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Is Akeso (HKG:9926) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Akeso (HKG:9926) Using Too Much Debt?

Akeso(HKG:9926)是否使用了太多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/21 20:49

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Akeso, Inc. (HKG:9926) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

由伯克希爾哈撒韋公司的芒格支持的外部基金經理李路直言不諱地説,最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。因此,當你評估一家公司的風險有多大時,聰明的投資者似乎知道債務--通常涉及破產--是一個非常重要的因素。我們可以看到Akeso公司(HKG:9926)確實在其業務中使用債務。但這筆債務對股東來説是一個擔憂嗎?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候債務是個問題?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是用新資本還是用自由現金流。在最糟糕的情況下,如果一家公司無法償還債權人的債務,它可能會破產。然而,一種更常見(但仍令人痛苦)的情景是,它不得不以低價籌集新的股本,從而永久性地稀釋股東。然而,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本投資於高回報率增長的企業來説,債務可以成為一個非常好的工具。在考慮一家公司的債務水平時,第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

View our latest analysis for Akeso

查看我們對Akeso的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Akeso Carry?

Akeso揹負着多少債務?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2021, Akeso had CN¥849.3m of debt, up from CN¥192.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But it also has CN¥2.65b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥1.80b net cash.

如下所示,截至2021年12月底,Akeso的債務為8.493億元人民幣,高於一年前的1.924億元人民幣。單擊圖像瞭解更多詳細信息。但它也有人民幣26.5億元的現金來抵消,這意味着它有人民幣18.億元的淨現金。

SEHK:9926 Debt to Equity History June 22nd 2022
聯交所:9926債轉股歷史2022年6月22日

How Strong Is Akeso's Balance Sheet?

Akeso的資產負債表有多強勁?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Akeso had liabilities of CN¥655.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥869.8m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.65b as well as receivables valued at CN¥281.2m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥1.40b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,Akeso有6.557億加元的負債在12個月內到期,還有8.698億加元的負債在12個月內到期。為了抵消這些債務,該公司有26.5億加元的現金以及2.812億加元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它可以號稱擁有比總計負債。

This surplus suggests that Akeso has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Akeso boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Akeso can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

這一盈餘表明,Akeso擁有保守的資產負債表,很可能會毫不費力地消除債務。簡而言之,Akeso擁有淨現金,所以公平地説,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中瞭解到的債務最多。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定Akeso能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。所以,如果你關注未來,你可以看看這個免費顯示分析師利潤預測的報告。

While it hasn't made a profit, at least Akeso booked its first revenue as a publicly listed company, in the last twelve months.

雖然Akeso還沒有盈利,但至少在過去的12個月裏,它作為一家上市公司獲得了第一筆收入。

So How Risky Is Akeso?

那麼Akeso的風險有多大呢?

Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And we do note that Akeso had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥1.7b and booked a CN¥1.1b accounting loss. While this does make the company a bit risky, it's important to remember it has net cash of CN¥1.80b. That means it could keep spending at its current rate for more than two years. Even though its balance sheet seems sufficiently liquid, debt always makes us a little nervous if a company doesn't produce free cash flow regularly. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Akeso has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

從統計上講,虧損的公司比賺錢的公司風險更大。我們確實注意到,Akeso在過去一年出現了息税前收益(EBIT)虧損。同期,該公司自由現金流出為負17億加元,計入11億加元會計損失。雖然這確實給該公司帶來了一些風險,但重要的是要記住,它的淨現金為人民幣18.億元。這意味着它可能會在兩年多的時間裏保持目前的支出速度。儘管一家公司的資產負債表似乎流動性充足,但如果一家公司不能定期產生自由現金流,債務總是會讓我們感到有點緊張。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是你關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能包含存在於資產負債表之外的風險。例如-Akeso有1個警告標誌我們認為你應該意識到。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,關注那些沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。你可以訪問我們的這類公司的特別名單(都有利潤增長的記錄)。這是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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