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Optimistic Investors Push Fujian Holdings Limited (HKG:181) Shares Up 30% But Growth Is Lacking

Optimistic Investors Push Fujian Holdings Limited (HKG:181) Shares Up 30% But Growth Is Lacking

樂觀的投資者推動福建控股有限公司(HKG:181)股價上漲30%,但增長乏力
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/17 18:28

Fujian Holdings Limited (HKG:181) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 30% share price jump in the last month. But not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 12% in the last twelve months.

福建控股有限公司(HKG:181)股東的耐心得到了回報,在過去的一個月裏,他們的股價上漲了30%。但並不是所有的股東都會感到歡欣鼓舞,因為在過去的12個月裏,該公司的股價仍下跌了令人失望的12%。

Following the firm bounce in price, Fujian Holdings may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 48.9x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 8x and even P/E's lower than 5x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

隨着股價的強勁反彈,福建控股目前可能發出了非常悲觀的信號,市盈率為48.9倍,因為幾乎一半的香港公司的市盈率低於8倍,即使市盈率低於5倍也並不罕見。然而,市盈率可能相當高是有原因的,需要進一步調查才能確定它是否合理。

Fujian Holdings certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

福建控股最近肯定做得很好,因為它一直在以非常快的速度增長收益。似乎很多人都預計,蘋果強勁的盈利表現將在未來一段時間內超過大多數其他公司,這增加了投資者買入該股的意願。如果不是,那麼現有股東可能會對股價的生存能力感到有點緊張。

Check out our latest analysis for Fujian Holdings

查看我們對福建控股的最新分析

SEHK:181 Price Based on Past Earnings June 17th 2022 Although there are no analyst estimates available for Fujian Holdings, take a look at this
聯交所:181基於過去收益的價格2022年6月17日雖然沒有分析師對福建控股的估計,但看看這個。
free
免費
data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
豐富的數據可視化,看看公司的收益、收入和現金流是如何堆積的。

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

增長指標告訴我們關於高市盈率的哪些信息?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Fujian Holdings would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

為了證明其市盈率是合理的,福建控股需要實現遠遠超出市場的出色增長。

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 80% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 61% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

回顧過去一年,公司的利潤實現了80%的不同尋常的增長。儘管如此,令人難以置信的是,每股收益比三年前總共下降了61%,這相當令人失望。因此,不幸的是,我們不得不承認,在這段時間裏,該公司在盈利增長方面做得並不出色。

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 16% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

與該公司形成鮮明對比的是,市場其他部分預計明年將增長16%,這確實讓人對該公司最近中期收益的下降有了正確的認識。

In light of this, it's alarming that Fujian Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

有鑑於此,福建控股的市盈率高於其他大多數公司,這是令人擔憂的。似乎大多數投資者都忽視了最近糟糕的增長率,並希望該公司的業務前景有所好轉。如果市盈率下降到與最近負增長更一致的水平,現有股東很有可能會讓自己未來感到失望。

The Bottom Line On Fujian Holdings' P/E

福建控股市盈率底線

The strong share price surge has got Fujian Holdings' P/E rushing to great heights as well. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

強勁的股價飆升也推動福建控股的市盈率飆升。我們會説,市盈率的力量主要不是作為一種估值工具,而是衡量當前投資者的情緒和未來預期。

We've established that Fujian Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

我們已經確定,福建控股目前的市盈率遠高於預期,因為它最近的盈利在中期內一直在下降。目前,我們對高市盈率越來越感到不安,因為這種盈利表現不太可能長期支持這種積極情緒。除非最近的中期狀況明顯改善,否則要接受這些價格是合理的是非常具有挑戰性的。

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Fujian Holdings (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

還有其他風險呢?每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現福建控股的5個警示信號(其中1個讓我們有點不舒服!)你應該知道。

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly and trade on P/E's below 20x.

如果你對市盈率感興趣,你可能想看看這個免費其他盈利增長強勁、市盈率低於20倍的公司。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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