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What Wine's Link International Holdings Limited's (HKG:8509) 50% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

What Wine's Link International Holdings Limited's (HKG:8509) 50% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Wine‘s Link International Holdings Limited(HKG:8509)50%的股價漲幅沒有告訴你什麼
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/10 19:07

Wine's Link International Holdings Limited (HKG:8509) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 50% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 42% over that time.

Wine‘s Link國際控股有限公司(HKG:8509)股東將興奮地看到,股價在一個月內表現出色,上漲了50%,並從之前的疲軟中恢復過來。不幸的是,上個月的收益幾乎沒有彌補去年的損失,在此期間,該股仍下跌了42%。

In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Wine's Link International Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.1x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Hong Kong is similar at about 9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

儘管股價強勁反彈,但當香港股市的市盈率中值約為9倍時,仍不會有很多人認為Wine‘s Link International Holdings 8.1倍的市盈率(P/E)值得一提。然而,如果市盈率沒有理性基礎,投資者可能會忽視一個明顯的機會或潛在的挫折。

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Wine's Link International Holdings has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

由於最近收益增長異常強勁,Wine的Link International Holdings一直表現良好。許多人可能預計強勁的盈利表現將會減弱,這阻止了市盈率的上升。如果你喜歡這家公司,你會希望情況並非如此,這樣你就可以在它不太受歡迎的時候買入一些股票。

Check out our latest analysis for Wine's Link International Holdings

查看我們對Wine‘s Link International Holdings的最新分析

SEHK:8509 Price Based on Past Earnings June 10th 2022 Although there are no analyst estimates available for Wine's Link International Holdings, take a look at this
聯交所:8509價格基於過去收益2022年6月10日儘管沒有分析師對Wine‘s Link International Holdings的估計,但請看一下這一點
free
免費
data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
豐富的數據可視化,看看公司的收益、收入和現金流是如何堆積的。

How Is Wine's Link International Holdings' Growth Trending?

Wine‘s Link International Holdings的增長趨勢如何?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Wine's Link International Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.

為了證明其市盈率是合理的,Wine的Link International Holdings需要實現與市場類似的增長。

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 39%. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 26% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

如果我們回顧一下去年的收益增長,該公司公佈了39%的驚人增長。儘管如此,令人難以置信的是,每股收益比三年前總共下降了26%,這相當令人失望。因此,公平地説,最近的收益增長對公司來説是不可取的。

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 17% shows it's an unpleasant look.

將這一中期收益軌跡與大盤一年增長17%的預期進行比較,可以看出這是一個令人不快的前景。

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Wine's Link International Holdings' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

有鑑於此,Wine的Link International Holdings的市盈率與大多數其他公司的市盈率持平,這有點令人擔憂。似乎大多數投資者都忽視了最近糟糕的增長率,並希望該公司的業務前景有所好轉。只有最大膽的人才會認為這些價格是可持續的,因為最近盈利趨勢的延續最終可能會拖累股價。

The Bottom Line On Wine's Link International Holdings' P/E

Wine‘s Link International Holdings的市盈率底線

Wine's Link International Holdings appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

葡萄酒的領滙國際控股公司(Link International Holdings)似乎再次受到青睞,股價穩步上漲,使其市盈率恢復到與大多數其他公司的水平。一般來説,我們傾向於限制市盈率的使用,以確定市場對公司整體健康狀況的看法。

We've established that Wine's Link International Holdings currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

我們已經確定,Wine的Link International Holdings目前的市盈率高於預期,因為它最近的收益在中期內一直在下降。當我們看到盈利出現倒退,表現遜於市場預期時,我們懷疑股價有下跌的風險,導致温和的市盈率走低。除非最近的中期狀況有所改善,否則很難接受這些價格是合理的。

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Wine's Link International Holdings that we have uncovered.

在您採取下一步之前,您應該瞭解Wine‘s Link International Holdings的2個警告標誌我們已經發現了。

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20x).

重要的是確保你尋找的是一家偉大的公司,而不僅僅是你遇到的第一個想法。所以讓我們來看看這個免費近期盈利增長強勁(市盈率低於20倍)的有趣公司名單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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