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Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002741) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002741) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

廣東光華科技股份有限公司(深交所股票代碼:002741)走強,但基本面似乎好壞參半:該股是否有明確的方向?
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/25 02:34

Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech's (SZSE:002741) stock is up by a considerable 14% over the past month. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Specifically, we decided to study Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech's ROE in this article.

廣東光華科技(SZSE:002741)的股票在過去一個月裏上漲了14%。然而,我們決定關注該公司的基本面,這些基本面似乎並未給出該公司財務健康狀況的明確跡象。具體地説,我們決定在本文中研究廣東光華科技的淨資產收益率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股本回報率(ROE)是用來評估公司管理層利用公司資本效率的關鍵指標。簡而言之,它是用來評估一家公司相對於其權益資本的盈利能力。

Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech

查看我們對廣東光華科技的最新分析

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for ROE is:

這個淨資產收益率公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率=(持續經營的)淨利潤?股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech is:

因此,根據上述公式,廣東光華科技的淨資產收益率為:

5.3% = CN¥86m ÷ CN¥1.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2022).

5.3%=CN元8600萬×CN元16億元(以截至2022年3月的12個月為基礎)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.05.

“回報”就是年度利潤。因此,這意味着股東每投資1元人民幣,公司就會產生0.05元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

淨資產收益率與盈利增長有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我們已經證實,淨資產收益率是一家公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。根據公司選擇再投資或“保留”多少利潤,我們就能夠評估一家公司未來產生利潤的能力。假設其他條件相同,與沒有相同特徵的公司相比,擁有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常會有更高的增長率。

A Side By Side comparison of Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech's Earnings Growth And 5.3% ROE

廣東光華科技盈利增長與淨資產收益率5.3%的並列比較

When you first look at it, Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech's ROE doesn't look that attractive. We then compared the company's ROE to the broader industry and were disappointed to see that the ROE is lower than the industry average of 10%. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 18% seen by Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech over the last five years is not surprising. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For example, it is possible that the business has allocated capital poorly or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

乍一看,廣東光華科技的淨資產收益率看起來並不那麼誘人。然後,我們將該公司的淨資產收益率(ROE)與整個行業進行了比較,發現淨資產收益率低於10%的行業平均水平,這讓我們感到失望。在這種情況下,廣東光華科技在過去五年淨收入大幅下降18%也就不足為奇了。然而,也可能有其他因素導致收益下降。例如,可能是企業的資本配置不當,或者公司的派息率非常高。

That being said, we compared Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 19% in the same period.

話雖如此,我們將廣東光華科技的表現與行業進行了比較,當我們發現該公司在同期盈利縮水的同時,該行業的盈利卻以19%的速度增長,這讓我們感到擔憂。

SZSE:002741 Past Earnings Growth June 25th 2022
深圳證交所:過去002741的收益增長2022年6月25日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

盈利增長是評估一隻股票時需要考慮的一個重要指標。對於投資者來説,重要的是知道市場是否已經消化了公司預期的收益增長(或下降)。這樣做將有助於他們確定該股的未來看起來是光明的還是不祥的。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據一隻股票的盈利前景決定市場願意為其支付的價格。因此,你可能想看看廣東光華科技相對於其行業是高市盈率還是低市盈率。

Is Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

廣東光華科技有沒有用好利潤?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 26% (that is, a retention ratio of 74%), the fact that Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

儘管正常的三年派息中值比率為26%(即留存比率為74%),但廣東光華科技的盈利縮水令人費解。看起來可能還有其他一些原因來解釋這方面的缺乏。例如,這項業務可能正在衰落。

In addition, Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech has been paying dividends over a period of seven years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

此外,廣東光華科技七年來一直在派發股息,這表明儘管收益一直在下降,但管理層更傾向於繼續派發股息。

Conclusion

結論

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 4 risks we have identified for Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech visit our risks dashboard for free.

總體而言,我們覺得廣東光華科技的表現可以有多種解讀。雖然該公司的再投資率確實很高,但低ROE意味着所有的再投資都沒有給投資者帶來任何好處,而且對收益增長產生了負面影響。總而言之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是查看業務的風險概況。要了解我們為廣東光華科技確定的4個風險,請免費訪問我們的風險儀錶板。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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