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Shandong International Trust Co., Ltd.'s (HKG:1697) Share Price Boosted 26% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

Shandong International Trust Co., Ltd.'s (HKG:1697) Share Price Boosted 26% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

山東國際信託股份有限公司(HKG:1697)股價上漲26%,但其業務前景也有待提升
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/18 20:26

Shandong International Trust Co., Ltd. (HKG:1697) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 34% over that time.

山東國際信託有限責任公司(HKG:1697)股票經歷了令人印象深刻的一個月,在經歷了一段不穩定的時期後上漲了26%。不幸的是,上個月的收益幾乎沒有彌補去年的損失,在此期間,該股仍下跌了34%。

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Shandong International Trust may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 3.7x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios greater than 9x and even P/E's higher than 20x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

儘管股價強勁反彈,山東國際信託目前可能仍在發出非常看漲的信號,其市盈率為3.7倍,因為幾乎一半的香港公司的市盈率高於9倍,即使市盈率高於20倍也並不少見。儘管如此,我們還需要更深入地挖掘,以確定市盈率大幅下降是否有合理的基礎。

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Shandong International Trust over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

舉例來説,山東國際信託的收益在過去一年裏一直在惡化,這一點都不理想。一種可能性是,市盈率較低是因為投資者認為該公司在不久的將來不會採取足夠的措施來避免表現遜於大盤。如果你喜歡這家公司,你會希望情況並非如此,這樣你就可以在它不再受青睞的時候買入一些股票。

Check out our latest analysis for Shandong International Trust

查看我們對山東國際信託的最新分析

SEHK:1697 Price Based on Past Earnings June 19th 2022 Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our
聯交所:1697基於過去收益的價格2022年6月19日想要了解公司的收益、收入和現金流的全貌嗎?那麼我們的
free
免費
report on Shandong International Trust will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
山東國際信託報道,助您一窺其歷史業績。

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

增長是否與低市盈率相匹配?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Shandong International Trust would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

為了證明其市盈率是合理的,山東國際信託需要大幅落後於市場的增長乏力。

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 25%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 46% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

首先回顧一下,該公司去年的每股收益增長並不是什麼令人興奮的事情,因為它公佈了令人失望的下降25%。因此,三年前的整體收益也下降了46%。因此,不幸的是,我們不得不承認,在這段時間裏,該公司在盈利增長方面做得並不出色。

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 16% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

與該公司形成鮮明對比的是,市場其他部分預計明年將增長16%,這確實讓人對該公司最近中期收益的下降有了正確的認識。

In light of this, it's understandable that Shandong International Trust's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.

有鑑於此,山東國際信託的市盈率低於大多數其他公司也是可以理解的。儘管如此,不能保證市盈率已經觸底,盈利出現了逆轉。即使只是維持這樣的價格也可能很難實現,因為最近的收益趨勢已經在拖累股價。

The Bottom Line On Shandong International Trust's P/E

山東國際信託市盈率底線

Shares in Shandong International Trust are going to need a lot more upward momentum to get the company's P/E out of its slump. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

山東國際信託的股價需要更多的上漲動力,才能讓該公司的市盈率走出低迷。僅僅用市盈率來決定你是否應該出售你的股票是不明智的,但它可以成為公司未來前景的實用指南。

As we suspected, our examination of Shandong International Trust revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

正如我們懷疑的那樣,我們對山東國際信託的調查顯示,考慮到市場將會增長,該公司中期收益縮水是導致其市盈率較低的原因之一。在這個階段,投資者認為盈利改善的潛力還不夠大,不足以證明提高市盈率是合理的。如果近期的中期盈利趨勢繼續下去,在這種情況下,很難看到股價在不久的將來向任何一個方向強勁移動。

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shandong International Trust you should know about.

還有其他風險呢?每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現山東國際信託的2個警示信號你應該知道。

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20x).

重要的是確保你尋找的是一家偉大的公司,而不僅僅是你遇到的第一個想法。所以讓我們來看看這個免費近期盈利增長強勁(市盈率低於20倍)的有趣公司名單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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