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CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX:C38U) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX:C38U) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

凱德置地綜合商業信託(SGX:C38U)股價下滑,但基本面看起來不錯:市場未來會調整股價嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/13 20:23

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (SGX:C38U) has had a rough month with its share price down 3.1%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Particularly, we will be paying attention to CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust's ROE today.

凱德置地綜合商業信託(SGX:C38U)經歷了艱難的一個月,股價下跌3.1%。然而,股價通常是由公司的長期財務狀況推動的,在這種情況下,財務狀況看起來相當不錯。特別是,我們今天將關注凱德置地綜合商業信託的淨資產收益率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

淨資產收益率,即股本回報率,是評估一家公司從股東那裏獲得投資回報的有效程度的有用工具。換句話説,它揭示了該公司成功地將股東投資轉化為利潤。

See our latest analysis for CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust

查看我們對凱德置地綜合商業信託的最新分析

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率是如何計算的?

The formula for ROE is:

這個淨資產收益率公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率=(持續經營的)淨利潤?股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust is:

因此,根據上述公式,凱德置地綜合商業信託的淨資產收益率為:

7.9% = S$1.1b ÷ S$14b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).

7.9%=11億新元?140億新元(基於截至2021年12月的12個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each SGD1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made SGD0.08 in profit.

“報税表”是過去12個月的税後收入。一種將其概念化的方法是,公司每持有1新元的股東資本,就能獲得0.08新元的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

為什麼淨資產收益率對收益增長很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我們已經證實,淨資產收益率是一家公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。根據公司選擇再投資或“保留”多少利潤,我們就能夠評估一家公司未來產生利潤的能力。假設其他條件相同,與沒有相同特徵的公司相比,擁有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常會有更高的增長率。

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust's Earnings Growth And 7.9% ROE

凱德置地綜合商業信託盈利增長7.9%淨資產收益率

On the face of it, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust's ROE is not much to talk about. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 6.8%. On the other hand, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust reported a moderate 5.2% net income growth over the past five years. Taking into consideration that the ROE is not particularly high, we reckon that there could also be other factors at play which could be influencing the company's growth. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

從表面上看,凱德置地綜合商業信託的淨資產收益率(ROE)沒有太多可談的。然而,一項更仔細的研究顯示,該公司的淨資產收益率接近6.8%的行業平均水平。另一方面,凱德置地綜合商業信託報告稱,過去五年淨收入温和增長5.2%。考慮到淨資產收益率不是特別高,我們認為也可能有其他因素在發揮作用,可能正在影響公司的增長。例如-高收益留存或有效的管理到位。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that the growth figure reported by CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust compares quite favourably to the industry average, which shows a decline of 3.3% in the same period.

接下來,通過與行業淨收入增長的比較,我們發現凱德置地綜合商業信託報告的增長數字與同期下降3.3%的行業平均水平相比相當有利。

SGX:C38U Past Earnings Growth June 13th 2022
新交所:C38U過去的收益增長2022年6月13日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is C38U fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

盈利增長是評估一隻股票時需要考慮的一個重要指標。對於投資者來説,重要的是知道市場是否已經消化了公司預期的收益增長(或下降)。這有助於他們確定這隻股票是為光明還是黯淡的未來做準備。C38U的價值公平嗎?這張關於公司內在價值的信息圖包含了你需要知道的一切。

Is CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

凱德置地綜合商業信託是否有效利用其利潤?

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust has a high three-year median payout ratio of 86%. This means that it has only 14% of its income left to reinvest into its business. However, it's not unusual to see a REIT with such a high payout ratio mainly due to statutory requirements. In spite of this, the company was able to grow its earnings by a fair bit, as we saw above.

凱德置地綜合商業信託的三年中值派息率較高,為86%。這意味着它只剩下14%的收入可以再投資於其業務。然而,主要由於法定要求,REIT的派息率如此之高並不少見。儘管如此,正如我們上面看到的那樣,該公司的收益仍有相當大的增長。

Moreover, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 104% over the next three years. Consequently, the higher expected payout ratio explains the decline in the company's expected ROE (to 5.9%) over the same period.

此外,凱德置地綜合商業信託決心繼續與股東分享其利潤,這是我們從其至少十年來支付股息的長期歷史中推斷的。在研究了最新的分析師共識數據後,我們發現,該公司未來三年的派息率預計將升至104%。因此,較高的預期派息率解釋了公司同期預期淨資產收益率(降至5.9%)的下降。

Conclusion

結論

On the whole, we do feel that CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust has some positive attributes. While no doubt its earnings growth is pretty substantial, we do feel that the reinvestment rate is pretty low, meaning, the earnings growth number could have been significantly higher had the company been retaining more of its profits. Having said that, on studying current analyst estimates, we were concerned to see that while the company has grown its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to shrink in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總體而言,我們確實認為凱德置地綜合商業信託具有一些積極的屬性。雖然毫無疑問,它的收益增長相當可觀,但我們確實感覺到再投資率相當低,這意味着,如果公司保留了更多的利潤,收益增長數字可能會高得多。話雖如此,在研究目前分析師的預測時,我們擔心的是,儘管該公司過去的收益有所增長,但分析師預計其未來的收益將會萎縮。要了解更多分析師對該公司的最新預測,請查看分析師對該公司預測的可視化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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