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Strong week for Lai Sun Development (HKG:488) shareholders doesn't alleviate pain of three-year loss

Strong week for Lai Sun Development (HKG:488) shareholders doesn't alleviate pain of three-year loss

禮新發展(HKG:488)股東本週表現強勁並未緩解三年虧損的痛苦
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/06 19:27

While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the Lai Sun Development Company Limited (HKG:488) share price has gained 25% in the last three months. Meanwhile over the last three years the stock has dropped hard. Regrettably, the share price slid 63% in that period. So the improvement may be a real relief to some. While many would remain nervous, there could be further gains if the business can put its best foot forward.

雖然這不是一個令人興奮的舉動,但很高興看到麗新發展有限公司(HKG:488)股價在過去三個月中上漲了25%。與此同時,在過去的幾年裏多年來,該股大幅下跌。令人遺憾的是,該公司股價在此期間下滑了63%。因此,這種改善可能會讓一些人真正鬆一口氣。儘管許多人仍會感到緊張,但如果該業務能夠邁出最好的一步,可能會有進一步的收益。

The recent uptick of 15% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a lot at historical fundamentals.

最近15%的漲幅可能是未來事情的積極跡象,所以讓我們來看看歷史基本面。

See our latest analysis for Lai Sun Development

查看我們對麗新發展的最新分析

Lai Sun Development wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.

來新發展在過去12個月中沒有盈利,我們不太可能看到它的股價和每股收益(EPS)之間有很強的相關性。可以説,收入是我們的下一個最佳選擇。一般來説,沒有利潤的公司預計每年都會有收入增長,而且增長速度很快。這是因為,如果一家公司的收入增長微不足道,而且永遠不會盈利,那麼很難相信它會持續下去。

Over three years, Lai Sun Development grew revenue at 2.5% per year. That's not a very high growth rate considering it doesn't make profits. This uninspiring revenue growth has no doubt helped send the share price lower; it dropped 18% during the period. It can be well worth keeping an eye on growth stocks that disappoint the market, because sometimes they re-accelerate. After all, growing a business isn't easy, and the process will not always be smooth.

在三年的時間裏,麗新發展的收入以每年2.5%的速度增長。考慮到它沒有盈利,這並不是一個很高的增長率。這種乏善可陳的營收增長無疑是導致該公司股價下跌的原因之一;在此期間,該公司股價下跌了18%。關注令市場失望的成長型股票是非常值得的,因為有時它們會重新加速。畢竟,發展一家企業並不容易,這個過程也不會總是一帆風順。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

你可以在下面看到收入和收入是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的(點擊圖片可以發現確切的價值)。

SEHK:488 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 6th 2022
聯交所:488盈利及收入增長2022年6月6日

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Lai Sun Development

我們認為,內部人士在過去一年進行了大量收購,這是積極的。話雖如此,大多數人認為盈利和收入增長趨勢是更有意義的業務指南。這免費顯示分析師預測的報告應有助於您形成對麗新發展的看法

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

那麼總股東回報(TSR)呢?

We've already covered Lai Sun Development's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Lai Sun Development's TSR, which was a 57% drop over the last 3 years, was not as bad as the share price return.

我們已經報道了來新發展的股價走勢,但我們還應該提到它的總股東回報(TSR)。TSR是一種回報計算,計入了現金股息的價值(假設收到的任何股息都進行了再投資),以及任何貼現融資和剝離的計算價值。其派息歷史意味着利新發展的TSR為57%丟棄在過去的3年裏,沒有股價回報那麼糟糕。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Although it hurts that Lai Sun Development returned a loss of 19% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 21%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 9% over the last half decade. Whilst Baron Rothschild does tell the investor "buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own", buyers would need to examine the data carefully to be comfortable that the business itself is sound. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Lai Sun Development has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

雖然來新發展在過去12個月內回報虧損19%,令人痛心,但大市其實更差,回報虧損21%。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示着尚未解決的挑戰,因為它比過去五年9%的年化損失更糟糕。雖然羅斯柴爾德男爵確實會告訴投資者“在街上有血的時候買入,即使血是你自己的”,但買家需要仔細檢查數據,才能確信業務本身是穩健的。雖然值得考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。以風險為例-來新發展擁有2個警告標誌我們認為你應該意識到。

Lai Sun Development is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

來新發展並不是內部人士買入的唯一一隻股票。對於那些想要找到贏得投資免費最近有內幕收購的不斷增長的公司名單可能就是合適的選擇。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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