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Hengtai Securities Co., Ltd's (HKG:1476) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

Hengtai Securities Co., Ltd's (HKG:1476) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

恆泰證券股份有限公司(HKG:1476)業務仍未追上股價
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/09 15:44

When close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 8x, you may consider Hengtai Securities Co., Ltd (HKG:1476) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 19.8x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

當接近一半的香港公司的市盈率(或“市盈率”)低於8倍時,你可以考慮恆泰證券股份有限公司(HKG:1476)作為一隻股票,以19.8倍的市盈率完全避免。然而,市盈率可能相當高是有原因的,需要進一步調查才能確定它是否合理。

For example, consider that Hengtai Securities' financial performance has been poor lately as it's earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

例如,考慮到恆泰證券最近的財務表現一直不佳,因為它的收益一直在下降。一種可能性是,市盈率很高,因為投資者認為該公司在不久的將來仍將採取足夠的措施來跑贏大盤。你真的希望如此,否則你會無緣無故地付出相當大的代價。

Check out our latest analysis for Hengtai Securities

查看我們對恆泰證券的最新分析

SEHK:1476 Price Based on Past Earnings June 9th 2022 Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hengtai Securities, take a look at this
聯交所:1476按過往盈利計算價格2022年6月9日雖然沒有分析師對恆泰證券的估計,但請看以下內容
free
免費
data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
豐富的數據可視化,看看公司的收益、收入和現金流是如何堆積的。

Is There Enough Growth For Hengtai Securities?

恆泰證券是否有足夠的增長空間?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Hengtai Securities' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

看到恆泰證券這樣高的市盈率,你唯一真正感到放心的時候,就是該公司的增長勢頭明顯好於大盤的時候。

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 34% decrease to the company's bottom line. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

回顧過去一年,該公司的利潤令人沮喪地下降了34%。這抹去了它在過去三年中的任何收益,每股收益幾乎沒有任何變化。因此,在我們看來,在這段時間裏,該公司在收益增長方面的結果好壞參半。

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 17% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

與預計未來12個月將實現17%增長的市場相比,根據最近的中期年化收益結果,該公司的增長勢頭較弱。

With this information, we find it concerning that Hengtai Securities is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

有了這些信息,我們發現恆泰證券的市盈率高於大盤。似乎大多數投資者忽視了最近相當有限的增長率,並希望該公司的業務前景有所好轉。只有最大膽的人才會認為這些價格是可持續的,因為最近盈利趨勢的延續最終可能會對股價造成沉重壓力。

The Final Word

最後的結論

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

雖然市盈率不應該是你是否買入一隻股票的決定性因素,但它是一個很好的盈利預期晴雨表。

We've established that Hengtai Securities currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

我們已經確定,恆泰證券目前的市盈率遠高於預期,因為其最近三年的增長低於更廣泛的市場預測。當我們看到盈利疲軟、增長慢於市場增長時,我們懷疑股價有下跌的風險,導致高市盈率下降。除非最近的中期狀況明顯改善,否則要接受這些價格是合理的是非常具有挑戰性的。

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Hengtai Securities that you should be aware of.

在你決定你的觀點之前,我們發現2恆泰證券警示標誌這一點你應該知道。

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly and trade on P/E's below 20x.

如果你對市盈率感興趣,你可能想看看這個免費其他盈利增長強勁、市盈率低於20倍的公司。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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