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At S$1.06, Is It Time To Put Frasers Property Limited (SGX:TQ5) On Your Watch List?

At S$1.06, Is It Time To Put Frasers Property Limited (SGX:TQ5) On Your Watch List?

以1.06新元的價格,是時候將星獅地產有限公司(SGX:TQ5)列入您的觀察名單了嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/21 03:05

While Frasers Property Limited (SGX:TQ5) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it maintained its current share price over the past couple of month on the SGX, with a relatively tight range of S$1.04 to S$1.13. However, does this price actually reflect the true value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let's take a look at Frasers Property's outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

雖然星獅地產有限公司(SGX:TQ5)目前可能不是最廣為人知的股票,但它在過去幾個月裏維持了在新加坡證券交易所的當前股價,相對較窄的區間為1.04新元至1.13新元。然而,這一價格實際上是否反映了中型股的真實價值?或者,它目前被低估了,為我們提供了買入的機會?讓我們看看基於最新財務數據的Fraser Property的前景和價值,看看是否有任何推動價格變化的催化劑。

See our latest analysis for Frasers Property

查看我們對Fraser Property的最新分析

What is Frasers Property worth?

Fraser地產值多少錢?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I've used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock's cash flows. I find that Frasers Property's ratio of 6.32x is trading slightly below its industry peers' ratio of 10.64x, which means if you buy Frasers Property today, you'd be paying a decent price for it. And if you believe that Frasers Property should be trading at this level in the long run, then there's not much of an upside to gain over and above other industry peers. Furthermore, it seems like Frasers Property's share price is quite stable, which means there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it's priced similarly to industry peers. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

根據我的市盈率模型,該公司的市盈率與行業平均水平進行了比較,目前股價似乎是合理的。在這種情況下,考慮到沒有足夠的信息來可靠地預測股票的現金流,我使用了市盈率(PE)。我發現Fraser Property的市盈率為6.32倍,略低於業內同行10.64倍的市盈率,這意味着如果你今天購買Fraser Property,你將支付一個相當不錯的價格。如果你認為從長遠來看,Fraser Property應該在這個水平上交易,那麼相對於其他行業同行來説,沒有太大的上行空間。此外,Fraser Property的股價似乎相當穩定,這意味着由於其定價與業內同行相似,未來買入低點的機會可能會減少。這是因為,鑑於其貝塔係數較低,該股的波動性低於大盤。

Can we expect growth from Frasers Property?

我們能指望來自Fraser房地產的增長嗎?

SGX:TQ5 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 21st 2022
新交所:2022年6月21日TQ5收益和收入增長

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of Frasers Property, it is expected to deliver a highly negative earnings growth in the next few years, which doesn't help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

尋求投資組合增長的投資者可能希望在購買一家公司的股票之前考慮其前景。儘管價值投資者會爭辯説,相對於價格的內在價值才是最重要的,但一個更有説服力的投資命題是以低廉的價格實現高增長潛力。儘管在Fraser Property的案例中,預計它在未來幾年將實現高度負的收益增長,這無助於建立其投資理念。未來不確定性的風險似乎很高,至少在短期內是這樣。

What this means for you:

這對你意味着什麼:

Are you a shareholder? Currently, TQ5 appears to be trading around industry price multiples, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock beneficial for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on TQ5, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

你是股東嗎?目前,TQ5似乎在行業市盈率附近交易,但考慮到未來負回報的不確定性,現在可能是降低投資組合風險的合適時機。你目前對這隻股票的敞口對你的整個投資組合有利嗎?持有一隻前景負面的股票的機會成本是否過高?在你對TQ5做出決定之前,先看看它的基本面是否發生了變化。

Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on TQ5 for a while, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. This means there's less benefit from mispricing. In addition to this, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven't considered today, which can help crystallize your views on TQ5 should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio.

你是潛在的投資者嗎?如果你關注TQ5已經有一段時間了,現在可能不是買入的最有利時機,因為它的交易價格在行業市盈率附近。這意味着,錯誤定價帶來的好處較少。除此之外,負增長前景增加了持有該股的風險。然而,還有其他重要因素我們今天沒有考慮,這可以幫助明確你對TQ5的看法,如果價格波動低於行業市盈率的話。

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Frasers Property at this point in time. To help with this, we've discovered 3 warning signs (2 can't be ignored!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Frasers Property.

因此,儘管收益質量很重要,但考慮到Fraser Property目前面臨的風險也同樣重要。為了幫助解決這個問題,我們發現3個警示標誌(2不可忽視!)在購買Fraser Property的任何股票之前,你應該意識到這一點。

If you are no longer interested in Frasers Property, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

如果您對Fraser Property不再感興趣,您可以使用我們的免費平臺查看我們的其他50多隻具有高增長潛力的股票。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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