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The three-year decline in earnings for Wangfujing Group SHSE:600859) isn't encouraging, but shareholders are still up 59% over that period

The three-year decline in earnings for Wangfujing Group SHSE:600859) isn't encouraging, but shareholders are still up 59% over that period

王府井集團(上證:600859)連續三年的收益下降並不令人鼓舞,但同期股東仍上漲了59%
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/13 23:30

One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. For example, Wangfujing Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600859) shareholders have seen the share price rise 52% over three years, well in excess of the market return (31%, not including dividends).

從股市獲益的一個簡單方法是購買指數基金。但如果你選擇了正確的個股,你可以賺得更多。例如,王府井集團有限公司。(上海證券交易所:600859)股東看到股價在三年內上漲了52%,遠遠超過了市場回報率(31%,不包括股息)。

In light of the stock dropping 3.4% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive three-year return.

鑑於該公司股價在過去一週下跌了3.4%,我們希望調查更長期的情況,看看基本面因素是否是該公司三年來正回報的驅動因素。

View our latest analysis for Wangfujing Group

查看我們對王府井集團的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

在他的文章中格雷厄姆和多德斯維爾的超級投資者沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價並不總是理性地反映一家企業的價值。一種不完美但簡單的方法來考慮市場對一家公司的看法是如何改變的,那就是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

During the three years of share price growth, Wangfujing Group actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 5.8% per year.

在股價增長的三年裏,王府井集團的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年下降5.8%。

This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

這意味着市場不太可能根據盈利增長來評判該公司。由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化沒有相關性,因此值得看看其他指標。

Languishing at just 1.7%, we doubt the dividend is doing much to prop up the share price. You can only imagine how long term shareholders feel about the declining revenue trend (slipping at 32% per year). The only thing that's clear is there is low correlation between Wangfujing Group's share price and its historic fundamental data. Further research may be required!

股息僅為1.7%,我們懷疑股息對支撐股價起到了多大作用。你只能想象長期股東對收入下降趨勢(每年下滑32%)的感受。唯一明確的是,王府井集團的股價與其歷史基本面數據之間的相關性很低。可能還需要進一步的研究!

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收益和收入隨時間的變化情況(如果您點擊該圖,您可以看到更多詳細信息)。

SHSE:600859 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 14th 2022
上海證交所:600859收益和收入增長2022年6月14日

We know that Wangfujing Group has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

我們知道王府井集團最近提高了底線,但未來會是什麼樣子?因此,我們建議您查看以下內容免費顯示共識預測的報告

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Wangfujing Group, it has a TSR of 59% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的總股東回報以及股價回報。TSR包括任何剝離或貼現融資的價值,以及任何股息,基於股息再投資的假設。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來説,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。以王府井集團為例,它在過去3年的總資產收益率為59%。這超過了我們之前提到的它的股價回報。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

We regret to report that Wangfujing Group shareholders are down 23% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 11%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 9% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Wangfujing Group you should be aware of.

我們遺憾地報告,王府井集團股東今年以來下降了23%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,這比大盤11%的跌幅還要糟糕。然而,這可能只是因為股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。也許有必要關注基本面,以防出現良機。好的一面是,長期股東已經賺到了錢,過去五年的年回報率為9%。最近的拋售可能是一個機會,因此可能值得查看基本面數據,以尋找長期增長趨勢的跡象。雖然值得考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。一個恰當的例子:我們發現了王府井集團的2個警示標誌你應該意識到。

We will like Wangfujing Group better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我們看到一些大的內部收購,我們會更喜歡王府井集團。在我們等待的時候,看看這個免費最近有大量內幕收購的成長型公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CN exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在CN交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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