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Zhejiang Changhua Auto Parts (SHSE:605018) shareholders notch a 15% return over 1 year, yet earnings have been shrinking

Zhejiang Changhua Auto Parts (SHSE:605018) shareholders notch a 15% return over 1 year, yet earnings have been shrinking

浙江彰化汽車配件(上海證券交易所股票代碼:605018)股東一年來的回報率為15%,但收益卻一直在縮水
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/16 00:23

Passive investing in index funds can generate returns that roughly match the overall market. But you can significantly boost your returns by picking above-average stocks. To wit, the Zhejiang Changhua Auto Parts Co., Ltd. (SHSE:605018) share price is 11% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market decline of around 11% (not including dividends) in the same period. So that should have shareholders smiling. Note that businesses generally develop over the long term, so the returns over the last year might not reflect a long term trend.

被動投資指數基金可以產生與整體市場大致相當的回報。但你可以通過選擇高於平均水平的股票來顯著提高回報。也就是説,浙江昌化汽車配件有限公司。(上海證券交易所股票代碼:605018)股價較一年前高出11%,遠好於同期約11%的市場跌幅(不包括股息)。因此,這應該會讓股東們微笑。請注意,企業通常是長期發展的,因此去年的回報可能不能反映長期趨勢。

After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.

在過去一週的強勁上漲之後,長期回報是否受到基本面改善的推動值得關注。

Check out our latest analysis for Zhejiang Changhua Auto Parts

查看我們對浙江彰化汽車零部件的最新分析

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

本傑明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的原話是:短期內,市場是一臺投票機,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間的變化,我們可以感受到投資者對一家公司的態度隨着時間的推移發生了怎樣的變化。

Over the last twelve months, Zhejiang Changhua Auto Parts actually shrank its EPS by 33%.

在過去的12個月裏,浙江彰化汽車配件公司的每股收益實際上縮水了33%。

So we don't think that investors are paying too much attention to EPS. Indeed, when EPS is declining but the share price is up, it often means the market is considering other factors.

因此,我們不認為投資者對每股收益給予了太多關注。事實上,當每股收益下降而股價上漲時,這通常意味着市場在考慮其他因素。

We doubt the modest 1.9% dividend yield is doing much to support the share price. Revenue was pretty flat year on year, but maybe a closer look at the data can explain the market optimism.

我們懷疑1.9%的適度股息收益率對股價起到了很大的支撐作用。營收與去年同期持平,但仔細觀察數據或許可以解釋市場的樂觀情緒。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收益和收入隨時間的變化情況(如果您點擊該圖,您可以看到更多詳細信息)。

SHSE:605018 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 15th 2022
上海證交所:605018收益和收入增長2022年6月15日

Take a more thorough look at Zhejiang Changhua Auto Parts' financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

更透徹地瞭解浙江彰化汽配的財務健康狀況免費報告其資產負債表。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Zhejiang Changhua Auto Parts' TSR for the last 1 year was 15%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考察投資回報時,重要的是要考慮到股東總回報(TSR)和股價回報。雖然股價回報只反映股價的變動,但TSR包括股息的價值(假設股息再投資),以及任何折價集資或分拆所帶來的利益。可以説,TSR更全面地描繪了一隻股票產生的回報。碰巧的是,浙江彰化汽配最近一年的TSR為15%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Zhejiang Changhua Auto Parts shareholders should be happy with the total gain of 15% over the last twelve months, including dividends. Unfortunately the share price is down 6.9% over the last quarter. It may simply be that the share price got ahead of itself, although there may have been fundamental developments that are weighing on it. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with Zhejiang Changhua Auto Parts (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

浙江彰化汽配股東應該為總計過去12個月的收益為15%,包括股息。不幸的是,該公司股價在上個季度下跌了6.9%。這可能只是因為股價超前了,儘管可能有基本面的事態發展在拖累它。我發現,把股價作為衡量企業業績的長期指標是非常有趣的。但為了真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,考慮一下無處不在的投資風險幽靈。我們已經確定了5個警告信號與浙江彰化汽車零部件(至少1個,這是有點令人擔憂),並瞭解他們應該是你投資過程的一部分。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你更願意看看另一家公司--一家財務狀況可能更好的公司--那麼不要錯過這一點免費已證明自己能夠實現盈利增長的公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CN exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在CN交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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