當於其息税前利潤96%的自由現金流,這比我們通常預期的要好。這使它處於有利的地位,如果需要的話,它可以償還債務。

Summing up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings has CN¥12.9b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 96% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥3.6b. So we don't think Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

雖然調查一家公司的債務總是明智的,但在這起案件中,廣州白雲山醫藥控股擁有人民幣129億元的淨現金和看起來不錯的資產負債表。上面的櫻桃是IN將其中96%的EBIT轉換為自由現金流,帶來36億元人民幣的收入。因此,我們不認為廣州白雲山醫藥控股使用債務是有風險的。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是你關注的領域。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中--遠非如此。我們已經確定了1個警告信號與廣州白雲山醫藥控股有限公司合作,瞭解他們應該是你投資過程的一部分。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

總而言之,有時候專注於甚至不需要債務的公司會更容易。讀者可以訪問淨債務為零的成長型股票列表100%免費,現在。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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