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Don't Buy China Railway Signal & Communication Corporation Limited (HKG:3969) For Its Next Dividend Without Doing These Checks

Don't Buy China Railway Signal & Communication Corporation Limited (HKG:3969) For Its Next Dividend Without Doing These Checks

不做這些檢查,不要購買中國鐵路信號通信股份有限公司(HKG:3969)的下一次股息
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/11 20:40

Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that China Railway Signal & Communication Corporation Limited (HKG:3969) is about to go ex-dividend in just two days. Typically, the ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date which is the date on which a company determines the shareholders eligible to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important as the process of settlement involves two full business days. So if you miss that date, you would not show up on the company's books on the record date. Thus, you can purchase China Railway Signal & Communication's shares before the 15th of June in order to receive the dividend, which the company will pay on the 15th of July.

一些投資者依靠股息來增加他們的財富,如果你是股息偵探中的一員,你可能會感興趣地知道中國鐵路信號通信股份有限公司(HKG:3969)即將在短短兩天內除息。通常,除息日期是記錄日期之前的一個工作日,記錄日期是公司確定有資格獲得股息的股東的日期。除息日期很重要,因為結算過程需要整整兩個工作日。因此,如果你錯過了那個日期的預期,你就不會在記錄日期出現在公司的賬簿上。因此,您可以在6月15日之前購買中國鐵路信號通信公司的股票,以獲得公司將於7月15日支付的股息。

The company's next dividend payment will be CN¥0.17 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed CN¥0.17 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, China Railway Signal & Communication stock has a trailing yield of around 7.1% on the current share price of HK$2.8. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

公司下一次派息為每股0.17元人民幣。去年,該公司總共向股東分配了0.17元人民幣。根據過去一年的支付金額,中國鐵路信號通信股份有限公司股票的往績收益率約為7.1%,目前股價為2.8港元。股息是長期持有者投資回報的主要貢獻者,但前提是繼續支付股息。我們需要看看股息是否由收益覆蓋,以及是否在增長。

View our latest analysis for China Railway Signal & Communication

查看我們對中國鐵路信號通信的最新分析

Dividends are usually paid out of company profits, so if a company pays out more than it earned then its dividend is usually at greater risk of being cut. China Railway Signal & Communication paid out more than half (57%) of its earnings last year, which is a regular payout ratio for most companies. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether China Railway Signal & Communication generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. The company paid out 96% of its free cash flow over the last year, which we think is outside the ideal range for most businesses. Cash flows are usually much more volatile than earnings, so this could be a temporary effect - but we'd generally want to look more closely here.

股息通常從公司利潤中支付,因此,如果一家公司支付的股息超過了它的收入,那麼它的股息通常被削減的風險更大。中國鐵路信號通信去年支付了超過一半(57%)的收益,這是大多數公司的常規派息比率。一個有用的次要檢查可以是評估中國鐵路信號通信公司是否產生了足夠的自由現金流來支付股息。該公司去年支付了96%的自由現金流,我們認為這超出了大多數企業的理想範圍。現金流的波動性通常比收益大得多,因此這可能是暫時的影響--但我們通常希望更仔細地研究一下。

While China Railway Signal & Communication's dividends were covered by the company's reported profits, cash is somewhat more important, so it's not great to see that the company didn't generate enough cash to pay its dividend. Were this to happen repeatedly, this would be a risk to China Railway Signal & Communication's ability to maintain its dividend.

雖然中國鐵路信號通信公司的股息是由該公司公佈的利潤支付的,但現金在某種程度上更重要,所以看到該公司沒有產生足夠的現金來支付股息並不是一件好事。如果這種情況再次發生,這將對中國鐵路信號通信公司維持股息的能力構成風險。

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

點擊此處查看該公司的派息率,以及分析師對其未來股息的估計。

SEHK:3969 Historic Dividend June 12th 2022
聯交所:3969歷史股息2022年6月12日

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

盈利和股息一直在增長嗎?

Companies that aren't growing their earnings can still be valuable, but it is even more important to assess the sustainability of the dividend if it looks like the company will struggle to grow. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. With that in mind, we're not enthused to see that China Railway Signal & Communication's earnings per share have remained effectively flat over the past five years. Better than seeing them fall off a cliff, for sure, but the best dividend stocks grow their earnings meaningfully over the long run.

盈利沒有增長的公司仍然有價值,但如果公司看起來將難以增長,評估股息的可持續性就更重要了。如果業務進入低迷,股息被削減,該公司的價值可能會急劇縮水。考慮到這一點,我們並不熱衷於看到中國鐵路信號通信公司的每股收益在過去五年裏實際上持平。當然,這總比眼睜睜看着它們掉下懸崖要好,但從長遠來看,最好的股息股票會有意義地增長收益。

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. In the past six years, China Railway Signal & Communication has increased its dividend at approximately 38% a year on average.

衡量一家公司股息前景的另一個關鍵方法是衡量其歷史股息增長率。在過去的六年裏,中國鐵路信號通信公司的股息平均每年增加38%左右。

To Sum It Up

總結一下

Is China Railway Signal & Communication worth buying for its dividend? It's not great to see earnings per share have been flat and that the company paid out an uncomfortably high percentage of its cash flow over the past year. Cash flows are typically more volatile than earnings, but this is still not what we like to see. With the way things are shaping up from a dividend perspective, we'd be inclined to steer clear of China Railway Signal & Communication.

中國鐵路信號通信公司值得為其分紅嗎?看到每股收益持平,而該公司在過去一年支付的現金流比例高得令人不安,這並不是一件好事。現金流的波動性通常比收益更大,但這仍不是我們希望看到的。從分紅的角度來看,事情正在發展,我們傾向於避開中國鐵路信號通信公司。

Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with China Railway Signal & Communication. For example, we've found 1 warning sign for China Railway Signal & Communication that we recommend you consider before investing in the business.

話雖如此,如果你看這隻股票時並不太關心股息,你應該仍然熟悉中國鐵路信號通信所涉及的風險。例如,我們發現中國鐵路信號通信1個警示標誌我們建議您在投資業務之前考慮這些問題。

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

一個常見的投資錯誤是購買你看到的第一隻有趣的股票。在這裏你可以找到高收益股息股的完整名單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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